Unwritten-Verb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$40.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$623

Open exposure

$1.61K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-22 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$12

Politics

26% — —

Other

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+1,630	$1,615	99¢	$1.6K	$-1	07-22 21:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$1.6K	1,630	+1,630	open	—	07-22 21:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$1.6K	1,603	+1,603	open	—	07-14 17:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$1.6K	1,570	+1,570	open	—	07-02 15:05
bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	1	$1.5K	1,560	+1,560	open	—	06-22 00:52
bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	2	$1.5K	1,540	+1,540	open	—	06-18 19:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$1.5K	1,535	+1,535	open	—	06-06 17:25
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$1.5K	1,517	+1,517	open	—	06-05 00:20
bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	1	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	open	—	06-25 22:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	1	$1.5K	1,484	+1,484	open	—	06-02 12:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$1.4K	1,446	+1,446	open	—	05-26 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	1	$1.4K	1,391	+1,391	open	—	05-25 00:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$1.4K	1,400	+1,400	open	—	05-26 00:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	1	$1.4K	1,394	+1,394	open	—	05-23 22:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	4	$1.3K	1,338	+1,338	open	—	05-21 02:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,380	+1,380	open	—	05-21 21:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	3	$1.3K	1,333	+1,333	open	—	05-18 15:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,308	+1,308	open	—	05-14 14:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$1.3K	1,294	+1,294	No	+$6	05-11 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	3	$1.2K	1,240	+1,240	open	—	05-27 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,231	+1,231	open	—	05-30 20:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$1.1K	1,110	+1,110	Yes	+$2	05-05 02:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	1	$1.1K	1,109	+1,109	open	—	05-02 01:33
bitcoin above 72k on april 22	1	$1.1K	1,109	+1,109	open	—	04-22 00:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$1.1K	1,103	+1,103	open	—	05-03 22:33
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	2	$1.1K	1,100	+1,100	open	—	04-20 23:28
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$1.1K	1,104	+1,104	open	—	04-17 00:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,052	+1,052	open	—	05-12 21:17
bitcoin above 78k on april 20	1	$959	969	+969	open	—	04-19 23:21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$942	1,109	+1,109	open	—	04-23 17:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	1	$895	896	+896	No	+$1	05-07 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 21:23:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,630	99¢	$1,615	0x77c146…
07-14 17:41:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,603	100¢	$1,600	0x59d675…
07-08 00:13:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xda4322…
07-02 15:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$508	0xd5be66…
07-02 15:03:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x4841c5…
07-02 15:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x89d13b…
06-25 22:34:05	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,492	0x5edda3…
06-22 00:52:28	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,560	98¢	$1,537	0xb79b2b…
06-18 19:04:35	bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1,385	100¢	$1,381	0xe633a7…
06-18 19:02:44	bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x888bf4…
06-06 17:25:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,535	99¢	$1,515	0xe91895…
06-05 00:20:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	1,517	98¢	$1,493	0xfb2e67…
06-02 12:54:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1,484	100¢	$1,480	0x6e216c…
05-30 20:04:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,231	97¢	$1,200	0x8614b3…
05-27 16:00:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	325	99¢	$322	0xb89bd7…
05-27 16:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	458	99¢	$454	0xcac40c…
05-27 16:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	458	99¢	$454	0x7658be…
05-27 15:57:35	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x697f32…
05-26 15:09:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xbeba2a…
05-26 15:09:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0x584d18…
05-26 15:08:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xda05ce…
05-26 15:08:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	210	97¢	$205	0xb8045c…
05-26 15:04:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0xd20502…
05-26 00:47:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	1,400	99¢	$1,390	0x57bfef…
05-25 00:00:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x02791f…
05-25 00:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,391	100¢	$1,390	0x7392ff…
05-23 22:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,394	100¢	$1,390	0x46ec2c…
05-21 21:02:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,380	96¢	$1,326	0x6630ed…
05-21 02:25:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0x87fa1d…
05-20 17:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7be89a…
05-20 17:46:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0xe69aa7…
05-20 17:37:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xa4390d…
05-18 15:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,230	98¢	$1,211	0x795679…
05-18 15:44:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc7e2e7…
05-18 15:42:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x19d3c5…
05-14 14:44:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21cbc9…
05-14 14:43:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49eb08…
05-14 14:43:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xee71a8…
05-14 14:42:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,308	99¢	$1,300	0x57818b…
05-12 21:17:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,050	0x1385d6…
05-11 14:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,294	100¢	$1,288	0x855459…
05-07 15:59:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	896	100¢	$895	0x902914…
05-07 14:54:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$214	0xcecbe7…
05-06 17:41:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3f7f12…
05-05 02:24:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,108	0x099d57…
05-03 22:33:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,100	0x569a05…
05-02 01:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,106	0x5ed715…
04-27 15:14:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x1edff1…
04-26 13:55:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x27bce8…
04-23 17:39:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,109	85¢	$942	0x1998b7…
04-22 00:07:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	1,109	99¢	$1,102	0xff24b6…
04-20 23:28:54	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	765	99¢	$756	0x82ed73…
04-20 23:20:32	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in April?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xda4181…
04-20 23:20:22	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $590 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77b41e…
04-20 23:20:12	Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5badf…
04-20 23:20:02	Will SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x953e74…
04-20 23:18:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	335	99¢	$331	0x97be37…
04-19 23:21:34	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	969	99¢	$959	0xd41814…
04-18 16:16:32	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 18	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3a6e4f…
04-18 16:16:26	will bitcoin reach 83k on april 18	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x4a1276…
04-18 16:02:26	will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xa0f53d…
04-18 15:12:30	will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7bc552…
04-18 15:04:34	will bitcoin reach 81k on april 18	No	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x1f651a…
04-17 00:26:42	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,074	98¢	$1,056	0xf34248…
04-17 00:25:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x36297a…