Rare-Law — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

451

Trades

4,488

lifetime

Volume

$47.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-27 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 91% +$67

Other

3% 94% $-58

Politics

0% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 732 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$310	608	608	+0	open	—	04-29 19:27
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	13	$253	203	198	+5	open	—	04-23 15:31
HYPE Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$194	138	138	+0	Down	+$42	05-13 20:04
HYPE Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	2	$193	97	97	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	7	$141	90	62	+28	open	—	05-26 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	05-02 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	7	$133	69	75	-6	open	—	05-22 05:56
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7AM ET	28	$132	204	204	+0	open	—	04-30 11:46
btc updown 15m 1776753900	2	$130	156	151	+5	open	—	04-21 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	4	$127	73	73	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 11:49
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET	8	$127	67	67	+0	open	—	05-22 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	5	$126	79	62	+17	open	—	05-25 17:58
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	4	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	05-25 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	6	$121	67	67	+0	open	—	05-22 09:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	3	$120	66	61	+6	open	—	05-25 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	05-02 16:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	3	$119	65	60	+6	open	—	05-26 02:04
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	4	$119	67	67	+0	open	—	05-14 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	3	$117	63	57	+6	open	—	05-26 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	3	$117	63	57	+6	open	—	05-26 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET	34	$114	139	140	-2	open	—	04-29 19:45
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	2	$114	57	57	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 02:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	2	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	05-26 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	2	$112	56	56	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	05-26 11:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	2	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	05-26 03:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	3	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	05-26 07:56
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	2	$109	55	55	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	2	$108	54	54	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 04:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5f6f71…
05-27 04:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xdad3d8…
05-27 03:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x86e54c…
05-27 03:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x757cd4…
05-27 03:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xe0544e…
05-27 03:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x0767fc…
05-27 02:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x26a171…
05-27 02:47:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa7d3d4…
05-27 02:46:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x602102…
05-27 02:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x48d118…
05-27 02:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb26122…
05-26 15:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x3adbbf…
05-26 15:04:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0xd8eb6a…
05-26 14:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xd1dd7f…
05-26 13:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8acb00…
05-26 13:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x04807d…
05-26 13:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xe6fb2f…
05-26 13:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xa42861…
05-26 13:32:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$25	0x358cc5…
05-26 13:20:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc8594e…
05-26 13:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x515c83…
05-26 12:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf03ed9…
05-26 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3be6e6…
05-26 12:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xec8bd2…
05-26 12:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7146b6…
05-26 12:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x28f040…
05-26 12:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	69	79¢	$54	0x27b798…
05-26 12:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0xa7dd43…
05-26 11:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x1c79e2…
05-26 11:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x39cd1d…
05-26 11:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xb30e95…
05-26 11:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x175371…
05-26 07:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xb9ca45…
05-26 07:45:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xba880f…
05-26 07:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xf12442…
05-26 03:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x81fab2…
05-26 03:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xbe069a…
05-26 02:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x678caa…
05-26 02:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x3ee31a…
05-26 02:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x49d10b…
05-26 02:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xfd4e34…
05-26 01:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x83ecc4…
05-26 01:45:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x55bd0c…
05-25 23:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x399558…
05-25 22:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcea205…
05-25 22:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x98638b…
05-25 22:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0xa163d7…
05-25 22:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x45aaad…
05-25 17:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe71db6…
05-25 17:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xbeea7e…
05-25 17:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe41882…
05-25 17:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5b8f39…
05-25 17:36:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4c3c1d…
05-25 17:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xa82d23…
05-25 17:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$49	0x65f98f…
05-25 16:36:34	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x249088…
05-25 16:35:34	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0xe76b03…
05-25 16:28:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x18a5be…
05-25 16:24:14	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x020603…
05-25 16:06:40	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xb9c72d…
05-25 15:56:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xfa308b…
05-25 15:48:37	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe36f2c…
05-25 15:35:35	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x34ddd8…
05-25 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9b4abb…
05-25 14:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x4b883a…
05-25 14:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x706243…
05-25 14:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x918022…
05-25 14:35:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x2553b1…
05-25 13:24:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	57	87¢	$50	0x154ce4…
05-25 11:56:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x9e7dee…
05-25 11:56:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x31549e…
05-25 11:51:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xc8104e…
05-25 11:50:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xe820fb…
05-25 08:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x8e1bf5…
05-25 08:07:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x51dc5a…
05-25 08:00:03	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe8d1c7…
05-25 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x32ee0d…
05-25 07:35:40	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xe50068…
05-25 07:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x4b15b9…
05-25 04:50:25	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x66cbfa…
05-25 04:35:41	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xe3a26a…
05-25 03:45:38	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9b3c0f…
05-25 03:36:37	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x83fce0…
05-25 03:35:38	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	42	81¢	$35	0xc6885f…
05-24 15:08:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x809918…
05-24 13:30:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0c1acd…
05-24 11:50:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x98f7a5…
05-24 11:50:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6b1b47…
05-23 15:08:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xedf6fd…
05-23 12:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x84f977…
05-23 11:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xda1558…
05-22 18:13:14	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xaeb34b…
05-22 18:10:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x34d6b6…
05-22 18:10:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa91260…
05-22 15:25:19	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x8103b6…
05-22 14:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x880db6…
05-22 14:35:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe5a2a2…
05-22 13:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xf076df…
05-22 13:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xcb7774…
05-22 13:55:13	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x4afa39…