Merry-Gobbler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$206

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-29 01:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 58% $-4

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-1	$-1	98¢	$-1	$-0	06-16 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1780681200	5	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	06-05 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$8	27	27	+0	open	—	05-02 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 20:54
btc updown 5m 1780616400	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	06-04 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-02 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	5	$5	5	4	+2	open	—	05-20 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-27 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$4	15	14	+1	open	—	05-14 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 03:35
btc updown 15m 1782697500	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	06-29 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$4	5	3	+2	Down	$-0	05-09 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+3	Down	$-0	05-13 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-23 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-15 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$3	4	1	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$3	17	1	+16	open	—	05-21 18:20
btc updown 5m 1780616100	4	$3	16	5	+11	open	—	06-04 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$3	14	14	+0	open	—	05-20 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+3	open	—	05-27 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$3	17	5	+13	open	—	05-14 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$3	4	2	+1	open	—	05-20 01:58
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$3	4	2	+1	open	—	05-15 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-02 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 01:57:13	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcb87a3…
06-29 01:57:13	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb14d1b…
06-16 20:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781642100	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0d71ea…
06-16 20:26:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf6d30e…
06-10 22:28:33	btc updown 5m 1781130300	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdc3db6…
06-07 16:47:48	btc updown 5m 1780850700	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x31cf15…
06-05 17:45:07	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x24e5eb…
06-05 17:43:45	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x2f788f…
06-05 17:43:12	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x7f6ed2…
06-05 17:41:21	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfe475b…
06-05 17:40:22	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf0278b…
06-04 23:41:01	btc updown 5m 1780616400	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe09b5c…
06-04 23:40:45	btc updown 5m 1780616400	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x12bdbb…
06-04 23:38:57	btc updown 5m 1780616100	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x806504…
06-04 23:38:49	btc updown 5m 1780616100	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x1e4d7b…
06-04 23:38:06	btc updown 5m 1780616100	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xd441e6…
06-04 23:38:00	btc updown 5m 1780616100	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3d1978…
06-02 15:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xf8af35…
06-02 15:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa41f23…
05-29 22:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbb6ed3…
05-29 22:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x57715e…
05-28 14:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x9cefa1…
05-28 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe438d4…
05-27 23:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa3bb9a…
05-27 23:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x125ff7…
05-27 22:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x850abf…
05-27 22:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf6519b…
05-27 22:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8288eb…
05-27 21:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x86f512…
05-27 21:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x815b0d…
05-27 21:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x45844c…
05-26 23:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbba07a…
05-24 17:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5a7f95…
05-24 17:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdf37f6…
05-24 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x071289…
05-24 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa2de64…
05-24 17:07:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4797b0…
05-23 19:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x6c0f85…
05-23 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfdee15…
05-23 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdea153…
05-23 18:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb4e049…
05-23 18:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbbb225…
05-21 18:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x847fbd…
05-21 18:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe84ab4…
05-21 18:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xaeecbe…
05-21 18:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x39c4f8…
05-20 23:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x613220…
05-20 18:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb89fc4…
05-20 02:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa4cdd2…
05-20 02:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x74bc8c…
05-20 02:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0e6685…
05-20 02:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xadc69d…
05-20 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xdf76e6…
05-20 02:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb733c6…
05-20 02:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf187f7…
05-20 01:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x343a95…
05-20 01:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3a7eb2…
05-20 01:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x07a7b0…
05-20 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x83a132…
05-20 01:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xb8f7f5…
05-20 01:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1d5daa…
05-20 01:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd735f4…
05-20 01:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x614e6c…
05-20 01:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xec3ba5…
05-20 01:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xeb6fd6…
05-18 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x44b0e7…
05-18 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ab477…
05-18 22:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x081c3e…
05-17 19:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x17d78b…
05-16 15:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c2ebe…
05-15 21:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb03508…
05-15 21:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe88a47…
05-15 21:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb57e92…
05-15 21:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x658b9a…
05-15 21:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc4da59…
05-15 20:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc7a30b…
05-15 20:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf26b69…
05-15 20:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8aa38a…
05-15 20:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeda992…
05-15 20:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xb2c731…
05-15 20:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x7ccfdc…
05-15 20:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfddfa0…
05-15 20:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfbd4d2…
05-15 20:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbbf3c8…
05-15 20:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x24ae7a…
05-15 15:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xbb0aaa…
05-15 15:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x87484c…
05-15 02:51:53	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x65fba4…
05-15 02:51:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe8a4b2…
05-15 02:46:00	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xe7ebea…
05-15 02:43:05	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x71bcc9…
05-15 02:41:41	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1edd88…
05-14 22:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x24998d…
05-14 22:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe8a336…
05-14 22:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5a87d7…
05-14 22:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2448f4…
05-14 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa64597…
05-14 17:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xbfd6bc…
05-14 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa95512…
05-14 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaa0385…