Functional-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$722

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

485

Trades

29,496

lifetime

Volume

$3.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-21 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-716

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% 50% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 325 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 10 6am et	52	$10.3K	7,115	7,115	+0	open	—	02-10 11:57
bitcoin up or down february 9 11am et	27	$9.8K	5,579	5,579	+0	open	—	02-09 16:57
bitcoin up or down february 8 9pm et	33	$9.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	02-09 02:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	54	$9.0K	5,629	5,629	+0	open	—	02-05 15:55
bitcoin up or down february 9 2am et	39	$8.5K	4,629	4,629	+0	open	—	02-09 07:59
bitcoin up or down february 10 11pm et	8	$8.4K	4,340	4,340	+0	open	—	02-11 04:54
bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	10	$8.4K	4,417	4,417	+0	open	—	02-05 22:53
ethereum up or down february 10 9am et	44	$8.3K	4,303	4,303	+0	open	—	02-10 14:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 6pm et	20	$8.2K	5,944	5,944	+0	open	—	02-05 23:52
bitcoin up or down february 8 8pm et	25	$8.1K	7,329	7,329	+0	open	—	02-09 01:59
bitcoin up or down february 9 3am et	30	$8.1K	4,996	4,996	+0	open	—	02-09 08:54
bitcoin up or down february 1 10pm et	17	$7.9K	4,021	4,021	+0	open	—	02-02 03:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	21	$7.6K	4,589	4,589	+0	open	—	02-11 13:00
bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	42	$6.8K	3,635	3,635	+0	open	—	02-10 10:58
bitcoin up or down february 6 10am et	10	$6.7K	3,519	3,519	+0	open	—	02-06 15:58
bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	15	$6.6K	3,442	3,442	+0	open	—	02-05 08:57
bitcoin up or down february 4 6pm et	28	$6.5K	3,716	3,716	+0	open	—	02-04 23:50
bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	36	$6.4K	3,813	3,813	+0	open	—	02-09 23:59
bitcoin up or down january 25 2pm et	12	$6.3K	3,246	3,246	+0	open	—	01-25 19:47
bitcoin up or down february 14 8am et	55	$6.2K	3,362	3,362	+0	open	—	02-14 13:51
bitcoin up or down february 8 10am et	25	$6.1K	3,613	3,613	+0	open	—	02-08 15:59
bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	81	$6.0K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	02-04 09:56
bitcoin up or down january 25 4am et	23	$5.8K	3,504	3,504	+0	open	—	01-25 10:00
ethereum up or down february 10 10am et	6	$5.7K	3,123	3,123	+0	open	—	02-10 16:27
bitcoin up or down february 9 9am et	33	$5.6K	3,729	3,729	+0	open	—	02-09 14:56
bitcoin up or down february 5 4am et	12	$5.5K	2,768	2,768	+0	open	—	02-05 09:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 3am et	87	$5.4K	3,886	3,886	+0	open	—	02-10 09:00
bitcoin up or down february 6 9am et	25	$5.3K	3,292	3,292	+0	open	—	02-06 14:54
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 9am et	11	$5.3K	3,645	3,599	+46	open	—	04-08 13:55
bitcoin up or down february 6 7am et	12	$5.2K	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	02-06 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 20:05:58	btc updown 15m 1787342400	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x75ccce…
08-21 20:05:06	btc updown 15m 1787342400	Up	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x4ff2e6…
08-21 20:04:45	btc updown 15m 1787342400	Up	SELL	86	66¢	$57	0x17785a…
08-21 20:04:36	btc updown 15m 1787342400	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x0682c3…
08-21 19:59:39	btc updown 15m 1787341500	Down	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0xef8434…
08-21 19:59:30	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x92abb1…
08-21 19:57:27	btc updown 15m 1787341500	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8bdd8e…
08-21 19:56:57	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x1ce772…
08-21 19:56:31	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0xac6efa…
08-21 19:55:22	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa4b77a…
08-21 19:55:19	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc8481d…
08-21 19:55:04	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfdfd79…
08-21 19:54:27	btc updown 15m 1787341500	Up	SELL	65	36¢	$24	0x7542f2…
08-21 19:49:09	btc updown 15m 1787341500	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1d6f2a…
08-21 19:49:04	btc updown 15m 1787341500	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xf605e4…
08-21 19:48:43	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xca8cc9…
08-21 19:48:40	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9e5d8d…
08-21 03:49:34	btc updown 15m 1787283900	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf5f1a1…
08-21 03:49:18	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x8e55af…
08-21 03:32:25	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xeeac5a…
08-21 03:23:10	btc updown 15m 1787282100	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xce47d7…
08-21 03:15:43	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x33611e…
08-21 03:13:07	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4a0f0a…
08-21 03:12:30	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x4b3e72…
08-21 03:07:10	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x7abdc2…
08-21 03:07:07	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaff930…
08-21 03:06:48	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf58b01…
08-21 03:06:33	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb1158c…
08-21 03:06:27	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x6caba0…
08-21 03:05:43	btc updown 15m 1787281200	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x01316d…
08-21 02:55:16	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe63b0e…
08-21 02:55:13	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc2a69…
08-21 02:55:10	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x450e2b…
08-21 02:54:37	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$21	0x60fe4e…
08-21 02:47:15	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x221846…
08-21 02:47:13	btc updown 15m 1787280300	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x17a5de…
08-21 02:46:55	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x7f8448…
08-21 02:43:22	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xf8392a…
08-21 02:42:21	btc updown 15m 1787279400	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x918390…
08-21 02:36:30	btc updown 15m 1787279400	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xbe716b…
08-21 02:33:13	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	22	70¢	$16	0xc389e4…
08-21 02:30:27	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x855177…
08-21 02:28:57	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa0a517…
08-21 02:28:16	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x472bf7…
08-21 02:28:15	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5d85f4…
08-21 02:27:51	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	SELL	42	33¢	$14	0x18efd5…
08-21 02:25:34	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xd9a13b…
08-21 02:25:22	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4a4431…
08-21 02:19:48	btc updown 15m 1787278500	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x14661d…
08-21 02:16:54	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xf404f6…
08-21 02:14:18	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x8ff2b8…
08-21 02:14:13	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x8afc21…
08-21 02:13:55	btc updown 15m 1787277600	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x02969c…
08-21 02:08:57	btc updown 15m 1787277600	Down	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0x01631f…
08-21 01:57:34	btc updown 15m 1787276700	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x0a7c7e…
08-21 01:52:46	btc updown 15m 1787276700	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf89f58…
08-21 01:44:49	btc updown 15m 1787275800	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x8efc35…
08-21 01:37:43	btc updown 15m 1787275800	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xbf81da…
08-21 01:36:00	btc updown 15m 1787275800	Up	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x58f203…
08-21 01:33:06	btc updown 15m 1787275800	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc1a663…
08-21 01:33:04	btc updown 15m 1787275800	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc1f635…
08-21 01:32:28	btc updown 15m 1787275800	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xce3d19…
08-21 01:20:10	btc updown 15m 1787274900	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x256d29…
08-21 01:20:09	btc updown 15m 1787274900	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5723d6…
08-21 01:18:49	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0xbad960…
08-21 01:12:12	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x524953…
08-21 01:09:42	btc updown 15m 1787274000	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x3b3588…
08-21 01:06:00	btc updown 15m 1787274000	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xd6029f…
08-21 01:05:33	btc updown 15m 1787274000	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x78e781…
08-21 01:05:33	btc updown 15m 1787274000	Up	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x3d7240…
08-21 01:02:36	btc updown 15m 1787274000	Up	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xa4ef60…
08-21 00:59:48	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5c1cbd…
08-21 00:59:46	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb064e6…
08-21 00:58:46	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Down	SELL	50	29¢	$15	0x060005…
08-21 00:55:42	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x50cec3…
08-21 00:55:39	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x7811e1…
08-21 00:55:12	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Up	SELL	132	35¢	$46	0x21e4ee…
08-21 00:50:19	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xb8be17…
08-21 00:49:57	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa2f2ac…
08-21 00:49:42	btc updown 15m 1787273100	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x946a79…
08-21 00:42:07	btc updown 15m 1787272200	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x75efc5…
08-21 00:42:03	btc updown 15m 1787272200	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x432721…
08-21 00:42:00	btc updown 15m 1787272200	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xbc721d…
08-21 00:41:58	btc updown 15m 1787272200	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x496362…
08-20 21:14:22	btc updown 15m 1787259600	Down	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xb97768…
08-20 21:06:28	btc updown 15m 1787259600	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x6ecf06…
08-20 21:01:49	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0bf937…
08-20 20:54:57	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfefb74…
08-20 20:54:36	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x2930a0…
08-20 20:52:13	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd70fac…
08-20 20:52:07	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf680f1…
08-20 20:51:55	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf3eb5f…
08-20 20:51:39	btc updown 15m 1787258700	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x56f055…
08-20 20:46:58	btc updown 15m 1787258700	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x86eea4…
08-20 20:40:31	btc updown 15m 1787257800	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf556b8…
08-20 20:40:00	btc updown 15m 1787257800	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xd13860…
08-20 20:33:39	btc updown 15m 1787257800	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xab5c32…
08-20 20:33:37	btc updown 15m 1787257800	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe157d1…
08-20 20:33:36	btc updown 15m 1787257800	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2ba6d6…
08-20 20:23:43	btc updown 15m 1787256900	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xc72620…