Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$641

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-22 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 55% -$20

Other

31% 56% +$20

Politics

23% 57% -$53

Sports

7% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	+$30	02-26 15:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$46	35	35	+0	Yes	-$12	03-01 11:57
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-29 08:50
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$37	37	37	+0	No	-$1	01-14 07:29
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	2	$31	76	76	+0	No	$0	01-13 09:05
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:12
will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-24 07:19
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$29	24	24	+0	No	+$0	01-14 10:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$27	18	41	-23	Yes	-$34	01-09 10:07
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	$0	03-24 07:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-02 09:40
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	2	$23	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	01-12 06:30
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$22	17	17	+0	No	+$3	01-19 08:19
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	2	$22	23	23	+0	Yes	-$1	01-30 13:24
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 07:24
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	2	$20	45	45	+0	Yes	-$8	01-14 07:23
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:56
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-11 14:29
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	02-28 06:47
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	-$15	03-18 07:16
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:12
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-09 02:37
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$12	0	26	-26	Yes	-$14	02-26 06:12
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	01-24 10:39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$11	22	0	+22	No	-$11	04-22 10:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$11	17	0	+17	Yes	+$6	03-08 08:48
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	03-10 03:24
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	1	$8	183	0	+183	No	-$8	01-21 09:39
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	03-30 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 10:39:58	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xbcf3fb…
04-08 00:56:45	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x932ebe…
03-30 11:51:38	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x27b4f3…
03-30 06:40:10	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x196665…
03-29 08:50:38	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x256cab…
03-25 09:01:59	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4ec6b1…
03-25 08:55:43	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8a078f…
03-24 07:27:37	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xf7a25d…
03-24 07:24:31	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x05ba87…
03-24 07:19:51	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x534569…
03-18 15:53:57	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7aae7b…
03-18 15:12:05	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xe8c14d…
03-18 07:16:11	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd71616…
03-13 15:40:25	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0ce2e8…
03-11 14:29:17	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6fc6f2…
03-10 03:24:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb61a9b…
03-10 01:12:55	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xa0b1d6…
03-10 01:12:07	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x25697c…
03-08 08:48:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xf7b49f…
03-08 08:10:39	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x4d5dfa…
03-08 08:05:17	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x9a4b69…
03-03 17:59:57	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5ca0ef…
03-02 09:40:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0eae3f…
03-01 12:38:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x8bdbe6…
03-01 11:57:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x593568…
03-01 11:45:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x016115…
03-01 01:00:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x263e1a…
02-28 15:23:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x972fc9…
02-28 06:47:27	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x2f1d4f…
02-27 13:15:45	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x79ea82…
02-26 15:50:08	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xfaeac4…
02-26 06:12:42	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x4e2d35…
02-26 05:09:36	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7efbc2…
02-09 02:37:55	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x08569c…
01-30 13:24:40	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x34dba2…
01-28 07:11:15	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xee62bb…
01-24 10:39:06	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xef700e…
01-21 09:39:24	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	Yes	BUY	183	4¢	$8	0x30411c…
01-19 08:19:04	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0xe9b6fb…
01-17 05:32:30	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x6ecab5…
01-14 10:15:34	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	61¢	$15	0x529e4e…
01-14 07:29:20	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x36019d…
01-14 07:23:04	will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0xfcd957…
01-13 16:24:35	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x117bbd…
01-13 09:58:49	will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	Yes	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0xc275d6…
01-13 09:57:29	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x5053d6…
01-13 09:16:49	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xd9c4d8…
01-13 09:05:27	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	SELL	76	20¢	$16	0xa96db4…
01-12 08:50:00	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0x2d3a3c…
01-12 06:30:40	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xb78106…
01-11 12:04:44	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x8f7ec2…
01-11 10:42:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x12e157…
01-09 10:07:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x410156…
01-04 02:42:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0x778db0…