Tart-Mule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-15 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

46% 30% $-83

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by December 31, 2026?	3	$987	546	546	+0	open	—	04-26 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$942	705	674	+31	open	—	04-24 22:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	6	$902	799	774	+25	open	—	04-27 15:01
Iran leadership change by May 31?	10	$706	3,776	3,776	+0	open	—	05-07 15:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	6	$636	516	495	+21	open	—	04-29 18:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	2	$585	373	364	+9	open	—	04-27 15:05
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?	6	$553	1,543	0	+1,543	open	—	04-26 20:26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	3	$513	369	364	+5	open	—	04-27 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	8	$461	491	468	+23	open	—	04-24 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$350	1,344	0	+1,344	open	—	04-24 21:33
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	2	$313	213	213	+0	open	—	04-30 19:41
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$307	159	159	+0	Yes	+$7	04-27 13:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	4	$305	3,125	1,386	+1,739	open	—	04-26 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$250	678	0	+678	open	—	04-24 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$250	765	0	+765	open	—	04-24 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$232	799	0	+799	open	—	04-24 21:36
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	2	$210	431	0	+431	open	—	04-29 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$200	494	0	+494	open	—	04-24 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$200	849	0	+849	open	—	04-24 21:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	3	$175	428	0	+428	open	—	05-01 08:53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	1	$162	463	0	+463	open	—	04-27 20:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$155	702	702	+0	open	—	05-01 14:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$152	3,274	3,274	+0	open	—	05-14 10:36
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	4	$130	132	129	+2	open	—	04-27 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$127	363	106	+257	open	—	04-24 20:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	2	$127	116	112	+5	open	—	04-27 14:47
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$120	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	04-29 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$110	250	0	+250	open	—	04-24 21:44
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	4	$104	205	171	+34	open	—	04-27 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$100	680	0	+680	open	—	04-24 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:43:08	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x51d274…
05-15 10:41:25	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	7¢	$21	0x57e5b0…
05-15 10:40:29	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	6¢	$31	0xa4725d…
05-14 10:37:01	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	14¢	$16	0x93fae0…
05-14 10:36:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,427	1¢	$17	0x29dd46…
05-11 05:09:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	375	1¢	$4	0x3be81e…
05-11 05:08:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	476	2¢	$9	0xc30ee1…
05-08 12:34:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	632	2¢	$14	0x2a19f0…
05-07 19:10:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	318	2¢	$7	0x1bc366…
05-07 18:40:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x010051…
05-07 18:38:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	714	2¢	$15	0x68e410…
05-07 17:52:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	28	27¢	$7	0x30588b…
05-07 15:34:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	686	2¢	$14	0x6b983d…
05-07 15:29:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,214	5¢	$61	0x75f860…
05-06 19:21:52	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	Yes	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0xab0d0f…
05-06 18:21:49	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x86526b…
05-06 18:19:29	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdbe961…
05-06 08:59:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	405	6¢	$24	0x4b946d…
05-06 08:59:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	686	2¢	$16	0x4c61c3…
05-06 08:58:50	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	540	6¢	$32	0x8f5717…
05-06 02:22:36	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xf0a6c1…
05-05 16:21:06	Gabriel Martinelli: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x4a7373…
05-05 16:20:50	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x24c6f9…
05-05 15:06:08	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0e0fbd…
05-04 19:25:34	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x4079f3…
05-04 19:24:34	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xb39e2c…
05-04 19:10:22	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	28	59¢	$17	0xea8cb4…
05-04 05:19:00	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x7d408b…
05-03 17:11:32	IK Start vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3a1659…
05-03 09:23:10	Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6cd85e…
05-03 09:22:16	IK Start vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x18e448…
05-03 09:21:30	Vålerenga Fotball vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x7709af…
05-01 21:38:52	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,188	8¢	$95	0xb5454f…
05-01 21:02:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	971	7¢	$68	0x8b754d…
05-01 20:15:40	Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x13c0b8…
05-01 14:26:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	647	7¢	$45	0x378cf1…
05-01 14:23:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	702	10¢	$70	0x9a8235…
05-01 10:30:58	Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x0a505b…
05-01 08:53:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0xcdec3b…
05-01 07:27:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	79	31¢	$25	0x1a1f06…
04-30 20:20:58	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x43a201…
04-30 20:17:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0xe6f9bc…
04-30 19:41:20	SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xffb07e…
04-30 19:40:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xbba7b3…
04-30 19:02:28	SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x46847c…
04-30 17:54:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x181264…
04-30 14:19:28	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3f11cc…
04-30 05:59:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	405	4¢	$15	0x359131…
04-29 19:44:20	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	79	38¢	$30	0x98c24e…
04-29 19:44:10	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x1441b0…
04-29 19:43:54	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x226baa…
04-29 18:54:02	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x62a2af…
04-29 18:43:50	Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x8b9cae…
04-29 18:35:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	336	100¢	$335	0x391f9a…
04-29 17:19:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	112	58¢	$64	0x649bcd…
04-29 17:17:32	Will Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x176363…
04-29 17:13:52	Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	419	48¢	$200	0x717928…
04-29 17:08:00	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x507155…
04-29 15:08:40	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x242681…
04-29 04:57:16	Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xef65e6…
04-29 04:54:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,147	10¢	$120	0x35ab82…
04-28 20:43:46	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x32b574…
04-28 19:58:10	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x5ff19c…
04-28 19:38:26	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x3b2e1b…
04-28 19:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xae7071…
04-28 19:00:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc073b8…
04-28 18:22:28	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x888d87…
04-28 07:35:44	Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xb3b618…
04-28 05:04:24	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x0e20a3…
04-28 05:03:20	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb1edd7…
04-27 20:48:34	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	78¢	$38	0xcd8028…
04-27 20:32:04	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	57¢	$28	0x507edc…
04-27 20:26:36	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x6b0ce4…
04-27 20:18:44	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	45¢	$15	0xbc24eb…
04-27 20:07:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	463	35¢	$162	0x3acfa8…
04-27 19:48:22	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	364	86¢	$313	0x831662…
04-27 19:41:02	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xa09762…
04-27 19:39:40	Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	451	8¢	$37	0xfa219d…
04-27 19:33:44	Will SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x8c1160…
04-27 19:33:28	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	171	11¢	$19	0xc4a0ee…
04-27 19:12:24	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x634107…
04-27 19:08:56	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x116d49…
04-27 19:02:22	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x321f13…
04-27 18:57:30	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x8993e9…
04-27 18:55:12	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x1c3ab2…
04-27 18:43:24	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x9decf6…
04-27 17:45:46	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x860fe3…
04-27 15:05:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	364	92¢	$335	0x5c36d1…
04-27 15:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	580	78¢	$453	0x8e14cd…
04-27 14:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	76¢	$147	0xdf5db5…
04-27 14:50:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	19¢	$32	0x8a15ee…
04-27 14:47:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	112	69¢	$77	0xb09b78…
04-27 14:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	461	33¢	$150	0x2fcb7b…
04-27 14:33:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xc67282…
04-27 14:31:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	39¢	$57	0xb0f9da…
04-27 14:02:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	373	67¢	$250	0xa9d7c5…
04-27 13:59:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	159	99¢	$157	0x6e4a2d…
04-27 13:57:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0x0693b4…
04-27 05:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0x3004df…
04-27 05:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xba87bd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	82	$64.7K	1,858	06-01 01:57
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	79	$34.0K	3,943	05-06 18:31
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	67	$19.8K	3,256	05-06 18:31
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	62	$50.3K	9,376	04-28 19:34
Imaginative-Duty-Improvement 0xa8dd…e770	62	$24.9K	2,805	04-28 19:34
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	62	$20.4K	7,272	04-28 19:33
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	62	$19.3K	5,568	04-28 19:34
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	62	$18.4K	5,309	04-28 19:34