Functional-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

+$46

Hit rate

39.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up		+45	$30	100¢	$45	+$15	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down		-143	$-36	4¢	$-5	+$31	05-05 22:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	1	$564	0	565	-565	Down	$-1	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$505	0	506	-506	Up	$-1	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$334	0	334	-334	open	—	05-05 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	2	$314	106	223	-116	open	—	05-05 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$290	384	0	+384	Down	+$31	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$221	0	224	-224	open	—	05-05 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	3	$220	299	0	+299	open	—	05-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$203	0	203	-203	Down	$-0	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$200	256	0	+256	open	—	05-05 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$200	223	0	+223	Up	+$23	05-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$200	235	0	+235	open	—	05-05 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	3	$147	229	0	+229	open	—	05-05 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$140	177	0	+177	open	—	05-05 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$100	128	0	+128	Up	+$28	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$100	164	0	+164	Down	+$64	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	$-100	05-04 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$100	122	0	+122	Down	+$22	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-05 19:42
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	05-04 21:09
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$95	0	95	-95	Up	$-0	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$58	0	175	-175	Up	+$58	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$54	0	54	-54	Up	$-0	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	Up	+$9	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$40	59	0	+59	open	—	05-05 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$36	0	143	-143	open	—	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	2	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	143	25¢	$36	0x367919…
05-05 21:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x22eba6…
05-05 20:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x16d356…
05-05 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x648db2…
05-05 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1f848b…
05-05 19:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xb29464…
05-05 19:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x62719d…
05-05 19:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x7e576a…
05-05 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	224	99¢	$221	0xf2cd51…
05-05 19:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xeb2290…
05-05 19:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x49b279…
05-05 18:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	223	96¢	$214	0xdc0e24…
05-05 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xde3681…
05-05 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x95dee6…
05-05 18:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x120e38…
05-05 18:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x87db70…
05-05 18:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x101c10…
05-05 18:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x3b7d31…
05-05 17:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x6d7ab3…
05-05 17:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xd6c6e4…
05-05 17:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xd8fe42…
05-05 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xe0f62c…
05-05 05:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x21888f…
05-05 04:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x227e6a…
05-05 04:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	262	76¢	$200	0x345f30…
05-05 04:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x04a433…
05-05 04:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xdfd275…
05-05 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xee9948…
05-05 03:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	506	100¢	$505	0x5bc3e4…
05-05 02:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x960e41…
05-05 01:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x77f163…
05-04 22:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x1ac453…
05-04 21:14:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x788286…
05-04 21:09:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc11cf2…
05-04 21:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x23b2b7…
05-04 21:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7c7507…
05-04 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	175	33¢	$58	0x5339c0…
05-04 20:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x0d40ef…
05-04 20:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	565	100¢	$564	0x2687b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$9.30K	267	05-05 22:25
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	19	$4.03K	96	05-05 22:25
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	17	$695	65	05-05 22:25
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	16	$2.24K	96	05-05 22:25
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	14	$1.04K	68	05-05 22:25
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	14	$904	88	05-05 22:25
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	14	$726	86	05-05 22:25
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	12	$756	33	05-05 22:25