Constant-Relation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$3.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$116

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$73

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	+120	$78	94¢	$113	+$35	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	+40	$20	6¢	$2	$-18	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	+80	$45	1¢	$1	$-44	05-06 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	10	$224	400	+400	open	—	05-05 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	7	$154	280	+280	open	—	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	6	$127	240	+240	open	—	05-05 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	6	$127	240	+240	open	—	05-05 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	8	$123	320	+320	open	—	05-05 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	5	$122	200	+200	open	—	05-05 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	6	$121	240	+240	Down	$-1	05-05 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	4	$111	160	+160	Up	+$9	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$107	160	+160	open	—	05-05 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	4	$98	160	+160	open	—	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$92	120	+120	Up	$-12	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$92	160	+160	Up	$-12	05-05 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	3	$83	120	+120	open	—	05-05 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	3	$75	120	+120	Down	+$5	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$75	160	+160	Down	+$5	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$74	160	+160	Down	+$46	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	3	$72	120	+120	open	—	05-05 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$70	80	+80	Down	+$10	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$66	120	+120	open	—	05-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$58	80	+80	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$55	160	+160	open	—	05-05 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$55	80	+80	open	—	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$51	80	+80	open	—	05-05 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$47	160	+160	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	3	$47	120	+120	open	—	05-05 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$46	80	+80	Up	+$34	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$45	80	+80	open	—	05-06 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$45	80	+80	Down	$-5	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$44	80	+80	open	—	05-05 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$44	120	+120	open	—	05-05 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x4789e3…
05-06 03:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4e81ce…
05-06 03:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x6b110c…
05-06 03:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xe49e78…
05-06 02:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xaa36ce…
05-06 02:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	76¢	$31	0xf872fb…
05-06 02:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xee0d94…
05-06 02:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xd4f9d0…
05-06 01:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x551856…
05-06 01:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x2ef743…
05-06 00:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x4d1e04…
05-06 00:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x3c47cf…
05-06 00:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xcf2677…
05-06 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa97cad…
05-06 00:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x86eaae…
05-06 00:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xc9df64…
05-06 00:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xbc04ab…
05-05 23:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xeb1ee3…
05-05 23:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x86bb3e…
05-05 23:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xb25b22…
05-05 23:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x48b5e4…
05-05 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x32402a…
05-05 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x2dcf0b…
05-05 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xbbaaf2…
05-05 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x79078b…
05-05 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x3f5bef…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xb32c89…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xfd82a7…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x274da6…
05-05 21:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x98684e…
05-05 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xd7c766…
05-05 21:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xa81a83…
05-05 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	39¢	$15	0xee0afe…
05-05 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x51541d…
05-05 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x7af695…
05-05 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xe7d5d3…
05-05 20:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x3dd0f9…
05-05 20:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x632744…
05-05 20:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xdf6323…
05-05 20:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	16¢	$7	0xf12f00…
05-05 20:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x2fc6cc…
05-05 20:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x294a51…
05-05 20:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x5d7085…
05-05 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x21cacc…
05-05 19:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x1fd90d…
05-05 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xb29429…
05-05 19:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x701364…
05-05 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x3066a1…
05-05 19:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x5763ce…
05-05 19:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x22f2f6…
05-05 19:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x6a311b…
05-05 18:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x22156d…
05-05 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x12c7a4…
05-05 18:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xbae3df…
05-05 18:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xbfaf7a…
05-05 18:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x4824ae…
05-05 18:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x78d472…
05-05 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xd26822…
05-05 18:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x4fdd6a…
05-05 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x7f296c…
05-05 18:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xa2202b…
05-05 18:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc179f2…
05-05 18:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x65fd2c…
05-05 18:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x6554a2…
05-05 18:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xc60a63…
05-05 17:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x4aaee1…
05-05 17:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x8673ac…
05-05 17:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xb067c6…
05-05 17:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x21ff77…
05-05 16:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x10da16…
05-05 16:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xeab756…
05-05 16:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x05d99f…
05-05 16:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x88c9c7…
05-05 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x2fd1a5…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x254718…
05-05 15:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xe04e67…
05-05 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x42d2e0…
05-05 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x0982e6…
05-05 13:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x9fb7fd…
05-05 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe70fa3…
05-05 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	81¢	$33	0x6a85a9…
05-05 12:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xea18ce…
05-05 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x4aa936…
05-05 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x8cb165…
05-05 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x3aba8b…
05-05 10:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xe833bc…
05-05 10:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x649eab…
05-05 10:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x17f429…
05-05 10:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xa3aa26…
05-05 10:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xc01d03…
05-05 09:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x697e84…
05-05 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xed197f…
05-05 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xf5c29a…
05-05 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x83f47f…
05-05 09:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x78c45f…
05-05 09:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x5af4a1…
05-05 09:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x9535f9…
05-05 09:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xb56807…
05-05 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xfc3a66…
05-05 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xd0d496…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	76	$26.5K	642	05-06 03:14
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	76	$2.11K	524	05-06 03:09
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	72	$3.72K	177	05-06 03:09
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	71	$2.63K	236	05-06 03:09
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	62	$2.59K	379	05-06 03:09
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	62	$840	211	05-06 03:09
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	58	$3.75K	271	05-06 03:09
Poor-Concentrate 0xdcef…d05c	58	$613	200	05-06 03:05