Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

+$379

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$233

Open exposure

$1.09K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-09 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$5

Crypto

42% 73% $-166

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No		+1,686	$708	64¢	$1.1K	+$379	05-31 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.2K	4,584	0	+4,584	open	—	06-01 08:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$828	1,104	0	+1,104	open	—	05-16 07:49
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$822	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	05-27 06:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$708	1,686	0	+1,686	open	—	05-31 14:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$637	884	0	+884	open	—	05-29 13:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$614	832	0	+832	open	—	05-01 08:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$418	461	0	+461	open	—	04-23 05:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$201	248	0	+248	open	—	05-29 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$174	185	0	+185	Down	$-174	05-05 09:32
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	1	$160	178	0	+178	open	—	06-09 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$114	119	0	+119	Down	+$5	05-05 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$98	132	0	+132	Up	+$34	05-05 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	Down	+$0	05-05 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$2	05-05 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	05-05 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$29	38	0	+38	Down	$-29	05-05 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$28	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	05-05 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	Up	+$0	05-05 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Up	$-25	05-05 11:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$5	05-05 11:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-17 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$16	35	0	+35	Up	+$18	05-05 11:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	06-08 11:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	1	$2	52	0	+52	open	—	06-08 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:34:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	178	90¢	$160	0x5d2b30…
06-08 11:10:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x6023bd…
06-08 11:09:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xd33221…
06-01 14:30:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xb4b0f6…
06-01 08:07:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,596	28¢	$999	0xc99953…
06-01 06:18:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	988	24¢	$238	0x8bb17b…
05-31 14:19:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,686	42¢	$708	0x6478fe…
05-29 13:44:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	248	81¢	$201	0x8fd9e7…
05-29 13:39:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	884	72¢	$637	0x20ee7c…
05-27 06:47:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1,039	79¢	$822	0x29bc6c…
05-16 07:49:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1,104	75¢	$828	0x34a493…
05-05 11:16:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$25	0x0a3b73…
05-05 11:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9540c6…
05-05 11:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x10d639…
05-05 10:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xb84ab2…
05-05 10:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	93¢	$30	0xe57819…
05-05 10:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x4bad8d…
05-05 10:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe47010…
05-05 10:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x5931a6…
05-05 10:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	75¢	$29	0x261381…
05-05 09:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	185	94¢	$174	0xa85d6d…
05-05 09:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0x9d66f0…
05-05 09:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	132	74¢	$98	0x75b39e…
05-01 08:30:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	604	82¢	$495	0xcb4b67…
04-24 01:05:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	228	52¢	$119	0xaa98a5…
04-23 05:42:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	461	90¢	$418	0xd72cfa…
04-17 21:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x22d5e7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	20	$46.0K	845	06-08 11:22
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	19	$62.6K	414	06-09 08:19
Confused-Dead 0x05dd…305c	14	$6.06K	292	06-03 09:42
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	13	$10.5K	993	06-09 19:22
Fatherly-Skin 0x81ff…331f	13	$3.05K	40	05-06 12:11
Poised-Common 0xfa2b…f194	13	$2.26K	49	05-06 18:00
Intent-Dealer 0xebc7…d2ff	13	$783	181	05-10 17:31
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	12	$429.1K	1,124	06-09 16:55