Writhing-Cloister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$379

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-08 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

45% 100% +$8

Other

30% — —

Politics

14% 100% +$5

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	03-21 06:06
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	3	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	01-19 19:52
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 06:07
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:30
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 215 239	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	01-11 03:38
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	01-11 03:42
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	01-11 03:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 22:21
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for germany by feburary 1	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	01-18 20:08
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:31
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 14:42
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 22:19
nhl phi wsh 2026 02 25	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	02-13 07:51
nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 21:59
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 04:07
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	1	$6	10	0	+10	Hurricanes	+$4	05-09 06:39
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	01-17 04:39
nhl fla nyi 2026 03 28	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 22:23
nhl min chi 2026 03 17	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 04:11
nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 21:58
nhl bos cbj 2026 04 12	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 19:58
nhl ana edm 2026 03 28	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 22:23
nhl nyi tor 2026 03 17	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 04:11
nhl det min 2026 01 22	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	01-23 04:58
nhl nyr sj 2026 01 23	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	01-23 05:00
nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 21:59
nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 19:59
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$5	10	0	+10	Canadiens	+$5	05-09 06:38
nhl nyi cal 2026 01 17	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-17 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 02:25:12	btc updown 5m 1780885500	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2335aa…
06-08 02:12:03	btc updown 5m 1780884600	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3e7962…
05-27 01:04:51	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x474e45…
05-24 19:04:18	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaf2c00…
05-09 06:39:15	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7998e5…
05-09 06:38:35	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe52f2a…
05-01 14:31:34	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc301f7…
04-28 14:42:06	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x91602e…
04-12 19:59:47	nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	Blue Jackets	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8cb68c…
04-12 19:58:57	nhl bos cbj 2026 04 12	Blue Jackets	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4ca909…
04-12 19:58:45	nhl car phi 2026 04 13	Flyers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x671aa3…
04-12 19:43:07	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2b7890…
04-12 19:42:53	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x876646…
04-11 21:13:17	nhl las col 2026 04 11	Golden Knights	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfab0fc…
04-11 21:12:59	nhl phi wpg 2026 04 11	Flyers	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x7e1b1e…
04-11 21:12:25	nhl cal sea 2026 04 11	Flames	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x9db78b…
04-11 21:11:13	nhl min nsh 2026 04 11	Predators	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x61ccde…
04-06 22:01:55	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfc14d1…
04-06 22:01:43	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xeeef9c…
04-06 21:59:55	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb044a5…
04-06 21:59:19	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Senators	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xdc595e…
04-06 21:58:59	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Sharks	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa093e1…
04-06 21:58:43	nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	Sabres	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfe7657…
03-29 22:19:16	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x2fdf72…
03-29 17:43:12	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xe5636d…
03-29 17:40:00	Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe24675…
03-29 17:37:52	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9d2fac…
03-29 17:35:54	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9ac0c8…
03-29 17:33:20	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xa6c21a…
03-29 17:33:12	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8cf64c…
03-29 17:31:52	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6ca47d…
03-29 17:30:44	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6430bf…
03-29 17:30:16	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x40e2b9…
03-27 22:23:29	nhl ana edm 2026 03 28	Oilers	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x399450…
03-27 22:23:17	nhl fla nyi 2026 03 28	Islanders	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb37b0f…
03-27 22:21:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x30ee16…
03-27 22:19:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x1aa733…
03-21 06:07:11	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xacb9e5…
03-21 06:06:37	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x02bafa…
03-17 04:11:55	nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	Kraken	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc357da…
03-17 04:11:19	nhl min chi 2026 03 17	Wild	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf102c1…
03-17 04:11:01	nhl nyi tor 2026 03 17	Islanders	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc9c906…
03-17 04:07:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7368f8…
02-13 08:20:03	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x0d92dc…
02-13 07:52:35	nhl tb car 2026 02 26	Hurricanes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7fd447…
02-13 07:52:05	nhl las lak 2026 02 25	Kings	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x67c2e7…
02-13 07:51:53	nhl wpg van 2026 02 25	Canucks	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf78d56…
02-13 07:51:21	nhl phi wsh 2026 02 25	Capitals	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x435638…
02-13 07:49:11	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x15b4df…
01-23 05:05:34	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xeab66e…
01-23 05:04:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x10b01c…
01-23 05:00:50	nhl nyr sj 2026 01 23	Sharks	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x80dc04…
01-23 04:58:16	nhl det min 2026 01 22	Wild	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x161e96…
01-19 19:52:02	Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x9772f1…
01-18 20:17:02	nhl tb dal 2026 01 18	Stars	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa13487…
01-18 20:08:04	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for germany by feburary 1	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf26a79…
01-18 20:05:34	Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x20c681…
01-18 20:05:04	Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xd3d999…
01-18 19:55:44	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x376e2c…
01-17 05:42:24	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x94c8b3…
01-17 05:31:26	will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x458af4…
01-17 05:28:32	will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9394e2…
01-17 05:25:54	will solana reach 180 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x8ab018…
01-17 05:25:18	will solana reach 190 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0x8e50b0…
01-17 05:24:54	will solana reach 160 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x13d4d4…
01-17 04:53:32	nhl nyi cal 2026 01 17	Flames	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa58ef4…
01-17 04:52:40	nfl buf den 2026 01 17	Bills	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x45449d…
01-17 04:39:28	another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe23a04…
01-17 04:38:36	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x577554…
01-14 03:55:16	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb66c0a…
01-14 03:45:36	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x27c49b…
01-14 03:35:56	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a2977…
01-11 03:42:48	nhl pit bos 2026 01 11	Bruins	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xccdd66…
01-11 03:42:00	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xfe9ce5…
01-11 03:40:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xaf421f…
01-11 03:38:04	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 215 239	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x134e06…