Jaded-Knuckle-Calculator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.9%

Resolved

166

Trades

902

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-18 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 13% $-4

Other

2% 0% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 439 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$11	23	6	+17	open	—	05-14 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	05-14 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$9	21	0	+21	open	—	05-14 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 15:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$8	35	0	+35	open	—	05-14 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 12:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7acaef…
05-18 00:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x742017…
05-17 23:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4915fc…
05-17 17:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x278b3b…
05-17 17:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x421342…
05-17 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7fe9d1…
05-17 17:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x17b7f2…
05-17 17:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xee5b17…
05-17 17:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb39a5a…
05-17 17:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfa206c…
05-17 17:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x59e744…
05-17 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa6b4c3…
05-17 16:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x52a54d…
05-17 16:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdf6ec3…
05-17 16:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x75b20b…
05-17 16:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x580b7a…
05-17 16:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x374612…
05-17 15:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcaf2c4…
05-17 15:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd65684…
05-17 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe22130…
05-17 15:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xce951e…
05-17 15:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb5bf16…
05-17 15:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf37926…
05-17 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x60f391…
05-17 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3b5cc2…
05-17 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x948128…
05-17 14:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x771333…
05-17 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7e0bf3…
05-17 14:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x70732c…
05-17 14:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfd45a3…
05-17 14:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9ab2f8…
05-17 14:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbd0d25…
05-17 14:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6c707a…
05-17 14:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd8c9d8…
05-17 14:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x356f00…
05-17 12:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0eb18e…
05-17 12:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xee6971…
05-17 11:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7bd42f…
05-17 10:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaa93f2…
05-17 10:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcc1093…
05-17 10:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa021f4…
05-17 10:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc19c4d…
05-17 10:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdaadbe…
05-17 10:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x45c711…
05-17 09:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8220ac…
05-17 09:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x90246f…
05-17 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6bd69e…
05-17 05:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x44f84c…
05-17 03:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x59a595…
05-17 02:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7c09cf…
05-17 02:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3f74d3…
05-17 01:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf4feb3…
05-17 01:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6dfff0…
05-17 01:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2bb829…
05-16 18:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe80a8e…
05-16 14:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x63c174…
05-16 14:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x21df31…
05-16 12:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xee0a8f…
05-16 10:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc10cda…
05-16 10:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x87dc65…
05-16 10:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x30e050…
05-16 09:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x13d920…
05-16 09:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbf8095…
05-16 09:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x738fab…
05-16 07:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6107a8…
05-16 07:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x569389…
05-16 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9f6989…
05-16 07:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa1dab6…
05-16 07:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xade644…
05-16 06:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x51286b…
05-16 06:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7977d8…
05-16 06:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc18a1b…
05-16 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x593da5…
05-16 05:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa7e6b5…
05-16 05:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2e5f0b…
05-16 04:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x575a43…
05-16 04:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2a7794…
05-16 02:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe42f7d…
05-16 02:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb3363e…
05-16 02:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa66d57…
05-16 02:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x84f744…
05-16 01:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb0e354…
05-16 01:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6231dd…
05-16 00:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcb3290…
05-15 23:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x14e856…
05-15 22:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe8374e…
05-15 22:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x49c660…
05-15 21:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x98c8f4…
05-15 21:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xab2463…
05-15 21:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x070e50…
05-15 20:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xeb7fc6…
05-15 20:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4f822e…
05-15 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5d01c4…
05-15 19:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4e7023…
05-15 19:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3d318c…
05-15 19:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5d982a…
05-15 18:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x57994e…
05-15 18:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb4646d…
05-15 18:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbe0674…
05-15 18:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd59b0c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	345	$36.0K	17,229	05-18 12:05
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	342	$39.7K	3,484	05-18 12:04
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	333	$4.03K	3,262	05-18 12:04
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	330	$710	2,466	05-18 12:05
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	329	$39.6K	2,193	05-18 12:01
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	328	$17.0K	2,377	05-18 12:05
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	320	$64.5K	11,960	05-18 12:04
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	315	$195.1K	32,789	05-18 12:04