Irresponsible-Blight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$156

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-03 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 67% +$3

Politics

17% 0% $-0

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-22 04:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-21 11:33
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	6	$6	9	9	+0	No	$-0	05-08 02:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$6	4	8	-4	open	—	05-25 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 09:50
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-03 08:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 08:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-21 12:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	05-22 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$3	300	0	+300	open	—	04-30 07:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	05-22 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 07:09
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 02:57
Will Keenan Hayes win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-10 05:14
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$2	3	3	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 13:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-06 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-25 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-30 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-22 05:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-30 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-25 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-22 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 08:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x910c01…
06-03 08:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xf49973…
06-03 08:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6a0c23…
06-03 08:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x073b18…
06-03 08:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xb774ad…
06-03 08:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x878362…
06-03 07:58:12	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9d785e…
06-03 07:57:44	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xba7e92…
06-03 07:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb19d87…
06-03 07:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfca9eb…
06-03 07:43:49	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x18aeca…
06-03 07:42:03	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xef95cd…
06-03 07:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x177203…
06-03 07:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6a96fc…
06-03 07:40:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0144cd…
06-03 07:38:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d30ec…
05-28 06:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeba518…
05-28 06:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb1c833…
05-28 06:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd31e55…
05-28 02:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3debda…
05-28 02:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe14d38…
05-28 02:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc2c40f…
05-28 02:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x642762…
05-28 02:25:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6731fb…
05-26 10:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa2874d…
05-26 10:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x153b4e…
05-26 10:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x88c279…
05-26 02:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x1a24b6…
05-26 02:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x69727c…
05-25 07:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x175fa1…
05-25 07:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbcf847…
05-25 07:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x861c9f…
05-25 06:01:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x7e50b5…
05-25 06:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x67db1b…
05-25 06:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1489e4…
05-25 05:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9e3f2a…
05-22 08:36:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xe58f36…
05-22 08:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x894f32…
05-22 05:56:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xa484c9…
05-22 05:55:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x54e8dc…
05-22 05:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x55d053…
05-22 05:26:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x33eebd…
05-22 05:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd33bba…
05-22 04:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x4f85c6…
05-22 04:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x599787…
05-22 04:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xb34485…
05-22 04:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x85c88e…
05-22 02:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb91a47…
05-21 12:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x9ebefb…
05-21 12:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd3f8e8…
05-21 11:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdea1b7…
05-21 11:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2431be…
05-21 11:37:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4d3b54…
05-21 11:36:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd6b0b2…
05-21 11:33:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcbd99f…
05-21 11:32:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x893be0…
05-21 11:28:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x862e20…
05-21 11:23:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe801ee…
05-21 10:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe3115b…
05-21 09:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8899b0…
05-10 05:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb28498…
05-10 05:14:33	Will R.C. Landingham win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x863549…
05-10 05:14:29	Will Keenan Hayes win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x87b3a4…
05-10 05:14:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x651422…
05-10 05:09:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc41e67…
05-10 05:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd411b…
05-09 05:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xb24f9a…
05-09 05:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x92d280…
05-09 03:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0cc389…
05-08 14:05:45	Will R.C. Landingham win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x604ea7…
05-08 14:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa45d53…
05-08 13:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x322042…
05-08 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe300f0…
05-08 13:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x5ad806…
05-08 13:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x232c4a…
05-08 03:06:48	Will Keenan Hayes win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0e0694…
05-08 02:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4f2fe9…
05-08 02:43:09	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xceabfb…
05-07 12:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7c67a1…
05-07 12:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd26204…
05-07 12:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6cb7a7…
05-07 11:56:06	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x04c47d…
05-07 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x610951…
05-07 11:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x26b64c…
05-07 03:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0600ee…
05-07 02:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f8af9…
05-07 02:01:04	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xec74a2…
05-07 01:53:54	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc71863…
05-07 01:50:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x81b1ac…
05-07 01:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5d1245…
05-07 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5d1072…
05-07 01:34:20	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x548157…
05-06 10:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa505af…
05-06 10:02:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x18f74f…
05-06 09:55:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x39a1a2…
05-06 09:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x25e738…
05-06 07:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0cf6bd…
05-06 07:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd352d8…
05-06 06:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc1752e…
05-06 05:52:44	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x13ab54…