Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
85
lifetime
Volume
$487
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$291
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-18 14:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53%
Crypto
29%
Politics
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing -137 $-132 94¢ $-130 +$2 06-18 14:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -100 $-65 82¢ $-82 $-16 06-07 23:46
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing -64 $-61 95¢ $-61 +$0 06-15 12:42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -137 $-10 $-10 $-0 06-18 14:18
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -100 $-41 $-6 +$35 06-07 23:46
Obama divorce before 2027? Yes -64 $-4 $-4 +$0 06-15 12:42