Tender-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$562

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

5,311

Trades

6,505

lifetime

Volume

$256.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-23 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% -$552

Politics

0% 50% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:15 UTC	1	$270	271	+271	Down	+$0	02-09 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:45 UTC	1	$269	272	+272	Up	+$3	02-09 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:30 UTC	1	$268	271	+271	Down	+$3	02-09 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:15 UTC	1	$268	269	+269	Down	+$1	02-08 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 09:00 UTC	1	$268	273	+273	Down	-$268	02-09 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	5	$268	268	+268	Down	+$0	02-09 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:00 UTC	1	$265	267	+267	Down	+$3	02-08 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:00 UTC	2	$263	268	+268	Up	+$5	02-09 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	1	$259	265	+265	Up	+$5	02-08 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:15 UTC	8	$256	257	+257	Down	+$1	02-09 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:45 UTC	3	$255	260	+260	Up	+$5	02-09 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:30 UTC	1	$254	254	+254	Up	+$1	02-09 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:30 UTC	6	$252	257	+257	Up	+$5	02-09 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:15 UTC	8	$252	263	+263	Down	+$11	02-09 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:15 UTC	1	$250	250	+250	Up	+$0	02-09 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:30 UTC	5	$250	250	+250	Down	+$1	02-09 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:00 UTC	3	$249	254	+254	Down	+$5	02-09 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 17:00 UTC	2	$248	248	+248	Up	+$1	02-08 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:00 UTC	11	$247	250	+250	Up	+$2	02-08 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 00:45 UTC	1	$246	249	+249	Up	+$2	02-09 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 17:30 UTC	1	$246	249	+249	Up	+$2	02-08 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:30 UTC	1	$246	247	+247	Up	+$1	02-08 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:15 UTC	4	$245	247	+247	Up	+$1	02-08 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:30 UTC	1	$245	258	+258	Up	+$13	02-08 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 00:30 UTC	1	$245	248	+248	Down	+$2	02-09 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 16:45 UTC	6	$245	247	+247	Down	+$2	02-08 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:00 UTC	1	$243	250	+250	Up	+$8	02-09 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:15 UTC	3	$242	242	+242	Down	+$0	02-08 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:30 UTC	13	$241	242	+242	Up	+$1	02-08 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:15 UTC	1	$239	252	+252	Down	+$13	02-08 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x191a5c…
10-23 01:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x00cc59…
10-23 01:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x9192bc…
10-22 23:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x96de45…
10-22 21:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x16fbee…
10-22 13:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xdba4a6…
10-22 12:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xeeb746…
10-22 10:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd95256…
10-22 09:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xc7f5fc…
10-22 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x92019f…
10-22 03:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb57a9e…
10-21 23:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0199ce…
10-21 20:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfcf7f1…
10-21 14:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x961307…
10-21 12:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x34e701…
10-21 09:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2fc6d5…
10-20 23:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55608a…
10-20 21:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6965e0…
10-20 14:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9738f0…
10-20 14:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6c00e…
10-20 09:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x41e231…
10-19 23:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x30aa40…
10-19 22:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xc0133c…
10-19 21:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc5b670…
10-19 17:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc2e800…
10-19 13:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xbbf21a…
10-19 09:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x74dc55…
10-19 05:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x2ee5e7…
10-18 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xad760a…
10-18 07:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe02ed0…
10-18 05:58:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x587c4e…
10-18 04:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7faee5…
10-18 01:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf6c061…
10-17 22:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x2e28e1…
10-17 16:44:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x035532…
10-17 13:59:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9fcb2f…
10-17 12:44:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeed1b6…
10-17 05:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xce6611…
10-17 04:29:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb63186…
10-16 23:28:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd1a348…
10-16 21:29:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa51a49…
10-16 13:44:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x139f5e…
10-16 10:59:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0f3fe5…
10-16 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x89cc60…
10-16 06:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xa4eaf1…
10-15 23:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb3b559…
10-15 17:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x60fb63…
10-15 06:44:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x0493ee…
10-14 22:14:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2295be…
10-14 19:59:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x759404…
10-14 07:13:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x331f9f…
10-14 05:43:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9c6d43…
10-14 05:28:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x39387c…
10-14 04:44:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3d8abd…
10-14 02:43:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x61909c…
10-13 21:29:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x851b98…
10-13 20:14:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6cf0ff…
10-13 06:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x91b674…
10-13 04:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x12dbb2…
10-12 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xf2d970…
10-12 10:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3dd25e…
10-12 02:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdad8de…
10-12 02:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcafdb0…
10-11 22:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x2507fb…
10-11 15:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb92c09…
10-11 13:14:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x336889…
10-11 10:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5c118a…
10-11 08:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x176945…
10-11 08:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1ddf14…
10-11 07:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x99eb5d…
10-11 05:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa77fd5…
10-11 04:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x1189e3…
10-11 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x075bfe…
10-10 23:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3f0dfa…
10-10 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x172406…
10-10 22:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x050ab9…
10-10 20:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x68d328…
10-10 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd78987…
10-10 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0cda57…
10-10 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x010505…
10-10 20:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xecbc1b…
10-10 20:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc88b70…
10-10 18:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7b88b3…
10-10 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf43a31…
10-10 10:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xabe755…
10-10 10:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5a87e6…
10-10 06:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb2e584…
10-10 06:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbfb8bf…
10-10 03:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1595dc…
10-10 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd4f05d…
10-10 01:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x453b2a…
10-09 17:58:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb3b990…
10-09 14:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4f0352…
10-09 12:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x2fb5ba…
10-08 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x18816b…
10-08 13:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xeae3e8…
10-08 07:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc0b780…
10-08 02:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb16bf1…
10-07 21:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x91a68d…
10-07 12:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa88cc2…