Realized P&L
+$748
Unrealized P&L
-$966
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
3,476
lifetime
Volume
$182.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$5.96K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-01 15:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
51% 83% +$19
Other
33% 50% +$479
Crypto
10% 100% +$156
Tech
5% 100% +$1
Sports
1% 100% +$93
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,830 55¢ $1.6K $-195 06-22 13:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1,218 $-837 100¢ $-1214 $-377 06-13 13:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,680 $-869 62¢ $-1033 $-165 06-20 14:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -600 $-378 70¢ $-423 $-45 06-05 19:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +483 $283 61¢ $294 +$11 07-01 15:51
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -225 $-190 86¢ $-193 $-3 06-15 15:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-170 86¢ $-173 $-3 05-31 21:28
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +200 $125 84¢ $168 +$42 06-12 18:02
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -194 $-171 86¢ $-168 +$3 06-22 00:34
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No -167 $-163 100¢ $-167 $-4 05-13 02:49
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-92 94¢ $-94 $-2 05-29 17:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $97 44¢ $91 $-6 06-07 06:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -80 $-66 83¢ $-66 $-1 06-10 13:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +930 $114 $60 $-54 06-11 02:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $231 30¢ $59 $-172 06-21 18:20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -200 $-96 24¢ $-47 +$49 06-14 23:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +200 $58 16¢ $32 $-26 06-10 07:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +630 $39 $26 $-14 06-09 22:18
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes +200 $11 $7 $-4 06-15 18:17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 24¢ $5 $-3 05-27 21:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +20 $3 16¢ $3 +$1 05-28 12:41
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? Yes +6 $2 20¢ $1 $-0 05-28 12:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +2 $0 28¢ $1 +$0 05-28 08:05