Bogus-Bride — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$99

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-03 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

60% 0% $-5

Crypto

23% 12% $-16

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		-17	$-9	54¢	$-9	+$0	07-03 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
76ers vs. Celtics	6	$40	23	67	-44	open	—	05-03 01:47
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$9	0	17	-17	open	—	07-03 20:43
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	2	$8	106	106	+0	open	—	05-13 04:41
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-14 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Up	$-5	05-13 03:26
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$5	83	0	+83	Thunder	$-5	05-10 02:23
Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$4	90	0	+90	open	—	05-22 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$3	14	2	+12	Up	$-1	05-10 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	Down	$-2	05-10 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 02:14
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-10 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 20:43:35	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x141930…
07-02 05:10:44	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x417f5e…
05-22 03:54:06	Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0xb08428…
05-14 04:00:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xee6efb…
05-14 03:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9615fc…
05-13 04:41:22	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	106	3¢	$4	0xaa60e3…
05-13 03:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x706d13…
05-13 03:17:47	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x521752…
05-10 02:23:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa2c1a2…
05-10 02:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4d8fef…
05-10 02:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xefc4b4…
05-10 02:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x150ae2…
05-10 02:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xccef4a…
05-10 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd69a9d…
05-10 02:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35e92f…
05-10 02:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4bfe4b…
05-10 02:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x96f923…
05-10 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5a6b7b…
05-10 01:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x690526…
05-09 17:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xd5fa55…
05-09 17:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4f3ed9…
05-05 02:59:58	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xd934ef…
05-03 01:47:20	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7605be…
05-03 01:42:16	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0x6a4f23…
05-03 01:31:26	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x2c893e…
05-03 01:31:12	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x24f58e…
05-02 21:20:56	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x06998d…
05-02 21:17:58	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x0cc248…
05-02 21:17:20	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xd1f47b…