Will Keenan Hayes win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
open
Total volume
$131
Trades
28
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$15
Latest YES mid
86¢
Latest NO mid
14¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-23 08:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $49 | — | +$49 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $42 | $16 | +$26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 7 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | +15 | $-39 | $69 | 4 | 05-18 21:12 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +8 | $6 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 05:14 |
| Fickle-Embarrassment 0xff05…fad7 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 09:00 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-23 08:35 |
| Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 15:37 |
| Fickle-Embarrassment 0xff05…fad7 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 08:35:54 | (anonymous) 0xdcb6…d917 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x990180… |
| 05-23 08:35:54 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x990180… |
| 05-18 21:12:34 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | Yes | SELL | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xafe06a… |
| 05-18 21:12:34 | Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | SELL | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0xafe06a… |
| 05-15 09:00:03 | Fickle-Embarrassment 0xff05…fad7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x6ca7fc… |
| 05-15 09:00:03 | Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x6ca7fc… |
| 05-11 06:24:02 | (anonymous) 0xdcb6…d917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x049645… |
| 05-11 06:24:02 | (anonymous) 0xdcb6…d917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x7334ae… |
| 05-11 06:24:02 | Virtual-Cormorant 0x5131…ab2f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x7334ae… |
| 05-11 06:24:02 | Impeccable-Vine 0x9539…da53 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $0 | 0xb9cde1… |
| 05-11 06:24:02 | Rectangular-Diesel 0x14e9…80c0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x049645… |
| 05-11 06:24:02 | (anonymous) 0xdcb6…d917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 53¢ | $0 | 0xb9cde1… |
| 05-11 06:24:00 | Taut-Familiar 0xdec8…4eec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xd00054… |
| 05-11 06:24:00 | Gleaming-Reporter 0xdcca…5d53 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x2a3247… |
| 05-11 06:24:00 | (anonymous) 0xdcb6…d917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xd00054… |
| 05-11 06:24:00 | (anonymous) 0xdcb6…d917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x2a3247… |
| 05-10 05:14:29 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x87b3a4… |
| 05-10 05:14:29 | Irresponsible-Blight 0x0a7f…caa4 | No | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x87b3a4… |
| 05-09 15:40:46 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xfcf131… |
| 05-09 15:40:46 | Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xfcf131… |
| 05-09 15:37:12 | Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x30c078… |
| 05-09 15:37:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x30c078… |
| 05-09 15:37:12 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x30c078… |
| 05-09 15:37:12 | Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | BUY | 45 | 18¢ | $8 | 0x30c078… |
| 05-09 00:56:50 | Fickle-Embarrassment 0xff05…fad7 | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x96cf9a… |
| 05-09 00:56:50 | truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x96cf9a… |
| 05-08 03:06:48 | Fickle-Embarrassment 0xff05…fad7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0e0694… |
| 05-08 03:06:48 | Irresponsible-Blight 0x0a7f…caa4 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x0e0694… |