Thick-Fir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-27 03:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Crypto

35% 100% +$0

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	8	$3.6K	1,804	1,804	+0	open	—	01-14 07:02
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$900	455	455	+0	open	—	02-08 03:56
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$899	453	453	+0	open	—	02-12 02:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$895	449	449	+0	open	—	01-19 05:06
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	1	$449	450	0	+450	open	—	02-12 07:51
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$447	452	0	+452	open	—	01-24 02:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	05-22 02:46
ethereum above 1800 on april 2	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	04-02 05:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	05-06 03:49
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-30 03:42
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-16 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$47	0	47	-47	open	—	05-27 03:22
bitcoin above 68k on april 11	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	04-11 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-11 05:58
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-26 03:18
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-28 05:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	05-01 01:20
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-14 06:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$44	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	05-09 03:04
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 24	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-24 05:26
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 14?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-14 03:06
bitcoin above 66k on april 8	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-08 03:50
xrp above 1pt2 on march 23	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-23 06:54
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	03-25 03:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 30?	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-30 02:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	05-20 02:55
xrp above 1pt2 on april 3	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-03 03:43
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	04-05 05:36
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 18	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-18 06:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-26 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 03:22:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xd45f99…
05-24 03:19:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa9acbd…
05-23 03:44:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb4b7d6…
05-22 02:46:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x5f3fe2…
05-21 05:21:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9c7264…
05-20 02:55:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x71346c…
05-19 02:30:45	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 19?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7f698f…
05-17 03:38:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x64f0b8…
05-16 02:48:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3fd6d7…
05-15 02:22:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xec2a1b…
05-14 03:06:41	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd5627c…
05-13 02:32:45	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x098db8…
05-12 02:36:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0fccd0…
05-11 05:58:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x8cc144…
05-10 02:06:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x445fef…
05-09 03:04:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf26cbd…
05-08 03:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x385faa…
05-07 02:54:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x806ea0…
05-06 03:49:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x1f6136…
05-05 05:54:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xb9d9b9…
05-04 04:49:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9a8888…
05-01 01:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x2e7de4…
04-30 02:44:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x74b4c4…
04-29 02:38:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xec8832…
04-28 05:20:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0e3602…
04-27 05:15:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7a5c3b…
04-26 06:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x48a5a9…
04-25 03:34:22	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x32e930…
04-24 05:26:38	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 24	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xeb4f99…
04-23 05:21:20	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x77d8f3…
04-22 03:16:42	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1d88a…
04-21 03:40:10	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xacb500…
04-20 03:04:08	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 20	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x478893…
04-19 05:29:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0xda8118…
04-18 06:29:44	ethereum above 2600 on april 18	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0d1db6…
04-17 05:33:18	solana above 100 on april 17	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa9f12e…
04-16 03:29:10	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x8d9a2a…
04-14 06:00:27	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x63b570…
04-12 05:08:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0c4346…
04-11 03:38:03	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0xfacf9f…
04-10 03:31:47	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x674478…
04-09 03:44:25	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd03ffa…
04-08 03:50:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x062bf5…
04-07 02:28:09	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd68ef0…
04-06 06:27:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9ab199…
04-05 05:36:09	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0xf84860…
04-04 05:32:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x199fe7…
04-03 03:43:09	xrp above 1pt2 on april 3	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe81323…
04-02 05:10:05	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0xb961dd…
04-01 05:12:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 1	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x90cafe…
03-31 03:40:45	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdcfc03…
03-30 03:42:46	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x48bb60…
03-29 05:43:04	bitcoin above 60k on march 29	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xeff6f4…
03-28 05:12:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x4d82db…
03-27 03:39:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xab0d39…
03-26 03:18:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x930db2…
03-25 03:18:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x06a57e…
03-24 05:14:51	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3ef455…
03-23 06:54:23	xrp above 1pt2 on march 23	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x48dd75…
03-22 05:54:39	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x4a0ce9…
03-21 05:36:47	solana above 80 on march 21	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x556a8d…
03-20 06:39:51	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 20	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x58c53e…
03-19 05:53:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x817887…
03-18 06:24:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 18	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xaf4eec…
03-17 06:47:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on march 17	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x612c05…
03-16 06:51:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x655c82…
03-15 03:34:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x685b41…
03-14 10:51:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9f6dd1…
03-13 07:57:29	xrp above 1pt1 on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdb37f0…
03-12 05:27:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7ded7e…
03-11 02:29:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0de51b…
03-10 02:36:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf57a3…
03-09 03:22:07	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1b289c…
03-05 02:46:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xadd446…
03-04 02:44:25	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfc51e2…
03-03 02:56:29	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x139e66…
03-02 03:22:37	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 2	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x53e576…
03-02 03:21:03	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 2	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf12297…
03-01 03:10:53	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x49e68f…
02-28 07:41:37	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb3529c…
02-12 07:51:59	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0xaeaee6…
02-12 02:53:07	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	453	99¢	$449	0x0b1ae8…
02-11 03:00:39	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	453	99¢	$450	0xea3b98…
02-08 03:56:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	455	99¢	$450	0x022d78…
02-07 02:58:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0xc80159…
01-24 02:32:12	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	452	99¢	$447	0x9dce1c…
01-19 05:06:54	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	449	100¢	$447	0x323438…
01-18 03:59:46	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	449	100¢	$448	0x1f3161…
01-14 07:02:42	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	450	100¢	$449	0xf3307d…
01-13 03:28:05	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0xb92ec4…
01-12 03:45:56	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	450	100¢	$449	0x9d6b4f…
01-10 05:24:42	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x6c957a…
01-09 06:13:42	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	452	99¢	$449	0xba91e0…
01-06 06:44:21	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	452	99¢	$449	0x9f30b7…
01-05 10:55:03	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	452	99¢	$449	0xc39267…
01-03 08:55:57	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	452	99¢	$448	0x9fee6a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Charming-Deputy 0xc2f7…a702	85	$9.78K	95	05-27 03:21
Nervous-Personnel 0xd7de…2fb8	85	$9.70K	95	05-27 03:21
Livid-Renaissance 0xf8b3…f84c	85	$9.62K	95	05-27 03:21
Actual-Diadem 0x456c…48b6	85	$9.52K	95	05-27 03:21
Virtual-Hutch 0x77bf…577c	85	$9.51K	95	05-27 03:21
Physical-Leg 0x45e9…ce97	85	$9.26K	95	05-27 03:21
Starchy-Reclamation 0x4724…723b	84	$9.73K	94	05-27 03:22
Enchanted-Supervisor 0x2614…0fb0	84	$9.73K	94	05-27 03:21