Authentic-Stay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-20 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 48% $-45

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?	6	$139	118	92	+26	open	—	04-27 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	7	$120	103	86	+17	open	—	04-27 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1PM ET	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-26 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	4	$58	44	44	+0	open	—	05-01 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	5	$58	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	8	$56	272	0	+272	open	—	05-02 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11PM ET	4	$56	35	34	+1	open	—	04-27 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET	4	$45	57	27	+30	open	—	04-26 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2PM ET	3	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	3	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$30	47	0	+47	open	—	04-26 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	2	$30	82	0	+82	Down	$-30	05-13 13:53
Ethereum Up or Down on April 30?	4	$25	29	29	+0	open	—	04-30 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1PM ET	3	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 16:14
Ethereum Up or Down on May 2?	4	$23	83	0	+83	open	—	05-02 11:13
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11PM ET	2	$21	15	14	+1	open	—	04-27 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-27 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 18:46
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3PM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	05-13 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	04-26 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$16	11	6	+6	open	—	04-26 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 02:06
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2PM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-26 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	2	$14	81	0	+81	open	—	04-27 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 12:13
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 23:08:58	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xb2d13a…
06-08 12:26:00	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xdc4f0b…
05-17 10:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x633d80…
05-17 10:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbac152…
05-17 10:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5d8675…
05-14 21:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xdc4204…
05-14 20:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xa0f51f…
05-14 01:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x19789f…
05-14 01:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x45a518…
05-14 01:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x11bfc5…
05-13 19:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x5f756c…
05-13 19:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd53c2f…
05-13 19:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9a7dbc…
05-13 17:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xf33f5e…
05-13 17:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xdef8a6…
05-13 17:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x1f8ef8…
05-13 17:32:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x803bb1…
05-13 17:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4c454b…
05-13 16:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x8015dd…
05-13 16:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb14fb6…
05-13 16:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x60cded…
05-13 16:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x0972f9…
05-13 15:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x28ad66…
05-13 15:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x963d10…
05-13 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x53f051…
05-13 13:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x971ac8…
05-13 13:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x13c6df…
05-13 13:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x8cc532…
05-12 16:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa1de81…
05-12 15:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd15f40…
05-12 14:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd9649f…
05-12 14:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x49421b…
05-12 14:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xac4ecf…
05-12 12:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x67c74c…
05-12 12:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x66500a…
05-12 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x27c062…
05-12 12:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x67d137…
05-12 11:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x2b4da0…
05-12 07:44:37	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x7bd226…
05-12 07:43:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x5b37e7…
05-02 12:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfdd918…
05-02 11:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xdc8a7a…
05-02 11:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x2a6130…
05-02 11:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xb9ef38…
05-02 11:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x512c7f…
05-02 10:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x51f7f8…
05-02 10:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9c5ae3…
05-02 10:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x01d906…
05-02 10:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd14415…
05-02 10:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa4d503…
05-02 10:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xeb4e6e…
05-02 10:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb7639c…
05-02 10:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	135	16¢	$21	0x50d982…
05-02 06:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xb47236…
05-02 05:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7619ee…
05-02 05:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x37b279…
05-02 05:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x234796…
05-02 02:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xdb2517…
05-02 02:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf7ed9b…
05-02 02:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf350e9…
05-02 02:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x610a1b…
05-02 02:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x2ad419…
05-02 01:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56b0f3…
05-02 01:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x68548c…
05-02 01:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x65fe63…
05-02 01:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x9582ec…
05-02 01:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x4b2b70…
05-02 01:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x14a041…
05-01 14:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x50f988…
05-01 12:49:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x949a7c…
05-01 12:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x55fb84…
05-01 12:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x1024a7…
05-01 12:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xb1b355…
05-01 05:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x551917…
05-01 05:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa520a3…
05-01 05:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x075d93…
05-01 05:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0cde28…
05-01 04:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x0c4a12…
05-01 04:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	33	77¢	$25	0xab0f7a…
05-01 02:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xcc67ea…
05-01 02:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf1b4fd…
05-01 02:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ef349…
05-01 02:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xed0440…
05-01 02:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3c511b…
04-30 21:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd97c75…
04-30 21:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa93e9b…
04-30 21:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x61b123…
04-30 21:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x98c4a0…
04-30 20:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf20db3…
04-30 20:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x07ef95…
04-30 20:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xdbe6d7…
04-30 20:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9ed176…
04-30 19:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x36f4a2…
04-30 19:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf37e2a…
04-30 19:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf62932…
04-30 18:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xef9f04…
04-30 18:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf4842e…
04-30 18:46:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf13377…
04-30 18:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xe06db5…
04-30 17:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb078f8…