Muddy-Labourer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$173

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-14 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% $-173

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	14	$175	18,976	10,674	+8,302	open	—	05-14 05:52
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$136	8,977	8,977	+0	open	—	03-05 12:13
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	5	$128	8,500	5,000	+3,500	open	—	05-14 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	8	$97	200	200	+0	Up	+$53	05-08 07:35
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	12	$92	3,833	3,000	+833	open	—	05-14 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	6	$87	243	35	+208	Down	$-19	05-08 16:00
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$85	3,059	3,059	+0	open	—	03-05 14:28
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	1	$80	13,265	0	+13,265	open	—	04-02 12:17
btc updown 5m 1772724600	2	$77	56	55	+1	open	—	03-05 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	12	$47	122	41	+81	Down	+$1	05-08 12:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	2	$41	2,909	2,702	+207	open	—	04-09 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$37	84	84	+0	Down	+$23	05-13 20:14
btc updown 5m 1772725200	3	$36	72	71	+1	open	—	03-05 15:42
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$34	2,689	2,689	+0	open	—	05-08 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	9	$32	3,368	0	+3,368	Up	$-32	05-08 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	6	$32	344	0	+344	Down	$-32	05-08 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	5	$28	115	17	+97	Up	+$2	05-09 15:39
btc updown 5m 1772717400	4	$25	600	0	+600	open	—	03-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$24	34	34	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	2	$21	18	18	+0	Up	+$15	05-13 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	2	$20	74	0	+74	Up	$-20	05-09 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	4	$20	241	0	+241	Up	$-20	05-13 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	2	$20	41	41	+0	Down	+$10	05-08 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	5	$20	179	0	+179	Up	$-20	05-13 17:41
btc updown 5m 1772725800	1	$19	121	0	+121	open	—	03-05 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	4	$16	84	0	+84	Up	$-16	05-08 17:34
btc updown 5m 1772724900	2	$16	183	0	+183	open	—	03-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	6	$16	95	29	+66	Down	$-6	05-09 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	4	$15	257	0	+257	Down	$-15	05-13 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:19:26	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$1	0xd35bb8…
05-14 16:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,161	1¢	$35	0x2928a3…
05-14 16:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	330	1¢	$4	0x18d9ad…
05-14 16:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x03107b…
05-14 05:52:56	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8,302	1¢	$50	0x954ff4…
05-14 05:51:09	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	833	2¢	$20	0xa8d13c…
05-14 05:50:29	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x6e5c9d…
05-14 05:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7062cd…
05-14 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7b09fd…
05-13 22:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa431e6…
05-13 22:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x428596…
05-13 22:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfce822…
05-13 21:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xecfbb7…
05-13 21:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4d68fc…
05-13 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4b99b9…
05-13 21:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0ca253…
05-13 21:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0b443a…
05-13 21:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbef7b5…
05-13 20:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x18e8c4…
05-13 20:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x21e25e…
05-13 20:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02e3e0…
05-13 20:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb64253…
05-13 20:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xff5b86…
05-13 20:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd8d35e…
05-13 20:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9a0dc0…
05-13 20:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xba758f…
05-13 20:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6fe20b…
05-13 20:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	84	36¢	$30	0x52cba3…
05-13 20:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2ed53f…
05-13 20:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x97452e…
05-13 20:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa56251…
05-13 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf968f8…
05-13 19:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xb311c3…
05-13 17:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x07674d…
05-13 17:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x683160…
05-13 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xc8eea2…
05-13 17:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x922970…
05-13 17:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x7636bb…
05-13 16:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x289ba6…
05-13 16:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x40fbc6…
05-13 16:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5fc658…
05-13 16:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x66969c…
05-13 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd8b01f…
05-13 15:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb30803…
05-13 15:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb94585…
05-13 15:27:02	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10,674	0¢	$53	0xe968c3…
05-13 15:26:11	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5,000	1¢	$40	0x886ab0…
05-09 18:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x587d73…
05-09 15:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x510aac…
05-09 15:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9f0372…
05-09 15:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x165128…
05-09 15:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x4e4060…
05-09 15:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xf4a552…
05-09 15:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x805a52…
05-09 15:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc318fe…
05-09 15:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x98992b…
05-09 15:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x52bdfb…
05-09 15:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x16adc0…
05-09 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7a3bf7…
05-09 14:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0xdace69…
05-09 14:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb52da7…
05-09 14:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x816a9f…
05-09 14:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3adbb3…
05-09 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x283230…
05-09 14:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3f4716…
05-09 14:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xfa7fb3…
05-09 14:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc6a390…
05-09 14:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0xfe28c3…
05-09 14:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf0a610…
05-09 11:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x133377…
05-09 11:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd9e871…
05-09 11:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x36b3ae…
05-09 11:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd1dda3…
05-09 11:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x250042…
05-09 11:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1be34c…
05-09 10:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x592ff6…
05-08 17:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x91b603…
05-08 17:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x8d1248…
05-08 17:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa1a250…
05-08 17:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4bc31d…
05-08 16:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0f48f9…
05-08 16:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xaf4085…
05-08 16:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4136fd…
05-08 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x88c3e9…
05-08 16:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x27d8b4…
05-08 16:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xff4bd8…
05-08 16:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x55ce6d…
05-08 16:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5f7dbc…
05-08 16:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb57fdf…
05-08 16:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3ddb6b…
05-08 16:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb773e5…
05-08 16:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xd21678…
05-08 15:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd87160…
05-08 15:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0xe6a311…
05-08 15:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf411f7…
05-08 15:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa56ae9…
05-08 15:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe90266…
05-08 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,898	0¢	$2	0x571baf…
05-08 14:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	581	0¢	$2	0xef0714…
05-08 14:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	306	1¢	$2	0xbb0dde…