Tender-Idea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

48,807

Trades

330,006

lifetime

Volume

$4.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-27 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% +$54,234

Other

0% 51% +$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 1460 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	—	+5	$4	90¢	$5	+$1	10-27 23:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 20:10 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	Down	+$30	07-14 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:50 UTC	17	$2.7K	2,729	+2,729	Down	+$49	07-16 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 23:50 UTC	2	$2.4K	2,440	+2,440	Down	+$24	07-14 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	9	$2.3K	2,346	+2,346	Down	+$32	07-08 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 21:30 UTC	4	$1.9K	1,958	+1,958	Up	+$31	07-14 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:10 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,876	+1,876	Up	+$30	07-17 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	6	$1.7K	1,762	+1,762	Up	+$20	07-16 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:15 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,687	+1,687	Up	+$19	07-16 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 16:20 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,673	+1,673	Up	+$32	07-14 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	27	$1.6K	1,651	+1,651	Up	+$17	06-03 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:50 UTC	16	$1.6K	1,625	+1,625	Up	+$24	07-17 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 12:40 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,616	+1,616	Down	+$27	07-17 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,593	+1,593	Down	+$25	07-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:30 UTC	15	$1.6K	1,574	+1,574	Up	+$23	07-15 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:05 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,561	+1,561	Down	+$18	07-14 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:00 UTC	14	$1.5K	1,550	+1,550	Down	+$16	07-17 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:55 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,550	+1,550	Down	+$21	07-14 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:55 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,548	+1,548	Up	+$21	07-17 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 14:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,535	+1,535	Up	+$16	07-15 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:05 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,526	+1,526	Up	+$16	07-17 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:40 UTC	4	$1.5K	1,523	+1,523	Up	+$17	07-14 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$1.5K	1,521	+1,521	Down	+$17	07-09 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,520	+1,520	Down	+$16	07-12 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,509	+1,509	Down	+$15	07-06 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:20 UTC	6	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	Down	+$15	07-08 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 19:10 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	Up	+$15	07-10 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 16:25 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	Up	+$15	07-13 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:00 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	Down	+$15	07-17 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:55 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	Down	+$15	07-15 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 19:05 UTC	8	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	Up	+$15	07-10 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0bea96…
10-27 23:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x0e3555…
10-27 23:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa46710…
10-27 23:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1c740b…
10-27 23:15:57	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x874b01…
10-27 23:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x90c7f1…
10-27 23:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x262801…
10-27 23:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb18ab8…
10-27 23:12:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x70ef4c…
10-27 23:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x6d3e22…
10-27 23:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x767669…
10-27 23:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x3c6af5…
10-27 23:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x99b82e…
10-27 23:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9e931d…
10-27 23:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9555db…
10-27 23:08:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xf2af99…
10-27 23:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x91e15d…
10-27 23:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x39ea76…
10-27 23:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4d08dd…
10-27 23:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1a1df5…
10-27 23:05:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc4c9aa…
10-27 23:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd355bf…
10-27 23:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc46369…
10-27 23:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe36bb2…
10-27 23:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xc42018…
10-27 23:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0xa263e2…
10-27 23:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd6d64d…
10-27 23:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfdf46a…
10-27 23:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xea96e4…
10-27 23:00:09	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa70e98…
10-27 22:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x020fa7…
10-27 22:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x0220e0…
10-27 22:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfdfe56…
10-27 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa70627…
10-27 22:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0xb5b6e6…
10-27 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xb8819a…
10-27 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xe1f940…
10-27 22:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x1906e3…
10-27 22:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x70d421…
10-27 22:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2731d2…
10-27 22:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x272cd8…
10-27 22:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4215c8…
10-27 22:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5ce93c…
10-27 22:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x441fea…
10-27 22:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xbf0cd5…
10-27 22:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x9dfefa…
10-27 22:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6e7564…
10-27 22:52:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbaa546…
10-27 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1bad76…
10-27 22:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x1478eb…
10-27 22:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x92b6db…
10-27 22:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0e7fd1…
10-27 22:48:36	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x443597…
10-27 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xe5ec83…
10-27 22:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x9213e4…
10-27 22:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xc73628…
10-27 22:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xac1c36…
10-27 22:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x786d84…
10-27 22:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x754ccd…
10-27 22:45:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xeae798…
10-27 22:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5992c1…
10-27 22:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x1c7611…
10-27 22:42:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1c76f5…
10-27 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xda9b8c…
10-27 22:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xf8e2f0…
10-27 22:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5a2cea…
10-27 22:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x7a5611…
10-27 22:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7c8580…
10-27 22:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x790d02…
10-27 22:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x48017c…
10-27 22:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xdb4da2…
10-27 22:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x7d105b…
10-27 22:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9a2884…
10-27 22:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x8e6614…
10-27 22:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe9f4df…
10-27 22:35:29	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x877718…
10-27 22:35:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe7f8b0…
10-27 22:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x8cb9e6…
10-27 22:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xae8f5b…
10-27 22:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1e6632…
10-27 22:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xcdb5f9…
10-27 22:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x30ab9c…
10-27 22:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x890e38…
10-27 22:25:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x7cfd18…
10-27 22:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x30b14b…
10-27 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x675ab6…
10-27 22:25:11	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0x0d7083…
10-27 22:24:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa245d2…
10-27 22:23:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x2c1069…
10-27 22:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x1e8416…
10-27 22:22:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5e892e…
10-27 22:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x030472…
10-27 22:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7f0e7a…
10-27 22:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb093ef…
10-27 22:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x322249…
10-27 22:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x0b5cab…
10-27 22:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x8ae078…
10-27 22:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x0e628e…
10-27 22:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xfe8834…
10-27 22:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3288e3…