Close-Presume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

+$122

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$91.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

$478

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-09 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$54

Politics

25% 100% +$16

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+500	$356	96¢	$478	+$122	07-02 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	39	$14.1K	7,650	7,150	+500	open	—	07-02 08:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	12	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	07-08 16:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	10	$4.7K	2,300	2,500	-200	open	—	06-13 05:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-03 23:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	21	$3.8K	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	02-05 00:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	24	$3.8K	1,900	1,950	-50	open	—	05-13 02:46
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	3	$3.8K	3,800	0	+3,800	open	—	01-30 19:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	17	$3.7K	1,781	2,000	-219	open	—	05-16 04:27
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	12	$3.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	01-22 02:42
will edgex launch a token in 2025	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-01 05:02
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	8	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	05-12 13:46
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	7	$1.9K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	01-31 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$1.8K	900	1,000	-100	open	—	06-01 16:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	2	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	01-20 02:48
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	11	$1.6K	1,000	800	+200	open	—	05-01 04:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.6K	887	987	-100	open	—	05-27 16:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$1.5K	1,400	200	+1,200	open	—	07-09 22:15
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$1.3K	900	1,000	-100	open	—	04-12 16:31
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	10	$1.2K	1,050	300	+750	open	—	04-13 10:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-28 09:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	05-15 17:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-17 18:26
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	7	$993	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-02 16:33
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$992	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-26 17:21
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-20 12:30
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$986	500	500	+0	open	—	05-21 13:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$974	500	500	+0	open	—	04-19 18:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$946	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$54	03-27 06:12
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	6	$828	836	0	+836	open	—	06-30 18:31
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	13	$822	385	500	-115	open	—	03-18 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 22:15:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	264	99¢	$263	0xdcf5bf…
07-09 22:04:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	436	100¢	$433	0xa93b37…
07-08 16:42:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2,200	100¢	$2,198	0xbee66d…
07-03 17:28:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x97e399…
07-03 17:16:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x06d480…
07-03 13:28:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	352	99¢	$350	0x9c2ad4…
07-03 06:33:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x79cd0b…
07-03 05:16:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xb3c007…
07-02 14:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	213	70¢	$149	0x765031…
07-02 14:27:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	87	70¢	$61	0x859a28…
07-02 12:28:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xebb0f7…
07-02 08:43:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0xe4f7b9…
07-02 08:41:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x77d828…
07-02 08:02:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,750	100¢	$2,742	0x7fd640…
07-01 08:24:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	400	96¢	$385	0xca9242…
07-01 03:50:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0xa73fbb…
06-30 18:31:11	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x1d903b…
06-30 17:57:32	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	240	99¢	$239	0xebdc15…
06-30 11:40:14	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	188	99¢	$187	0x993b06…
06-30 07:00:34	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe70365…
06-30 04:34:35	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x757356…
06-30 00:59:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x66a92b…
06-29 16:37:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0xb8691f…
06-29 07:00:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x5e3018…
06-28 20:33:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xf83b45…
06-28 20:25:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3f7cfb…
06-28 20:25:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xf9a4fd…
06-28 16:22:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x10894f…
06-28 16:20:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xf23007…
06-28 16:19:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	141	86¢	$122	0xa673b1…
06-28 14:18:41	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9c70b6…
06-28 12:06:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x7f6ec5…
06-28 09:41:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0xe79fca…
06-28 09:39:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xda3cf2…
06-28 09:27:16	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0x07b312…
06-28 09:25:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x88d958…
06-28 08:19:19	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	186	98¢	$182	0xd49a86…
06-28 06:29:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcca8b1…
06-27 15:27:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,500	97¢	$1,450	0xb05b70…
06-27 14:32:59	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x8d28fd…
06-27 14:27:38	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xca8cdf…
06-27 14:25:43	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x66d343…
06-27 14:22:11	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xb5ebd9…
06-27 14:22:11	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x567fd6…
06-27 14:08:35	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x986714…
06-27 13:51:17	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2bcb3c…
06-27 13:51:10	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xcc27c3…
06-27 13:45:05	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3a13d8…
06-27 13:42:20	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xecde48…
06-27 13:37:43	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa80678…
06-27 13:36:25	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x6864f5…
06-27 03:36:31	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x4c18b5…
06-27 03:25:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xada82e…
06-27 03:11:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x18756f…
06-27 02:58:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0x6b9c5a…
06-27 02:55:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	266	94¢	$251	0xde25a0…
06-27 02:53:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb8e367…
06-27 02:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x0da723…
06-27 02:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc4a634…
06-27 02:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x1f2cd8…
06-27 02:16:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$284	0xd2d55b…
06-27 02:00:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0x14cf0c…
06-26 11:02:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	317	90¢	$284	0xfabc8e…
06-26 11:02:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	83	90¢	$75	0x3cff65…
06-26 05:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x88ff85…
06-26 03:48:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0x0929a5…
06-26 02:24:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x93a77d…
06-26 02:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	95¢	$572	0x16c9c0…
06-26 02:21:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,100	95¢	$1,047	0x896c34…
06-25 09:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x6325d0…
06-25 08:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x667a0d…
06-25 06:19:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0xc83cc9…
06-25 03:02:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xe7841b…
06-25 02:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$478	0x693433…
06-25 01:16:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xe8a23a…
06-18 12:33:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	400	85¢	$340	0x223866…
06-17 18:26:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0x6600cf…
06-16 19:55:08	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe6c7f9…
06-16 19:51:29	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x9d5472…
06-16 13:42:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xca0dbe…
06-16 12:29:19	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x7ba6b2…
06-16 12:20:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7d68db…
06-16 12:19:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	99¢	$194	0xefa6d4…
06-16 12:13:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xb8484a…
06-15 11:13:10	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xef42c2…
06-14 18:06:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x393b60…
06-13 05:34:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,492	0x54044c…
06-09 13:17:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xfc345a…
06-09 01:23:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xa01360…
06-08 09:00:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x088b55…
06-08 03:12:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x70e80b…
06-07 20:22:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	46	92¢	$43	0x83c1e5…
06-07 20:21:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x6c6dd7…
06-07 20:19:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb96883…
06-07 19:26:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x6f0e21…
06-06 17:25:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe91895…
06-06 15:46:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x7db446…
06-05 17:16:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	173	97¢	$168	0x168af7…
06-05 17:11:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x2b59aa…
06-05 16:49:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xdc2c85…