Close-Presume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$497

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

100

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$102.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

70% 89% +$1,026

Politics

22% 70% $-583

Crypto

7% 100% +$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	39	$14.1K	7,650	7,150	+500	No	+$202	07-02 08:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	12	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$42	07-08 16:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	10	$4.7K	2,300	2,500	-200	No	+$60	06-13 05:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$58	07-14 18:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$12	06-03 23:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	21	$3.8K	3,900	0	+3,900	Yes	+$85	02-05 00:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	24	$3.8K	1,900	1,950	-50	No	+$39	05-13 02:46
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	3	$3.8K	3,800	0	+3,800	Yes	+$20	01-30 19:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	17	$3.7K	1,781	2,000	-219	No	+$27	05-16 04:27
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	12	$3.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$2	01-22 02:42
will edgex launch a token in 2025	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$18	01-01 05:02
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	8	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	+$34	05-12 13:46
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	7	$1.9K	1,054	1,054	+0	No	$-23	01-31 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$1.8K	900	1,000	-100	No	+$48	06-01 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$164	07-31 09:54
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	2	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$5	01-20 02:48
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	11	$1.6K	1,000	800	+200	No	+$24	05-01 04:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.6K	887	987	-100	No	+$5	05-27 16:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	6	$1.4K	703	703	+0	No	+$9	08-13 11:37
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$1.3K	900	1,000	-100	No	$-190	04-12 16:31
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	10	$1.2K	1,050	300	+750	No	+$90	04-13 10:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$15	06-28 09:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	No	+$85	05-15 17:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	$-181	06-17 18:26
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	7	$993	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$7	02-02 16:33
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$992	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$8	01-26 17:21
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$11	01-20 12:30
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$986	500	500	+0	No	+$12	05-21 13:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$974	500	500	+0	No	+$4	04-19 18:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$946	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$54	03-27 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 01:17:49	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	SELL	33	80¢	$26	0xdcd0cb…
08-19 01:11:48	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0x30d93f…
08-18 17:42:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1d1a2f…
08-18 09:34:55	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1cf0e5…
08-18 06:42:45	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xa924e7…
08-18 05:29:39	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x442573…
08-18 04:42:16	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x67e9a0…
08-18 03:32:45	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x582a00…
08-13 11:37:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	703	100¢	$702	0x97d24a…
08-12 12:48:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8f5bdf…
08-12 07:39:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4de4a6…
08-12 02:12:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e5cd5…
08-11 11:03:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x695667…
08-11 11:01:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc59dc0…
08-10 05:53:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8c302…
08-09 21:09:58	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xe2dec0…
08-09 09:04:43	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x47a758…
08-09 05:53:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x496818…
08-09 03:34:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa33535…
08-08 03:07:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x6a7ac8…
08-07 08:58:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x0768dd…
08-07 04:55:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xa48cce…
08-07 03:19:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xe51de2…
08-07 03:13:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x368f66…
08-07 02:43:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0c9551…
08-06 17:47:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x785ff1…
08-06 17:12:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x822c2d…
08-06 16:46:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x990128…
08-06 16:23:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x3c3961…
08-03 02:37:56	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc851a9…
08-03 02:35:27	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0135b3…
08-01 17:32:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xa7f61c…
08-01 15:52:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd0a8a1…
08-01 15:29:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x9b1d12…
07-31 09:54:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x447716…
07-30 07:30:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x766aa2…
07-30 05:37:23	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xd535ac…
07-30 05:19:03	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x5730e9…
07-30 01:32:59	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe36e43…
07-26 12:35:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	285	99¢	$283	0x51d206…
07-26 12:30:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe402dd…
07-26 12:30:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x0b9703…
07-23 23:58:42	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	200	59¢	$119	0x9f8858…
07-23 23:40:52	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0xe5a36c…
07-23 23:35:45	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x531979…
07-23 09:40:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	67	70¢	$47	0x335507…
07-23 09:39:46	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	133	70¢	$93	0x9eb7bc…
07-19 06:42:33	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xced809…
07-18 19:37:54	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xb616d4…
07-17 17:09:45	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x321ab3…
07-17 17:07:46	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0xcfe370…
07-17 16:01:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x061d48…
07-17 09:11:54	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$38	0xa1eb8e…
07-17 09:10:22	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0x1e3829…
07-17 09:09:37	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0d6680…
07-17 09:02:19	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xf3bd08…
07-16 01:56:13	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xbaca33…
07-15 22:07:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xb81091…
07-15 22:07:31	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6fb8c0…
07-15 22:07:20	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x9037e7…
07-15 18:21:52	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x13915a…
07-15 18:08:40	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xf1983a…
07-15 10:46:20	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xbae9e8…
07-15 08:04:44	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	32	94¢	$31	0xe91912…
07-15 08:01:37	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x374ced…
07-15 08:00:47	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	148	91¢	$135	0x8186f6…
07-15 07:56:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x23b555…
07-15 07:54:44	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0xd847f1…
07-15 07:49:14	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xffefc3…
07-15 07:42:44	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1d718f…
07-15 07:38:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0x0633ab…
07-15 07:31:16	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x2b6c7f…
07-15 07:23:40	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x576444…
07-15 07:05:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x68fa7c…
07-14 18:12:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	672	100¢	$670	0x2fbdfd…
07-14 18:12:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,528	100¢	$1,525	0x60adbf…
07-13 12:43:19	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xcb8098…
07-13 10:56:47	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xe11803…
07-13 06:32:28	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	86	98¢	$85	0x7d17f5…
07-12 03:50:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x492aaf…
07-11 14:18:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xbb6def…
07-10 21:40:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xce3351…
07-10 19:38:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa7f1c7…
07-09 22:15:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	264	99¢	$263	0xdcf5bf…
07-09 22:04:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	436	100¢	$433	0xa93b37…
07-08 16:42:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2,200	100¢	$2,198	0xbee66d…
07-03 17:28:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x97e399…
07-03 17:16:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x06d480…
07-03 13:28:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	352	99¢	$350	0x9c2ad4…
07-03 06:33:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x79cd0b…
07-03 05:16:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xb3c007…
07-02 14:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	213	70¢	$149	0x765031…
07-02 14:27:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	87	70¢	$61	0x859a28…
07-02 12:28:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xebb0f7…
07-02 08:43:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0xe4f7b9…
07-02 08:41:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x77d828…
07-02 08:02:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,750	100¢	$2,742	0x7fd640…
07-01 08:24:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	400	96¢	$385	0xca9242…
07-01 03:50:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0xa73fbb…
06-30 18:31:11	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x1d903b…