Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$880
$50,301 in 24h
Trades
67
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 19:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $495
vs crowd: 93% YES on $804)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $37 | — | +$37 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $473 | $6 | +$466 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $238 | $47 | +$192 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $495 | — | +$495 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $68 | $9 | +$58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 11 | $52 | — | +$52 |
| Below median | 9 | $33 | $1 | +$32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $55 | $30 | +$25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $47 | — | +$47 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +480 | $380 | $380 | 6 | 05-13 17:22 |
| Chief-Regionalism-Lycra 0x2f44…170d | Down | +193 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Everlasting-Squeegee 0xb5ff…3fcd | Up | +137 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-13 17:17 |
| Alienated-Perp 0xa25b…c819 | Down | +70 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-13 17:42 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +63 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-13 17:02 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Grandiose-Consideration 0x6d54…ee01 | Up | +48 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Muddy-Labourer 0x9b73…17d2 | Down | +39 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Up | +32 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-13 17:22 |
| Functional-Waterwheel 0x56d4…746f | Up | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 17:42 |
| Rotating-Pith 0x8ceb…1952 | Up | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +22 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-13 17:02 |
| Palatable-Illustration 0xbce9…4654 | Down | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:42 |
| Round-Polliwog 0x7617…528c | Up | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 14:28 |
| Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | +15 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Naive-Violet 0x2ca1…6dba | Up | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 17:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-13 17:43 |
| Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Up | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 17:22 |
| Truthful-Wasp 0x634f…c2dc | Up | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 17:47 |
| Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 17:17 |
| Grateful-Covariate-Causeway 0xce48…a15c | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-13 17:12 |
| Paltry-Linguist 0x48e2…9ce3 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 16:12 |
| Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 17:17 |
| Alienated-Twins 0xee72…d78c | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 17:42 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 17:17 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 17:07 |
| Roasted-Sink 0x2138…ddd2 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 17:22 |
| Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0826…9de9 | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:29 |
| Daring-Photoreceptor 0x4d6a…f6bf | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:17 |
| General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b2f…d29e | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:22 |
| Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5a0…718a | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:22 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a5…d063 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 19:12:56 | Authentic-Stay 0xa551…a8f5 | Up | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xd53c2f… |
| 05-13 19:12:42 | Better-Nationality 0xcc20…e904 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1d09e3… |
| 05-13 17:47:39 | Truthful-Wasp 0x634f…c2dc | Up | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x3bbe0b… |
| 05-13 17:43:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xfc27ad… |
| 05-13 17:42:50 | Alienated-Perp 0xa25b…c819 | Down | BUY | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0b4d06… |
| 05-13 17:42:48 | Functional-Waterwheel 0x56d4…746f | Up | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x682aa4… |
| 05-13 17:42:43 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Up | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2cc9af… |
| 05-13 17:42:33 | Palatable-Illustration 0xbce9…4654 | Down | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd069d9… |
| 05-13 17:42:29 | Alienated-Twins 0xee72…d78c | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x219f5b… |
| 05-13 17:37:58 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xca619a… |
| 05-13 17:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x85a5…d063 | Up | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xaf70fd… |
| 05-13 17:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xba9853… |
| 05-13 17:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xdad59c… |
| 05-13 17:27:54 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Up | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xdc6169… |
| 05-13 17:27:54 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf4e4c2… |
| 05-13 17:27:51 | Acrobatic-Purpose 0x74d7…c38f | Up | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $27 | 0xf40f1d… |
| 05-13 17:27:49 | Grown-Backbone 0x64ca…3252 | Up | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x86ec54… |
| 05-13 17:27:47 | Chief-Regionalism-Lycra 0x2f44…170d | Down | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xac759c… |
| 05-13 17:27:45 | Muddy-Labourer 0x9b73…17d2 | Down | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xc8eea2… |
| 05-13 17:27:45 | Chief-Regionalism-Lycra 0x2f44…170d | Down | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xfe4b82… |
| 05-13 17:27:44 | Chief-Regionalism-Lycra 0x2f44…170d | Down | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x7769d4… |
| 05-13 17:27:38 | Alienated-Perp 0xa25b…c819 | Down | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x5b93a3… |
| 05-13 17:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x015f…5c93 | Down | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xde0223… |
| 05-13 17:27:37 | Grandiose-Consideration 0x6d54…ee01 | Up | BUY | 48 | 88¢ | $42 | 0x260cce… |
| 05-13 17:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x015f…5c93 | Down | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb137fa… |
| 05-13 17:27:33 | Rotating-Pith 0x8ceb…1952 | Up | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xfd32e3… |
| 05-13 17:22:44 | Chief-Regionalism-Lycra 0x2f44…170d | Down | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x476b0e… |
| 05-13 17:22:44 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x6a1361… |
| 05-13 17:22:43 | Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Up | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xa6f26f… |
| 05-13 17:22:41 | Chief-Regionalism-Lycra 0x2f44…170d | Down | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xeac88d… |
| 05-13 17:22:41 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 60 | 80¢ | $48 | 0xbd9305… |
| 05-13 17:22:39 | Chief-Regionalism-Lycra 0x2f44…170d | Down | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x351c78… |
| 05-13 17:22:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xba510c… |
| 05-13 17:22:37 | (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x4996e3… |
| 05-13 17:22:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 160 | 80¢ | $128 | 0x7eb946… |
| 05-13 17:22:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x602bc3… |
| 05-13 17:22:37 | (anonymous) 0x5b2f…d29e | Up | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x28ec50… |
| 05-13 17:22:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0xce6357… |
| 05-13 17:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xd5a0…718a | Up | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x1cee5f… |
| 05-13 17:22:36 | General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | Up | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xe5ed99… |
| 05-13 17:22:36 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x5caf9c… |
| 05-13 17:22:36 | Roasted-Sink 0x2138…ddd2 | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x646a85… |
| 05-13 17:22:34 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x91ca74… |
| 05-13 17:17:47 | Daring-Photoreceptor 0x4d6a…f6bf | Down | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x0aac53… |
| 05-13 17:17:45 | Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xb34eff… |
| 05-13 17:17:45 | Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0xf8ea5a… |
| 05-13 17:17:45 | Everlasting-Squeegee 0xb5ff…3fcd | Up | BUY | 137 | 55¢ | $75 | 0xaa5972… |
| 05-13 17:17:38 | Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Up | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x1ad3a5… |
| 05-13 17:17:35 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x028602… |
| 05-13 17:17:33 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x6a4ac0… |
| 05-13 17:17:31 | Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Up | BUY | 14 | 54¢ | $7 | 0x58bff2… |
| 05-13 17:17:31 | Naive-Violet 0x2ca1…6dba | Up | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x27ba3e… |
| 05-13 17:17:31 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x8bb081… |
| 05-13 17:12:41 | Grateful-Covariate-Causeway 0xce48…a15c | Up | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x4701be… |
| 05-13 17:12:41 | Grateful-Covariate-Causeway 0xce48…a15c | Up | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xc32df2… |
| 05-13 17:12:39 | Grateful-Covariate-Causeway 0xce48…a15c | Up | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x4dc70f… |
| 05-13 17:12:37 | Grateful-Covariate-Causeway 0xce48…a15c | Up | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xa3b64f… |
| 05-13 17:07:45 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xc81ee9… |
| 05-13 17:02:44 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 1 | 59¢ | $0 | 0x21f6fd… |
| 05-13 17:02:44 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 63 | 59¢ | $37 | 0xfb82f7… |
| 05-13 17:02:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x779ed8… |
| 05-13 17:02:33 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x6ece51… |
| 05-13 17:02:33 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x7fb996… |
| 05-13 16:12:32 | Paltry-Linguist 0x48e2…9ce3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x9b8981… |
| 05-13 14:28:33 | Round-Polliwog 0x7617…528c | Up | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x41865b… |
| 05-12 01:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x0826…9de9 | Up | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x5291f2… |
| 05-11 23:42:20 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Down | SELL | 55 | 49¢ | $27 | 0xbb4305… |