Kindly-Thaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

144

Trades

666

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-23 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 77% $-249

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$476	258	238	+20	open	—	05-03 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$439	241	241	+0	open	—	05-04 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$404	206	206	+0	open	—	05-03 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$350	456	0	+456	open	—	05-04 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$310	161	161	+0	open	—	05-04 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$307	189	189	+0	open	—	05-03 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$279	164	164	+0	Down	+$45	05-09 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$267	143	143	+0	Up	+$17	05-09 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$259	160	160	+0	open	—	05-04 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$254	138	138	+0	open	—	05-03 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	05-03 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$232	133	133	+0	open	—	05-03 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$231	117	117	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$227	128	128	+0	open	—	05-04 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$227	128	128	+0	open	—	05-04 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$224	125	125	+0	open	—	05-04 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$220	149	101	+48	Up	$-20	05-09 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$219	0	221	-221	open	—	05-04 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$211	112	112	+0	open	—	05-04 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$207	109	109	+0	open	—	05-04 04:19
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	4	$207	107	107	+0	open	—	05-21 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$200	209	0	+209	open	—	05-03 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	05-03 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	05-04 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$200	101	101	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$200	101	101	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$198	103	103	+0	open	—	05-04 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$176	97	97	+0	open	—	05-04 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$161	82	82	+0	open	—	05-20 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$161	171	34	+137	open	—	05-04 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 22:58:05	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	Mumbai Indians	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x41724b…
05-23 22:55:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x088f71…
05-23 22:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x1d6fb7…
05-23 22:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x63a9ea…
05-23 22:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xa4c866…
05-23 22:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x130053…
05-23 22:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x4711a2…
05-23 22:29:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x7cd257…
05-23 10:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7541d9…
05-23 10:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6b2bf7…
05-23 10:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4ccccd…
05-23 10:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xae74b5…
05-22 02:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xba3fd9…
05-22 02:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xc31c83…
05-22 02:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7c05ea…
05-22 02:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xfff769…
05-22 02:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbcc235…
05-22 02:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x62ec8d…
05-22 02:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xcdc1e7…
05-22 02:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x3fad36…
05-22 02:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9185ac…
05-22 01:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xefd098…
05-22 01:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7a0398…
05-22 01:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x977a1d…
05-22 01:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x660d34…
05-22 01:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x6f231f…
05-22 01:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfccdcd…
05-22 01:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x6bc2cf…
05-22 01:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb000a8…
05-22 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x03066d…
05-21 21:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x83d3bc…
05-21 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x117195…
05-21 21:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xbd8a37…
05-21 20:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x537ce9…
05-21 20:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x367523…
05-21 19:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x7c6c10…
05-21 18:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x01222c…
05-21 17:48:18	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	Gujarat Titans	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xc3b768…
05-21 17:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd061e2…
05-21 17:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcfd7e4…
05-21 16:55:10	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	Gujarat Titans	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xb6c9be…
05-21 16:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0xaebd3c…
05-21 16:47:16	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	Gujarat Titans	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x39430a…
05-21 16:31:13	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	Gujarat Titans	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x148f51…
05-21 14:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xc73acf…
05-21 13:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x4f3ae7…
05-21 13:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x857559…
05-21 13:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x159b5b…
05-21 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x68624f…
05-21 13:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x0c80f2…
05-21 13:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb96840…
05-21 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4087da…
05-21 12:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x707f84…
05-21 12:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x3054b4…
05-21 12:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf852e8…
05-21 12:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x5f5603…
05-21 12:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x1865e1…
05-21 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xa959fc…
05-21 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbf5e83…
05-21 12:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x9bacfa…
05-21 12:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x36363c…
05-21 12:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x9dba35…
05-21 12:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc6ea69…
05-21 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x666bb6…
05-21 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x93b264…
05-21 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2bb351…
05-21 11:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x72e846…
05-21 11:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x853a91…
05-21 11:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd15a31…
05-21 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xef4a95…
05-21 11:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xabf136…
05-21 11:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x9506c8…
05-21 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9e087c…
05-21 04:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbfa11d…
05-21 04:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa51900…
05-21 04:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x71c755…
05-21 04:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa112ad…
05-21 04:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x69b531…
05-21 04:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa950e4…
05-21 04:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3ce303…
05-21 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3b17e8…
05-20 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x38a085…
05-20 06:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	94	43¢	$40	0x72c420…
05-20 06:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xece51a…
05-20 06:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf9aa4f…
05-20 05:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x190dc6…
05-20 05:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xad50e5…
05-20 05:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x35d131…
05-20 05:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xad61c3…
05-20 05:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x71f9e6…
05-20 05:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xcde94f…
05-20 05:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x154932…
05-20 05:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xcf134b…
05-20 00:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x65a5db…
05-20 00:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xb20dab…
05-20 00:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x18601e…
05-20 00:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xccacae…
05-20 00:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2c47a2…
05-20 00:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x698b36…
05-20 00:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3fa30a…