Assured-Ellipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

100

Trades

767

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-29 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 44% +$1

Other

1% 25% $-38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 385 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	12	$723	611	611	+0	Up	+$283	05-09 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	7	$554	448	448	+0	Up	+$314	05-08 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	11	$500	546	546	+0	Down	+$100	05-09 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	22	$481	602	602	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$447	334	334	+0	Up	+$207	05-09 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	7	$447	337	337	+0	Up	+$207	05-08 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	10	$375	308	308	+0	Up	+$115	05-09 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	7	$367	306	306	+0	Up	+$127	05-09 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	13	$364	500	500	+0	Down	$-76	05-08 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	13	$359	661	202	+459	Down	$-121	05-09 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	11	$345	327	327	+0	Up	+$25	05-08 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	17	$341	396	170	+225	Up	$-69	05-09 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	7	$332	225	225	+0	Up	+$92	05-09 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$322	476	231	+244	Up	+$132	05-09 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	11	$320	578	404	+175	Down	$-20	05-09 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	9	$317	344	308	+36	Up	+$31	05-09 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	13	$301	690	239	+451	Up	+$32	05-09 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	15	$300	1,077	0	+1,077	Down	$-300	05-09 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	9	$292	322	322	+0	Down	$-8	05-09 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	17	$269	385	340	+45	Down	+$10	05-09 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	12	$240	391	113	+278	Up	$-80	05-09 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	9	$231	378	278	+100	Down	$-89	05-08 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	11	$220	691	0	+691	Down	$-220	05-09 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	9	$215	194	194	+0	Down	+$75	05-08 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	11	$210	231	131	+100	Down	+$46	05-08 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	9	$204	986	486	+500	Up	$-96	05-09 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	5	$202	541	140	+402	Up	+$72	05-08 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$189	0	212	-212	Down	$-23	05-08 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	8	$188	221	221	+0	Up	$-38	05-08 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	11	$188	314	101	+213	Down	$-52	05-08 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 11:24:49	LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0xbea2ec…
05-26 09:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa24acc…
05-26 09:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6d0adf…
05-26 09:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8ed8aa…
05-26 09:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x38dbf3…
05-26 09:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x63f520…
05-26 08:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x038cb7…
05-26 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5364aa…
05-26 08:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5a84c9…
05-26 08:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1bf519…
05-26 08:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x8f1762…
05-26 08:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	88	85¢	$75	0x75a947…
05-26 08:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd4bf3b…
05-26 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd1bfab…
05-26 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7c9afc…
05-26 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x096857…
05-26 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	59	49¢	$29	0x34ae0a…
05-26 08:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd0e5fd…
05-26 08:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1d6fb5…
05-26 08:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1aa743…
05-26 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x670b06…
05-26 08:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x33343d…
05-26 08:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7f05ac…
05-26 08:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x1e412b…
05-26 08:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2418f8…
05-26 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xaaa954…
05-26 08:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x40dfc5…
05-26 08:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x530187…
05-26 08:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x2d1c86…
05-26 08:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x3d5aa3…
05-26 08:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x7de8fa…
05-26 08:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfc5144…
05-26 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4623bb…
05-26 08:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x6fcd0b…
05-26 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd3c6ae…
05-26 08:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x45b380…
05-26 08:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x17bfd0…
05-26 08:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb0985c…
05-26 08:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x805368…
05-26 08:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1f8c50…
05-26 08:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5e21c9…
05-26 08:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa958fe…
05-26 08:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe51c14…
05-26 08:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x965641…
05-26 08:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	39	36¢	$14	0x4bc665…
05-26 08:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x45d954…
05-26 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7f20cd…
05-26 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x062793…
05-26 08:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x55c388…
05-26 08:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x682fac…
05-26 08:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd602bc…
05-26 08:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x28ced2…
05-26 08:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x96c8e5…
05-26 08:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x81f625…
05-26 08:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43	22¢	$9	0xcac2c7…
05-26 08:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x53b074…
05-26 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4b99b5…
05-26 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x49394a…
05-26 08:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x31215c…
05-26 08:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x88d04f…
05-26 08:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x636270…
05-26 08:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xeae2f5…
05-26 08:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x75b06e…
05-26 08:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6141b3…
05-26 08:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	39	40¢	$16	0x68ba8a…
05-26 08:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4927ca…
05-26 08:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x35ec52…
05-26 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c4e05…
05-26 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c907f…
05-26 08:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0xa07ec9…
05-26 08:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb0fc63…
05-25 12:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5e08d4…
05-25 12:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x62ce20…
05-25 12:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x792ca6…
05-25 12:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x45e382…
05-25 12:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2c1d95…
05-25 12:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x781439…
05-25 12:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5bdcff…
05-25 12:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x535261…
05-10 07:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xc89f32…
05-10 07:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x8ab191…
05-10 07:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x898d2a…
05-09 06:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xdb5bd3…
05-09 05:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x31aa0d…
05-09 05:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2a3e34…
05-09 05:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x965cb2…
05-09 05:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	339	2¢	$7	0x05911b…
05-09 05:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x3e0309…
05-09 05:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xdce107…
05-09 05:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5c1a68…
05-09 05:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4454aa…
05-09 05:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x1676aa…
05-09 05:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x807300…
05-09 05:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xa86022…
05-09 05:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x70c2e5…
05-09 05:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x5c9910…
05-09 05:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xe2c3f7…
05-09 05:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0xdef176…
05-09 05:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xb6b323…
05-09 05:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x68e7ff…