Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$478

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$140

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-23 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$5

Politics

34% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-10

Crypto

3% 25% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,222	$110	8¢	$104	$-6	06-23 09:36
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+557	$39	6¢	$31	$-8	06-22 06:40
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	+52	$10	11¢	$6	$-4	06-21 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$155	36	170	-134	open	—	06-21 13:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	5	$110	1,222	0	+1,222	open	—	06-23 09:36
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	2	$39	557	0	+557	open	—	06-22 06:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$20	1,692	0	+1,692	open	—	04-18 15:25
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	2	$16	200	0	+200	open	—	04-10 13:39
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$16	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 11:39
netanyahu out by july 31	1	$15	554	0	+554	open	—	06-22 09:11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	1	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	06-21 14:05
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	03-01 09:20
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$6	793	0	+793	open	—	02-11 13:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$5	294	0	+294	open	—	04-10 08:21
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$5	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	02-11 12:53
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$5	1,255	0	+1,255	open	—	02-11 12:54
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$5	190	0	+190	open	—	02-11 12:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$5	122	0	+122	open	—	04-10 08:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$5	76	0	+76	open	—	04-10 08:21
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	02-11 12:57
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$5	263	0	+263	open	—	02-11 12:57
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	63	0	+63	No	$-5	04-10 08:31
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	$-5	04-10 08:13
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-10 08:31
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	04-18 15:27
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$3	40	0	+40	open	—	02-11 12:55
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$2	52	0	+52	open	—	02-11 12:55
btc updown 5m 1775808000	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-10 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 11:34
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	02-11 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 09:36:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x8906bd…
06-22 09:11:49	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	554	3¢	$15	0x8d9670…
06-22 06:41:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x61e039…
06-22 06:40:37	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x4380d1…
06-22 06:39:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x56e015…
06-21 14:05:52	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xa3a2b4…
06-21 13:35:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xe6e06f…
06-21 13:34:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	89¢	$151	0x582b9a…
06-21 07:43:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x1d687a…
06-13 08:11:16	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xf8a3c3…
06-07 07:47:54	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xc7efa9…
05-12 11:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8ca7e0…
05-12 11:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0560e8…
05-12 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c60a3…
05-12 11:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1a4424…
05-12 11:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb8da85…
05-12 11:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8f2bd3…
05-12 11:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6fdb35…
05-12 11:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef742f…
05-12 11:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2116bc…
05-12 11:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5de836…
05-12 11:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x23f350…
05-12 11:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x95c479…
04-18 15:27:54	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x841cc7…
04-18 15:25:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x1478ab…
04-14 11:39:53	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xa87607…
04-12 11:09:23	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3d1918…
04-10 13:39:09	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x8984d7…
04-10 13:34:59	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xa4f3b0…
04-10 08:31:35	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1a96c8…
04-10 08:31:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xaf598d…
04-10 08:21:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x2915f6…
04-10 08:21:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xdba79d…
04-10 08:21:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x61291f…
04-10 08:21:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0xb6edbd…
04-10 08:13:39	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x22e0fb…
04-10 08:00:49	btc updown 5m 1775808000	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x76a096…
04-10 07:56:55	btc updown 5m 1775807700	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x60c576…
03-01 09:20:29	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5c012a…
02-11 13:15:31	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0x02feb1…
02-11 12:59:37	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x75a220…
02-11 12:59:25	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	654	1¢	$5	0xe484e1…
02-11 12:57:27	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x43b06f…
02-11 12:57:17	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x95ad6e…
02-11 12:55:53	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x636912…
02-11 12:55:05	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x875914…
02-11 12:54:57	Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	190	3¢	$5	0x1a72a8…
02-11 12:54:29	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,255	0¢	$5	0x92a537…
02-11 12:53:57	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x3e3273…