Functional-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$722

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

485

Trades

28,072

lifetime

Volume

$2.99M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-24 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-716

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% 50% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 325 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 10 6am et	52	$10.3K	7,115	7,115	+0	open	—	02-10 11:57
bitcoin up or down february 9 11am et	27	$9.8K	5,579	5,579	+0	open	—	02-09 16:57
bitcoin up or down february 8 9pm et	33	$9.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	02-09 02:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	54	$9.0K	5,629	5,629	+0	open	—	02-05 15:55
bitcoin up or down february 9 2am et	39	$8.5K	4,629	4,629	+0	open	—	02-09 07:59
bitcoin up or down february 10 11pm et	8	$8.4K	4,340	4,340	+0	open	—	02-11 04:54
bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	10	$8.4K	4,417	4,417	+0	open	—	02-05 22:53
ethereum up or down february 10 9am et	44	$8.3K	4,303	4,303	+0	open	—	02-10 14:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 6pm et	20	$8.2K	5,944	5,944	+0	open	—	02-05 23:52
bitcoin up or down february 8 8pm et	25	$8.1K	7,329	7,329	+0	open	—	02-09 01:59
bitcoin up or down february 9 3am et	30	$8.1K	4,996	4,996	+0	open	—	02-09 08:54
bitcoin up or down february 1 10pm et	17	$7.9K	4,021	4,021	+0	open	—	02-02 03:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	21	$7.6K	4,589	4,589	+0	open	—	02-11 13:00
bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	42	$6.8K	3,635	3,635	+0	open	—	02-10 10:58
bitcoin up or down february 6 10am et	10	$6.7K	3,519	3,519	+0	open	—	02-06 15:58
bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	15	$6.6K	3,442	3,442	+0	open	—	02-05 08:57
bitcoin up or down february 4 6pm et	28	$6.5K	3,716	3,716	+0	open	—	02-04 23:50
bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	36	$6.4K	3,813	3,813	+0	open	—	02-09 23:59
bitcoin up or down january 25 2pm et	12	$6.3K	3,246	3,246	+0	open	—	01-25 19:47
bitcoin up or down february 14 8am et	55	$6.2K	3,362	3,362	+0	open	—	02-14 13:51
bitcoin up or down february 8 10am et	25	$6.1K	3,613	3,613	+0	open	—	02-08 15:59
bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	81	$6.0K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	02-04 09:56
bitcoin up or down january 25 4am et	23	$5.8K	3,504	3,504	+0	open	—	01-25 10:00
ethereum up or down february 10 10am et	6	$5.7K	3,123	3,123	+0	open	—	02-10 16:27
bitcoin up or down february 9 9am et	33	$5.6K	3,729	3,729	+0	open	—	02-09 14:56
bitcoin up or down february 5 4am et	12	$5.5K	2,768	2,768	+0	open	—	02-05 09:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 3am et	87	$5.4K	3,886	3,886	+0	open	—	02-10 09:00
bitcoin up or down february 6 9am et	25	$5.3K	3,292	3,292	+0	open	—	02-06 14:54
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 9am et	11	$5.3K	3,645	3,599	+46	open	—	04-08 13:55
bitcoin up or down february 6 7am et	12	$5.2K	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	02-06 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 05:56:01	btc updown 15m 1784871900	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x767ada…
07-24 05:55:57	btc updown 15m 1784871900	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xfaa182…
07-24 05:36:25	btc updown 15m 1784871000	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9aba48…
07-24 05:36:24	btc updown 15m 1784871000	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa997f0…
07-24 05:28:28	btc updown 15m 1784870100	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4917bc…
07-24 05:28:24	btc updown 15m 1784870100	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcae971…
07-24 05:24:40	btc updown 15m 1784870100	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7b7c22…
07-24 04:49:21	btc updown 15m 1784868300	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8a3396…
07-24 04:45:07	btc updown 5m 1784868000	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x7f76be…
07-24 04:44:52	btc updown 5m 1784868000	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbaa0f7…
07-24 04:41:49	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcca66b…
07-24 04:36:24	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf1ff9f…
07-24 04:28:58	btc updown 15m 1784866500	Down	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x5661a3…
07-24 04:16:30	btc updown 15m 1784866500	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x58d34e…
07-24 04:16:27	btc updown 15m 1784866500	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb13676…
07-24 04:10:04	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x08d335…
07-24 04:01:27	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa7a14c…
07-24 04:00:51	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0x957a24…
07-24 04:00:27	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x361bb7…
07-23 23:10:22	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xfb0f4e…
07-23 23:10:04	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	SELL	66	22¢	$14	0x72f017…
07-23 23:07:00	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1475e9…
07-23 23:06:51	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x731eca…
07-23 23:06:46	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x97ce6f…
07-23 23:04:22	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe28ec2…
07-23 23:04:07	btc updown 5m 1784847600	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf44384…
07-23 23:03:42	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x09e9a2…
07-23 23:01:15	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x22d69c…
07-23 22:53:40	btc updown 15m 1784846700	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfece59…
07-23 22:53:31	btc updown 15m 1784846700	Down	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x08470d…
07-23 22:53:13	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	53	22¢	$12	0x46d477…
07-23 22:50:16	btc updown 15m 1784846700	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xd9a034…
07-23 22:46:34	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x42f6b0…
07-23 22:46:28	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xfef514…
07-23 22:46:13	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd3946b…
07-23 22:46:10	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4ac7ae…
07-23 22:44:39	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbbff2d…
07-23 22:44:39	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x199531…
07-23 22:39:13	btc updown 5m 1784846100	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9a894…
07-23 22:39:12	btc updown 5m 1784846100	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2337a0…
07-23 22:30:51	btc updown 15m 1784845800	Up	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x022b81…
07-23 22:30:27	btc updown 15m 1784845800	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xfc204c…
07-23 22:29:57	btc updown 5m 1784845500	Up	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0x89126b…
07-23 22:28:34	btc updown 5m 1784845500	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x96b334…
07-23 22:28:33	btc updown 5m 1784845500	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x4a7f55…
07-23 22:28:15	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xebd8ac…
07-23 22:28:15	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb82ee2…
07-23 22:28:15	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x53b412…
07-23 22:28:15	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x00d76c…
07-23 22:28:13	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd67bec…
07-23 22:28:13	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbbad52…
07-23 22:28:13	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9dd2cd…
07-23 22:28:13	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18d8fd…
07-23 22:28:13	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x155909…
07-23 22:28:12	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd46ee4…
07-23 22:28:12	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x78a2d6…
07-23 22:24:01	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbe6e6b…
07-23 22:23:52	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x5ea00e…
07-23 22:23:37	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x2623ea…
07-23 22:23:10	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xbe54d9…
07-23 22:23:00	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x599254…
07-23 22:22:25	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Down	SELL	104	33¢	$34	0x0b944d…
07-23 22:21:45	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	43	64¢	$28	0xc9492f…
07-23 22:21:15	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3f886a…
07-23 22:20:46	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xf4000c…
07-23 22:20:24	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	64	74¢	$47	0x8c679d…
07-23 22:15:30	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0xcf3298…
07-23 22:15:07	doge updown 15m 1784844000	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x732a43…
07-23 22:14:22	doge updown 15m 1784844000	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc81e7c…
07-23 22:13:30	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Down	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x45edc7…
07-23 22:11:57	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb8a2ba…
07-23 22:11:52	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x2b90b0…
07-23 22:10:39	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf4f250…
07-23 22:10:34	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Down	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0xa19470…
07-23 22:10:25	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Up	SELL	143	24¢	$35	0xd9e68f…
07-23 22:09:19	btc updown 15m 1784844000	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x82cb1d…
07-23 21:59:49	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x03f828…
07-23 21:59:27	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xc6c573…
07-23 21:59:19	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	36	87¢	$32	0xb3c572…
07-23 21:59:03	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	146	22¢	$31	0x3084bf…
07-23 21:58:07	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x136749…
07-23 21:57:42	btc updown 15m 1784843100	Up	SELL	127	94¢	$119	0xe27292…
07-23 21:56:36	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x12fdeb…
07-23 21:56:22	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2abef2…
07-23 21:52:46	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x0c2e28…
07-23 21:50:48	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x75d9a9…
07-23 21:50:34	btc updown 15m 1784843100	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x73793f…
07-23 21:50:21	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	139	43¢	$60	0xb2025a…
07-23 21:37:09	btc updown 15m 1784842200	Down	SELL	54	48¢	$26	0x44f597…
07-23 21:36:36	btc updown 15m 1784842200	Down	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xd181ee…
07-23 21:36:25	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb3f202…
07-23 21:26:12	btc updown 15m 1784841300	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xef2d86…
07-23 21:24:12	btc updown 15m 1784841300	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x934809…
07-23 21:10:27	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6b9c3a…
07-23 21:10:22	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x3d1d7f…
07-23 21:10:21	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Down	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x7dbadb…
07-23 21:10:07	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Up	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x803681…
07-23 21:04:49	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x5ecfb6…
07-23 21:04:19	btc updown 5m 1784840400	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x090e87…
07-23 20:59:33	btc updown 15m 1784839500	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x72b127…