Realized P&L
+$748
Unrealized P&L
-$491
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
3,164
lifetime
Volume
$166.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$6.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 06-09 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
53% 83% +$19
Other
31% 50% +$479
Crypto
10% 100% +$156
Tech
4% 100% +$1
Sports
1% 100% +$93
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1,618 $-1,165 90¢ $-1464 $-299 06-05 16:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,246 $-627 62¢ $-766 $-140 06-04 23:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -600 $-514 96¢ $-575 $-60 05-29 23:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -500 $-428 90¢ $-448 $-20 06-01 01:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -600 $-378 69¢ $-414 $-36 06-05 19:33
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No -400 $-396 99¢ $-398 $-2 05-29 16:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -400 $-386 98¢ $-390 $-4 06-01 17:26
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -396 $-385 98¢ $-389 $-5 05-29 17:22
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +400 $266 71¢ $284 +$18 06-08 04:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +200 $178 94¢ $187 +$9 06-06 14:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +200 $185 91¢ $181 $-4 06-05 14:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-170 84¢ $-169 +$1 05-31 21:28
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No -167 $-163 100¢ $-167 $-4 05-13 02:49
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +200 $132 75¢ $150 +$18 05-31 22:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -150 $-121 94¢ $-140 $-19 05-29 17:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-154 68¢ $-135 +$19 05-29 16:31
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -110 $-104 96¢ $-105 $-2 06-06 16:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $97 46¢ $96 $-2 06-07 06:46
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-92 92¢ $-92 $-0 05-29 17:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-86 32¢ $-65 +$21 06-08 22:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +188 $55 29¢ $55 $-0 06-09 21:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +330 $44 14¢ $45 +$0 06-08 09:12
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +50 $41 84¢ $42 +$1 06-05 14:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +180 $-5 20¢ $37 +$42 06-08 12:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +630 $39 $35 $-5 06-09 22:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +30 $29 93¢ $28 $-1 06-01 17:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +400 $26 $26 +$0 06-06 10:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No -123 $-39 17¢ $-21 +$18 06-06 18:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +200 $62 10¢ $19 $-43 06-06 10:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +29 $10 66¢ $19 +$9 05-29 03:15