Realized P&L
+$748
Unrealized P&L
-$318
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
3,519
lifetime
Volume
$184.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$4.99K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-19 19:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
51% 83% +$19
Other
34% 50% +$479
Crypto
10% 100% +$156
Tech
5% 100% +$1
Sports
1% 100% +$93
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,536 $907 74¢ $1.1K +$230 07-13 16:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,680 $-869 66¢ $-1117 $-249 06-20 14:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1,293 $720 70¢ $899 +$178 07-04 00:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -600 $-378 99¢ $-593 $-215 06-05 19:33
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -225 $-190 92¢ $-208 $-18 06-15 15:37
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -214 $-189 92¢ $-196 $-7 07-19 19:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-170 86¢ $-173 $-3 05-31 21:28
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No -167 $-163 100¢ $-167 $-4 05-13 02:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +200 $125 68¢ $135 +$9 06-12 18:02
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-92 94¢ $-94 $-2 05-29 17:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $97 36¢ $77 $-20 06-07 06:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -80 $-66 89¢ $-71 $-5 06-10 13:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +200 $58 32¢ $65 +$7 06-10 07:14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -200 $-96 18¢ $-37 +$59 06-14 23:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -100 $32 $-6 $-38 07-17 03:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 22¢ $4 $-3 05-27 21:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +20 $3 20¢ $4 +$2 05-28 12:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $231 $2 $-229 06-21 18:20
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes +200 $11 $2 $-9 06-15 18:17
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 05-28 12:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +2 $0 26¢ $1 +$0 05-28 08:05