Functional-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$722

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

485

Trades

25,515

lifetime

Volume

$2.80M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-14 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-716

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% 50% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 806 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 10 6am et	52	$10.3K	7,115	7,115	+0	open	—	02-10 11:57
bitcoin up or down february 9 11am et	27	$9.8K	5,579	5,579	+0	open	—	02-09 16:57
bitcoin up or down february 8 9pm et	33	$9.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	02-09 02:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	54	$9.0K	5,629	5,629	+0	open	—	02-05 15:55
bitcoin up or down february 9 2am et	39	$8.5K	4,629	4,629	+0	open	—	02-09 07:59
bitcoin up or down february 10 11pm et	8	$8.4K	4,340	4,340	+0	open	—	02-11 04:54
bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	10	$8.4K	4,417	4,417	+0	open	—	02-05 22:53
ethereum up or down february 10 9am et	44	$8.3K	4,303	4,303	+0	open	—	02-10 14:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 6pm et	20	$8.2K	5,944	5,944	+0	open	—	02-05 23:52
bitcoin up or down february 8 8pm et	25	$8.1K	7,329	7,329	+0	open	—	02-09 01:59
bitcoin up or down february 9 3am et	30	$8.1K	4,996	4,996	+0	open	—	02-09 08:54
bitcoin up or down february 1 10pm et	17	$7.9K	4,021	4,021	+0	open	—	02-02 03:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	21	$7.6K	4,589	4,589	+0	open	—	02-11 13:00
bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	42	$6.8K	3,635	3,635	+0	open	—	02-10 10:58
bitcoin up or down february 6 10am et	10	$6.7K	3,519	3,519	+0	open	—	02-06 15:58
bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	15	$6.6K	3,442	3,442	+0	open	—	02-05 08:57
bitcoin up or down february 4 6pm et	28	$6.5K	3,716	3,716	+0	open	—	02-04 23:50
bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	36	$6.4K	3,813	3,813	+0	open	—	02-09 23:59
bitcoin up or down january 25 2pm et	12	$6.3K	3,246	3,246	+0	open	—	01-25 19:47
bitcoin up or down february 14 8am et	55	$6.2K	3,362	3,362	+0	open	—	02-14 13:51
bitcoin up or down february 8 10am et	25	$6.1K	3,613	3,613	+0	open	—	02-08 15:59
bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	81	$6.0K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	02-04 09:56
bitcoin up or down january 25 4am et	23	$5.8K	3,504	3,504	+0	open	—	01-25 10:00
ethereum up or down february 10 10am et	6	$5.7K	3,123	3,123	+0	open	—	02-10 16:27
bitcoin up or down february 9 9am et	33	$5.6K	3,729	3,729	+0	open	—	02-09 14:56
bitcoin up or down february 5 4am et	12	$5.5K	2,768	2,768	+0	open	—	02-05 09:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 3am et	87	$5.4K	3,886	3,886	+0	open	—	02-10 09:00
bitcoin up or down february 6 9am et	25	$5.3K	3,292	3,292	+0	open	—	02-06 14:54
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 9am et	11	$5.3K	3,645	3,599	+46	open	—	04-08 13:55
bitcoin up or down february 6 7am et	12	$5.2K	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	02-06 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xbb3a1b…
05-14 19:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0xd554b6…
05-14 19:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xad004a…
05-14 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf20c13…
05-14 19:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xef0c2f…
05-14 19:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1b9e66…
05-14 19:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x969d4b…
05-14 18:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x49d68c…
05-14 18:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x14c074…
05-14 18:43:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x98b518…
05-14 18:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x3fd983…
05-14 18:37:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0bab8a…
05-14 18:37:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa5224c…
05-14 18:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x887e57…
05-14 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x849124…
05-14 18:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x34bc31…
05-14 18:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9dee38…
05-14 18:25:23	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x587ea2…
05-14 18:25:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc3a8b3…
05-14 18:25:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc2e475…
05-14 18:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x82cff0…
05-14 17:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xc60268…
05-14 17:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x3aad01…
05-14 17:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6c9388…
05-14 17:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2500f7…
05-14 17:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2c0ca5…
05-14 17:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa2227b…
05-14 17:28:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3465eb…
05-14 17:28:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x70ab27…
05-14 17:27:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcd1a77…
05-14 17:27:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd92cca…
05-14 17:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x852342…
05-14 17:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xe68e28…
05-14 17:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x248126…
05-14 17:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xaae0bb…
05-14 17:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x58f980…
05-14 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa6dbf4…
05-14 17:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xcee500…
05-14 16:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa78828…
05-14 16:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	31¢	$10	0xc716fb…
05-14 16:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0xd6e81d…
05-14 16:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	52	17¢	$9	0x276463…
05-14 16:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x0da76a…
05-14 16:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x208997…
05-14 16:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	86	28¢	$24	0xb67492…
05-14 16:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x12328b…
05-14 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xe0795d…
05-14 16:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe7b966…
05-14 16:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd01764…
05-14 16:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x834d3f…
05-14 16:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	28	66¢	$18	0xe5645d…
05-14 16:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x7ea1a8…
05-14 16:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa3e335…
05-14 16:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x601709…
05-14 16:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe49795…
05-14 16:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd819f6…
05-14 16:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0e1510…
05-14 15:53:53	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x83d6d3…
05-14 15:53:48	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb0a755…
05-14 15:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x3d8016…
05-14 15:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x870e74…
05-14 15:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf4d767…
05-14 15:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xeb358b…
05-14 15:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfaa051…
05-14 15:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xac1a5b…
05-14 15:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9c40a4…
05-14 15:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x53e315…
05-14 15:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x26a1c3…
05-14 15:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3832c2…
05-14 07:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xbfa557…
05-14 06:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	61	22¢	$14	0x011a89…
05-14 06:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8287e6…
05-14 06:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xae3c41…
05-14 06:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xb98bc1…
05-14 06:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0bad42…
05-14 06:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x228cd5…
05-14 06:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x2256ed…
05-14 06:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1e959e…
05-14 06:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	93	36¢	$34	0x486f28…
05-14 06:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x13406f…
05-14 06:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0x5f47f3…
05-14 06:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xe506ed…
05-14 06:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	54	75¢	$40	0xdc88c2…
05-14 06:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x90fc2a…
05-14 06:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2c7dc8…
05-14 06:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xfcdbed…
05-14 05:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb8460…
05-14 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfc0d16…
05-14 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbb431c…
05-14 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa4e733…
05-14 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x29f968…
05-14 05:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf269d6…
05-14 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2ad14b…
05-14 05:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x0b5e22…
05-14 05:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0710dd…
05-14 05:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xd9eaef…
05-14 05:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5a6c31…
05-14 05:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x6ff4d3…
05-14 05:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x7f420f…
05-14 05:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xbb59f8…