(anonymous) 0x0bd1a5…aff592
new 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$30
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
5.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
75
lifetime
Volume
$301
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$168
22 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-30 13:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$7
Other
31% 0% -$33
Tech
11% — —
Sports
1% 0% -$4
Crypto
1% 50% —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $37 70¢ $36 -$2 10-30 13:06
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +43 $34 72¢ $32 -$2 10-28 10:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 72¢ $14 +$1 10-26 15:03
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $13 44¢ $14 +$1 10-26 15:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 10-26 06:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +90 $11 12¢ $11 $0 10-30 13:06
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +15 $8 54¢ $8 $0 10-26 23:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +30 $8 24¢ $7 -$1 10-28 12:35
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +10 $5 56¢ $6 +$1 10-29 14:44
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes +97 $11 6¢ $5 -$6 10-26 15:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +128 $5 4¢ $5 +$0 10-27 04:38
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +7 $1 60¢ $4 +$3 10-24 15:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8 $2 43¢ $3 +$1 10-26 06:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 10-28 12:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +16 $3 18¢ $3 $0 10-26 09:28
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +6 $2 34¢ $2 $0 10-26 06:16
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +9 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 10-24 15:38
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-26 06:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-26 06:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 33¢ $1 $0 10-26 06:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 20¢ $1 $0 10-26 06:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +32 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-26 06:09