Functional-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$722

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

485

Trades

25,636

lifetime

Volume

$2.81M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-10 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-716

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% 50% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 550 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 10 6am et	52	$10.3K	7,115	7,115	+0	open	—	02-10 11:57
bitcoin up or down february 9 11am et	27	$9.8K	5,579	5,579	+0	open	—	02-09 16:57
bitcoin up or down february 8 9pm et	33	$9.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	02-09 02:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	54	$9.0K	5,629	5,629	+0	open	—	02-05 15:55
bitcoin up or down february 9 2am et	39	$8.5K	4,629	4,629	+0	open	—	02-09 07:59
bitcoin up or down february 10 11pm et	8	$8.4K	4,340	4,340	+0	open	—	02-11 04:54
bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	10	$8.4K	4,417	4,417	+0	open	—	02-05 22:53
ethereum up or down february 10 9am et	44	$8.3K	4,303	4,303	+0	open	—	02-10 14:59
bitcoin up or down february 5 6pm et	20	$8.2K	5,944	5,944	+0	open	—	02-05 23:52
bitcoin up or down february 8 8pm et	25	$8.1K	7,329	7,329	+0	open	—	02-09 01:59
bitcoin up or down february 9 3am et	30	$8.1K	4,996	4,996	+0	open	—	02-09 08:54
bitcoin up or down february 1 10pm et	17	$7.9K	4,021	4,021	+0	open	—	02-02 03:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	21	$7.6K	4,589	4,589	+0	open	—	02-11 13:00
bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	42	$6.8K	3,635	3,635	+0	open	—	02-10 10:58
bitcoin up or down february 6 10am et	10	$6.7K	3,519	3,519	+0	open	—	02-06 15:58
bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	15	$6.6K	3,442	3,442	+0	open	—	02-05 08:57
bitcoin up or down february 4 6pm et	28	$6.5K	3,716	3,716	+0	open	—	02-04 23:50
bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	36	$6.4K	3,813	3,813	+0	open	—	02-09 23:59
bitcoin up or down january 25 2pm et	12	$6.3K	3,246	3,246	+0	open	—	01-25 19:47
bitcoin up or down february 14 8am et	55	$6.2K	3,362	3,362	+0	open	—	02-14 13:51
bitcoin up or down february 8 10am et	25	$6.1K	3,613	3,613	+0	open	—	02-08 15:59
bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	81	$6.0K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	02-04 09:56
bitcoin up or down january 25 4am et	23	$5.8K	3,504	3,504	+0	open	—	01-25 10:00
ethereum up or down february 10 10am et	6	$5.7K	3,123	3,123	+0	open	—	02-10 16:27
bitcoin up or down february 9 9am et	33	$5.6K	3,729	3,729	+0	open	—	02-09 14:56
bitcoin up or down february 5 4am et	12	$5.5K	2,768	2,768	+0	open	—	02-05 09:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 3am et	87	$5.4K	3,886	3,886	+0	open	—	02-10 09:00
bitcoin up or down february 6 9am et	25	$5.3K	3,292	3,292	+0	open	—	02-06 14:54
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 9am et	11	$5.3K	3,645	3,599	+46	open	—	04-08 13:55
bitcoin up or down february 6 7am et	12	$5.2K	2,806	2,806	+0	open	—	02-06 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 20:05:56	btc updown 15m 1783713600	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x30dc3a…
07-10 20:05:34	btc updown 15m 1783713600	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcfda37…
07-10 20:05:28	btc updown 15m 1783713600	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x03bb3f…
07-10 20:05:13	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xfed602…
07-10 19:42:16	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa91e12…
07-10 19:42:16	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6e0865…
07-10 19:42:14	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x3a2cb0…
07-10 19:24:32	btc updown 15m 1783710900	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7c5588…
07-10 19:24:25	btc updown 15m 1783710900	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xabf5f9…
07-10 19:24:23	btc updown 15m 1783710900	Down	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x05d72a…
07-10 18:55:05	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec93ac…
07-10 18:55:02	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xedf07c…
07-10 18:54:58	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0f3397…
07-10 18:54:55	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x55ddfb…
07-10 18:54:23	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	190	6¢	$11	0xd066b5…
07-10 18:36:25	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x573d16…
07-10 18:34:56	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x1277e8…
07-10 18:34:55	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xd4a3a8…
07-10 18:06:44	btc updown 15m 1783706400	Up	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xf0be1d…
07-10 18:06:44	btc updown 15m 1783706400	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb6964f…
07-10 17:41:55	btc updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d0a3f…
07-10 17:41:35	btc updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x009aef…
07-10 17:41:31	btc updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x258e50…
07-10 17:40:58	btc updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf3bd8c…
07-10 17:40:52	btc updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x577b0a…
07-10 17:40:47	btc updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x090934…
07-10 17:40:44	btc updown 15m 1783704600	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xbac423…
07-10 17:40:28	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	178	96¢	$172	0x7f7de1…
07-10 17:20:56	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc021d4…
07-10 17:20:53	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xea5d93…
07-10 17:20:49	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xf90c0c…
07-10 17:20:46	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb58ffd…
07-10 17:20:22	btc updown 15m 1783703700	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2fa704…
07-10 17:20:16	btc updown 15m 1783703700	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x1d765f…
07-10 16:49:01	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x9cc90a…
07-10 16:48:56	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x8352ad…
07-10 11:39:55	btc updown 15m 1783683000	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf31215…
07-10 11:39:29	btc updown 15m 1783683000	Down	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x8cbce6…
07-10 11:39:16	btc updown 15m 1783683000	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x16fb67…
07-10 11:39:13	btc updown 15m 1783683000	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x1d6cba…
07-10 11:28:22	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Down	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x8aab60…
07-10 11:26:52	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x79d079…
07-10 11:26:43	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x09ec24…
07-10 11:26:34	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xf645af…
07-10 11:19:52	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x7ac22e…
07-10 11:19:49	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x729ded…
07-10 11:19:40	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Up	SELL	36	34¢	$12	0x04562d…
07-10 11:16:58	btc updown 15m 1783682100	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xda9dd1…
07-10 10:37:26	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	61	48¢	$29	0x108c8c…
07-10 10:32:04	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x6e6a38…
07-10 10:25:46	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0043b…
07-10 10:25:43	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7d4c50…
07-10 10:25:38	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcc4a32…
07-10 10:25:34	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfdad8d…
07-10 10:25:29	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xdf3cd3…
07-10 10:25:11	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x650c11…
07-10 10:25:01	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x03acfa…
07-10 10:24:49	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x701a6e…
07-10 10:24:43	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xc7dcc0…
07-10 10:24:31	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x60b6a2…
07-10 10:22:32	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xddfc37…
07-10 10:22:13	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x49677a…
07-10 10:22:11	btc updown 15m 1783678500	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x523f61…
07-10 10:10:28	btc updown 15m 1783677600	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0fe54e…
07-10 10:10:25	btc updown 15m 1783677600	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2f20b0…
07-10 10:10:20	btc updown 15m 1783677600	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x76f191…
07-10 10:10:11	btc updown 15m 1783677600	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2454ab…
07-10 10:10:02	btc updown 15m 1783677600	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xea6836…
07-10 09:56:01	btc updown 15m 1783676700	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe49260…
07-10 09:55:58	btc updown 15m 1783676700	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xfa0e29…
07-10 09:55:58	btc updown 15m 1783676700	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x77b351…
07-10 09:51:07	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	282	97¢	$272	0x00d0bb…
07-10 09:50:40	btc updown 15m 1783676700	Up	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xcccba7…
07-10 09:46:44	btc updown 15m 1783676700	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x08c074…
07-10 09:46:40	btc updown 15m 1783676700	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x94f232…
07-10 09:46:13	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4159cd…
07-10 09:46:10	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x7f4832…
07-10 09:44:53	btc updown 15m 1783675800	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa8c17b…
07-10 09:44:41	btc updown 15m 1783675800	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xada456…
07-10 09:44:35	btc updown 15m 1783675800	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x73a5ca…
07-10 09:34:25	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x565cb2…
07-10 09:34:17	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x6c8179…
07-10 09:34:04	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x76c194…
07-10 09:34:04	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x6e4c58…
07-10 09:34:02	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x078cb5…
07-10 09:10:38	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x3ecc1f…
07-10 09:09:59	btc updown 15m 1783674000	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x86ae59…
07-10 09:09:58	btc updown 15m 1783674000	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc7ed0b…
07-10 08:43:32	btc updown 15m 1783672200	Down	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0xeaeeda…
07-10 08:40:32	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe44969…
07-10 08:40:29	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4660dc…
07-10 08:40:25	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x567b0d…
07-10 08:40:22	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd4a336…
07-10 08:40:19	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfbb78b…
07-10 08:40:14	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0aa894…
07-10 08:40:11	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc378ec…
07-10 08:40:08	btc updown 15m 1783672200	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x3c28ff…
07-10 08:03:50	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x2bfdd4…
07-10 07:55:23	btc updown 15m 1783669500	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xdd97e5…
07-10 07:46:53	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xf23962…