Rare-Law — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$359

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

2,052

Trades

5,386

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-06 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 75% -$431

Other

4% 93% +$82

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game2	2	$391	529	529	+0	Vitality	+$74	06-19 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$310	608	608	+0	Down	+$56	04-29 19:27
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	2	$261	163	163	+0	Team Falcons	+$64	06-19 20:37
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	13	$253	203	198	+5	Up	+$11	04-23 15:31
HYPE Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	2	$198	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$194	138	138	+0	Down	+$42	05-13 20:04
HYPE Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	2	$193	97	97	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	6	$143	79	79	+0	Down	+$14	05-25 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	7	$141	90	62	+28	Down	+$11	05-26 13:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	8	$138	75	75	+0	Down	+$9	05-22 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$134	68	68	+0	Up	+$1	05-02 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7AM ET	28	$132	204	204	+0	Down	+$10	04-30 11:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 06:45 UTC	2	$130	156	151	+5	Down	-$30	04-21 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	4	$127	73	73	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 11:49
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET	8	$127	67	67	+0	Down	+$7	05-22 11:14
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	4	$125	70	70	+0	Down	+$16	05-25 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	6	$121	67	67	+0	Down	+$12	05-22 09:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	3	$120	66	61	+6	Down	+$7	05-25 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$120	61	61	+0	Down	+$1	05-02 16:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	3	$119	65	60	+6	Down	+$5	05-26 02:04
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	4	$119	67	67	+0	Down	+$7	05-14 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	3	$117	63	57	+6	Down	+$3	05-26 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	3	$117	63	57	+6	Down	+$3	05-26 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET	34	$114	139	140	-2	Up	+$2	04-29 19:45
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	2	$114	57	57	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 02:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	2	$114	59	59	+0	Down	+$4	05-26 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	2	$112	56	56	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	2	$112	57	57	+0	Down	+$2	05-26 11:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	2	$111	57	57	+0	Down	+$2	05-26 03:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	3	$111	56	56	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 11:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf95ec5…
10-06 11:28:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $245 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xb9e609…
10-06 11:21:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $245 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6d3ecb…
10-06 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33c5ab…
10-05 16:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0xfd2500…
10-05 16:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xb8facf…
10-05 16:26:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x9c13c3…
10-05 16:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x376435…
10-05 16:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7e7e9b…
10-05 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x7e2558…
10-05 16:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x358a8b…
10-05 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa6024b…
10-05 16:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbc5596…
10-05 16:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a6a9b…
10-05 16:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1be579…
10-05 16:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf80467…
10-05 16:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x93e09d…
10-05 16:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x013976…
10-05 16:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb8fbc5…
10-05 16:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7c8d5a…
10-05 16:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1b6331…
10-05 16:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x21d0fe…
10-05 16:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb4bb9b…
10-05 16:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x88501d…
10-05 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd537cd…
10-05 15:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x87bb18…
10-05 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdda4bd…
10-05 15:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe15988…
10-05 15:53:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x368095…
10-05 15:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa85a59…
10-05 15:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x64d582…
10-05 15:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdcc8a7…
10-05 15:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe1decf…
10-05 15:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x717954…
10-05 15:42:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x18ca35…
10-05 15:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa02040…
10-05 15:40:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4297ef…
10-05 15:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xee42e2…
10-05 15:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7f5eb3…
10-05 15:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x598e1b…
10-05 15:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b86c9…
10-05 14:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d694d…
10-05 14:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x93e38e…
10-05 14:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x97143c…
10-05 14:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf13098…
10-05 14:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc2ec04…
10-05 14:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x37fe1f…
10-05 14:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x519523…
10-05 13:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0d03d2…
10-05 13:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa0dedf…
10-05 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9de02e…
10-05 13:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8d5fb6…
10-05 13:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcfbc6f…
10-05 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xec13f4…
10-05 13:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf2bbf0…
10-05 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf6f87e…
10-05 13:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x40dfe1…
10-05 13:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2366b4…
10-05 13:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ed154…
10-05 13:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe43b75…
10-05 13:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa6e4b5…
10-05 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe39aa6…
10-05 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x54071f…
10-05 13:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf0f2f8…
10-05 13:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x454a12…
10-05 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3a0f27…
10-05 13:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe40810…
10-05 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1d5238…
10-05 13:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x05a182…
10-05 13:25:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x14cebf…
10-05 11:16:49	bitcoin above 84k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd9299f…
10-04 16:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9285f0…
10-04 16:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc87b4d…
10-04 16:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xce759d…
10-04 16:15:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x26b4de…
10-04 16:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1f5181…
10-04 16:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb02a61…
10-04 16:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x349049…
10-04 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa7729a…
10-04 16:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x0ad8d7…
10-04 16:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe74227…
10-04 16:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x50b987…
10-04 16:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb0962d…
10-04 16:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8dd59c…
10-04 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xddc420…
10-04 15:35:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	42	25¢	$10	0xdbb454…
10-04 15:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc936dc…
10-04 15:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x267e5a…
10-04 15:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc1cc9a…
10-04 15:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4fd775…
10-04 15:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf7fc1f…
10-04 15:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdd778f…
10-04 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1c4596…
10-04 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x638496…
09-07 20:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xc742e9…
09-07 20:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x43ce44…
09-07 20:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf07657…
09-07 20:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x03bc71…
09-07 20:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0c50f1…
09-07 20:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc3da5f…