Close-Presume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

+$88

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$63.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

$1.20K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$54

Politics

33% 100% +$16

Crypto

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+900	$727	90¢	$814	+$88	06-05 06:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No		+400	$389	97¢	$389	+$1	06-07 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-03 23:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	21	$3.8K	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	02-05 00:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	24	$3.8K	1,900	1,950	-50	open	—	05-13 02:46
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	3	$3.8K	3,800	0	+3,800	open	—	01-30 19:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	17	$3.7K	1,781	2,000	-219	open	—	05-16 04:27
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	12	$3.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	01-22 02:42
will edgex launch a token in 2025	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-01 05:02
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	8	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	05-12 13:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	9	$2.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	06-09 01:23
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	7	$1.9K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	01-31 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$1.8K	900	1,000	-100	open	—	06-01 16:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	2	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	01-20 02:48
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	11	$1.6K	1,000	800	+200	open	—	05-01 04:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.6K	887	987	-100	open	—	05-27 16:43
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$1.3K	900	1,000	-100	open	—	04-12 16:31
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	10	$1.2K	1,050	300	+750	open	—	04-13 10:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	05-15 17:15
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	7	$993	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-02 16:33
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$992	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-26 17:21
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-20 12:30
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$986	500	500	+0	open	—	05-21 13:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$974	500	500	+0	open	—	04-19 18:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$946	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$54	03-27 06:12
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	13	$822	385	500	-115	open	—	03-18 01:20
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$790	400	400	+0	open	—	05-21 13:53
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$789	400	400	+0	open	—	05-21 13:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	12	$770	500	500	+0	open	—	03-18 01:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$727	900	0	+900	open	—	06-05 06:28
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$716	550	250	+300	open	—	03-31 01:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$596	300	300	+0	open	—	06-08 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:17:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xfc345a…
06-09 01:23:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xa01360…
06-08 09:00:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x088b55…
06-08 03:12:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x70e80b…
06-07 20:22:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	46	92¢	$43	0x83c1e5…
06-07 20:21:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x6c6dd7…
06-07 20:19:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb96883…
06-07 19:26:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x6f0e21…
06-06 17:25:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe91895…
06-06 15:46:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x7db446…
06-05 17:16:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	173	97¢	$168	0x168af7…
06-05 17:11:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x2b59aa…
06-05 16:49:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xdc2c85…
06-05 06:28:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x81dea9…
06-05 06:26:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x4f22b6…
06-05 06:20:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8d3495…
06-05 06:03:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	94	97¢	$92	0x92469e…
06-05 03:50:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x84b6a4…
06-05 02:36:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x27f345…
06-03 23:59:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x57f7b3…
06-03 10:14:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$290	0x5467ec…
06-03 04:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x9d7876…
06-02 00:30:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x075a90…
06-02 00:30:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x2d738a…
06-01 23:43:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,986	0x38f2b4…
06-01 23:43:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x5a9ab4…
06-01 23:37:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x6d9f82…
06-01 16:25:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa832ab…
05-27 16:43:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	176	86¢	$152	0xb73346…
05-27 16:43:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xf39f47…
05-27 16:43:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	206	86¢	$177	0x08c46f…
05-27 09:45:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xa670c6…
05-27 09:43:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6a210b…
05-27 09:31:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xb5fac2…
05-27 09:31:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	83¢	$56	0xd3c5e6…
05-27 09:25:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3dee9b…
05-27 09:05:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	83¢	$59	0x3aa256…
05-27 08:08:11	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xb0a00c…
05-25 10:55:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x0d900c…
05-24 11:30:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7baed8…
05-24 11:07:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x7938e7…
05-22 11:21:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$471	0x53e482…
05-22 10:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x75ecbf…
05-22 10:29:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xeb799a…
05-22 03:09:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5bf250…
05-21 13:53:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x6af5f0…
05-21 13:52:58	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x577fa6…
05-21 13:52:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x29bf5a…
05-19 05:51:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc78668…
05-18 01:00:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0xf8238e…
05-17 04:15:57	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x12403a…
05-17 01:53:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xdfc22f…
05-17 01:52:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xda3f73…
05-16 20:56:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x69536f…
05-16 06:39:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xaea9d2…
05-16 06:22:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x30afa3…
05-16 04:50:28	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe4db10…
05-16 04:50:28	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x9bb600…
05-16 04:48:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x12521d…
05-16 04:48:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x22f62f…
05-16 04:48:06	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x49edf9…
05-16 04:46:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x22dfb5…
05-16 04:46:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x6c64e2…
05-16 04:46:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x0adde1…
05-16 04:44:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xef9eda…
05-16 04:44:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe5cecf…
05-16 04:29:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xa0f94f…
05-16 04:27:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,700	100¢	$1,698	0x8db475…
05-15 17:15:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x58bef7…
05-14 12:00:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	195	99¢	$194	0x67b988…
05-14 11:57:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x3abeb1…
05-14 11:56:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0xb36142…
05-13 23:51:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x7e3647…
05-13 17:49:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x29c37a…
05-13 11:42:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0x50a2cc…
05-13 11:38:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x27f1e7…
05-13 11:35:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$156	0x01de54…
05-13 02:54:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x12dca2…
05-13 02:46:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,050	100¢	$1,047	0x0ef9f9…
05-12 19:20:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x943cd4…
05-12 18:06:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa77a22…
05-12 18:06:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x5fb142…
05-12 17:51:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x10fd4f…
05-12 13:46:03	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	615	100¢	$614	0xd0e4eb…
05-12 13:42:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x90e480…
05-12 13:40:27	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x36705f…
05-12 13:39:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0xbe4b56…
05-12 07:14:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe8a982…
05-12 01:14:57	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xb1f8d4…
05-11 18:03:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xaa876e…
05-11 10:45:31	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x844dd6…
05-11 05:48:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xfeea8a…
05-11 03:22:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x047a0c…
05-11 03:11:09	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0xf97129…
05-10 21:35:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	900	99¢	$891	0x1d95cb…
05-10 20:13:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0xfb1de0…
05-10 14:39:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x976e94…
05-09 22:04:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x7adfae…
05-09 19:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x5bbc2f…
05-09 19:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x0a0f80…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	67	$41.4M	45,240	06-10 00:46
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	67	$219.5K	1,146	06-08 23:32
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	64	$73.6K	2,169	06-06 01:38
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	63	$966.9K	14,730	06-09 14:27
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	55	$10.9K	2,060	06-07 23:43
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	53	$545.9K	39,537	06-09 23:36
Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b	52	$1.41M	3,856	06-09 16:40
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	51	$1.46M	5,490	06-10 00:29