Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$748

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,554

lifetime

Volume

$185.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-08 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

50% 83% +$19

Other

34% 50% +$479

Crypto

10% 100% +$156

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$93

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	67	$8.1K	5,813	6,027	-215	open	—	05-31 15:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	72	$6.7K	5,920	4,586	+1,334	open	—	05-22 03:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	47	$5.8K	3,474	3,300	+175	open	—	05-11 15:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	39	$4.1K	3,018	2,301	+717	open	—	05-25 07:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	45	$4.1K	2,681	4,099	-1,418	open	—	06-13 13:48
Fed rate hike in 2026?	24	$4.0K	4,000	2,500	+1,500	open	—	08-03 13:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	32	$3.7K	2,365	2,507	-141	open	—	05-23 20:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	28	$3.5K	1,320	2,330	-1,010	open	—	05-29 17:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	40	$3.2K	3,432	2,637	+795	open	—	05-30 19:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	43	$3.1K	1,575	2,120	-545	open	—	04-22 16:58
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	60	$2.9K	2,360	1,524	+836	open	—	05-16 01:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	27	$2.6K	1,744	1,644	+100	open	—	05-07 20:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	28	$2.5K	1,620	1,620	+0	open	—	04-25 15:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	19	$2.5K	2,400	1,200	+1,200	open	—	05-27 02:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	49	$2.4K	2,177	2,156	+21	open	—	05-27 16:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$2.3K	1,023	1,400	-377	open	—	04-24 21:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	9	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-14 02:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	29	$2.2K	1,750	1,535	+215	open	—	05-25 08:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	38	$2.2K	1,615	1,893	-278	open	—	05-25 17:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	16	$2.1K	1,610	805	+805	open	—	04-22 17:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	30	$2.1K	1,403	1,301	+101	open	—	06-14 00:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	74	$2.1K	1,981	1,660	+321	open	—	05-27 14:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	56	$2.0K	1,701	1,404	+297	open	—	08-04 14:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	21	$1.9K	1,300	1,100	+200	open	—	05-11 17:12
will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	87	$1.9K	3,313	3,012	+302	open	—	06-18 17:24
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	11	$1.7K	1,100	1,300	-200	open	—	04-30 15:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	17	$1.7K	1,000	996	+4	open	—	04-25 15:24
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	14	$1.6K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	06-14 22:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	13	$1.6K	2,040	580	+1,460	open	—	05-23 15:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	34	$1.5K	1,620	1,420	+200	open	—	05-29 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 18:01:51	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xd6d2ea…
08-04 14:33:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	42	77¢	$33	0x739f15…
08-04 06:18:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x6530d8…
08-03 13:56:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x2ec6ef…
08-03 13:03:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xa6b338…
08-03 13:01:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xada86c…
08-03 13:00:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	71	73¢	$52	0xdc75a4…
08-02 14:06:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x2a2435…
08-02 14:06:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	91	72¢	$65	0x01c8a1…
08-02 13:37:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x638ec8…
08-02 13:35:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	61	72¢	$44	0xfbe8f7…
08-02 10:04:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x11c151…
08-01 08:50:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xc0cd97…
08-01 07:15:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	97	74¢	$72	0x80d638…
08-01 05:58:05	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xac65a3…
08-01 05:28:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x4dd2ed…
08-01 05:20:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0xd5a919…
08-01 05:19:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xbd8dd5…
08-01 05:09:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x3226c7…
08-01 05:08:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xceeff8…
08-01 05:08:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x40d492…
08-01 05:07:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xe73532…
08-01 05:07:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x91b9cd…
08-01 05:02:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xf57a49…
08-01 05:01:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xd4beb1…
08-01 03:48:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xb7fbdd…
08-01 03:02:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0xa6768d…
08-01 03:00:05	Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xea190a…
08-01 02:59:33	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x629d74…
08-01 02:59:15	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0x7b232c…
08-01 02:58:51	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x1e1996…
08-01 02:57:51	Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	25¢	$28	0xb1854b…
08-01 02:54:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	23¢	$25	0x772a37…
08-01 02:48:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x24ae71…
07-19 19:07:48	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xd6ba8c…
07-17 03:06:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	587	8¢	$47	0x965059…
07-17 01:45:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x5cc3e5…
07-16 23:53:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x43aa04…
07-16 23:51:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xf131e3…
07-16 23:35:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8e414d…
07-16 22:51:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0xd4ab3a…
07-16 22:45:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x743952…
07-16 20:53:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0xc3b69c…
07-16 20:05:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x43917e…
07-16 19:59:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	317	8¢	$25	0xa8250e…
07-13 21:12:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	489	4¢	$18	0x8108d1…
07-13 16:33:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	64¢	$384	0xbd5751…
07-13 16:33:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	63¢	$378	0x2af04d…
07-13 16:04:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	141	4¢	$5	0x20ede1…
07-13 08:04:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$9	0x16e2e1…
07-13 08:04:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	61¢	$37	0xf866bd…
07-13 08:04:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	61¢	$15	0x2ea698…
07-13 08:04:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	61¢	$37	0x13dcb8…
07-13 08:03:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb32536…
07-13 08:00:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x6a83e2…
07-13 07:50:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb851e5…
07-13 06:35:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x5cbc87…
07-13 03:05:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xe712f3…
07-13 02:43:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	61¢	$43	0x49a933…
07-04 00:21:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xf6c694…
07-04 00:19:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb66ab5…
07-03 23:21:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x790010…
07-03 23:11:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0xf4d80e…
07-03 22:26:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x21d716…
07-03 20:21:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x1b3924…
07-03 20:11:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x2fa9bf…
07-03 19:38:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	81	56¢	$45	0xbbabc7…
07-03 19:26:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xcf4e34…
07-03 19:23:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x67f7f8…
07-03 19:23:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x72f045…
07-03 00:33:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x558bd4…
07-01 15:51:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	92	60¢	$55	0xd35852…
07-01 15:45:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xc3d23a…
07-01 14:59:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0d6341…
07-01 13:57:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x223300…
07-01 13:56:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x44f5ab…
07-01 13:55:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$13	0x268899…
07-01 13:55:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x10c3de…
07-01 13:54:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe0ab04…
07-01 13:54:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xdfdf81…
07-01 13:54:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x976523…
07-01 13:54:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xaebe20…
06-22 21:12:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	310	97¢	$302	0xe61097…
06-22 13:33:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	59¢	$354	0x6c37a1…
06-22 12:25:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x9c1ddc…
06-22 09:45:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x23f47c…
06-22 09:44:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x57b159…
06-22 09:42:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x97b1b8…
06-22 09:42:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb62754…
06-22 09:42:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x221046…
06-22 09:41:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	65	53¢	$34	0xebaa57…
06-22 09:41:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x02d660…
06-22 09:39:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x68ac11…
06-22 09:38:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x7ac608…
06-22 09:20:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x3949e8…
06-22 09:20:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x146472…
06-22 09:20:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0xf8021f…
06-22 09:07:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x111af0…
06-22 09:04:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0xece809…
06-22 09:04:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x1b13d0…