Starry-Frock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$210

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.4%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-07 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 21% $-210

Politics

45% 0% $-0

Other

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	5	$606	616	616	+0	open	—	02-02 10:58
btc updown 15m 1770572700	7	$241	150	148	+2	open	—	02-08 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	9	$173	1,470	605	+866	Down	$-137	05-07 20:41
btc updown 15m 1770574500	2	$104	164	0	+164	open	—	02-08 18:16
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	6	$89	1,003	581	+422	open	—	01-28 16:17
xrp updown 15m 1770573600	4	$84	87	51	+36	open	—	02-08 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$50	114	113	+0	Down	+$28	05-07 19:54
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	4	$46	2,497	0	+2,497	open	—	01-29 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	4	$31	91	0	+91	Up	$-31	05-07 20:29
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	5	$28	228	24	+204	open	—	01-26 22:41
eth updown 15m 1770573600	3	$21	85	0	+85	open	—	02-08 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$21	59	0	+59	Up	$-21	05-07 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$20	33	0	+33	Up	$-20	05-07 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$15	55	55	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 19:59
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	2	$14	43	0	+43	open	—	02-02 14:34
btc updown 15m 1770570900	4	$11	113	6	+107	open	—	02-08 17:31
btc updown 15m 1770214500	3	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	02-04 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$9	14	0	+14	Down	$-9	05-07 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$8	188	88	+100	Down	$-6	05-07 20:09
btc updown 15m 1770216300	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	02-04 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$6	64	0	+64	Up	$-6	05-07 20:03
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	02-02 12:36
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$6	23	0	+23	open	—	02-02 12:21
eth updown 15m 1770218100	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	02-04 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Up	$-5	05-07 20:23
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	01-26 12:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$-0	02-04 14:21
btc updown 15m 1770207300	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 20:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x68faec…
05-07 20:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x4b2d1d…
05-07 20:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xad40ea…
05-07 20:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9afa5a…
05-07 20:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0xa127cc…
05-07 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x76341f…
05-07 20:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	618	3¢	$20	0x146c82…
05-07 20:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	565	1¢	$6	0x7f82d6…
05-07 20:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x646fd2…
05-07 20:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	127	16¢	$20	0x6605ac…
05-07 20:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	337	30¢	$100	0xaf505b…
05-07 20:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x276928…
05-07 20:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa956e7…
05-07 20:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5c90f2…
05-07 20:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x68f7db…
05-07 20:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x685576…
05-07 20:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6544de…
05-07 20:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfa16de…
05-07 20:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xe9c7fb…
05-07 20:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x40c5e0…
05-07 20:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2de30c…
05-07 20:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2970f3…
05-07 20:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x348e63…
05-07 20:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7bac68…
05-07 20:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0c6325…
05-07 20:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x62596c…
05-07 20:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xac2b12…
05-07 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	55	17¢	$9	0x22f569…
05-07 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb4dfd2…
05-07 19:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6982e8…
05-07 19:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0x7156e7…
05-07 19:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0xad139e…
05-07 19:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe5c46c…
05-07 19:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x92dcd2…
05-07 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x988f37…
05-07 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc22755…
05-07 19:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd7de61…
05-07 19:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x39b938…
05-07 19:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x08d8e6…
02-08 18:16:51	btc updown 15m 1770574500	Down	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0xaa0fcc…
02-08 18:16:41	btc updown 15m 1770574500	Down	BUY	101	63¢	$63	0xb2589f…
02-08 18:14:53	xrp updown 15m 1770573600	Up	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0x3b18af…
02-08 18:14:15	xrp updown 15m 1770573600	Down	SELL	23	37¢	$8	0xcbcdc8…
02-08 18:13:09	xrp updown 15m 1770573600	Down	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x10924b…
02-08 18:11:55	xrp updown 15m 1770573600	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x29981e…
02-08 18:05:17	eth updown 15m 1770573600	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xddb238…
02-08 18:05:05	eth updown 15m 1770573600	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x86142b…
02-08 18:02:59	eth updown 15m 1770573600	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf42162…
02-08 18:01:31	btc updown 15m 1770572700	Down	SELL	143	99¢	$141	0xba49ed…
02-08 17:54:09	btc updown 15m 1770572700	Down	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0x079062…
02-08 17:53:05	btc updown 15m 1770572700	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4ce2a6…
02-08 17:50:53	btc updown 15m 1770572700	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa77cb6…
02-08 17:50:35	btc updown 15m 1770572700	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe485ee…
02-08 17:46:17	btc updown 15m 1770572700	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x61e052…
02-08 17:45:33	btc updown 15m 1770572700	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e3d21…
02-08 17:39:23	sol updown 15m 1770571800	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6e7698…
02-08 17:34:53	xrp updown 15m 1770571800	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x748eb8…
02-08 17:31:15	btc updown 15m 1770570900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7aa2f3…
02-08 17:30:55	btc updown 15m 1770570900	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7d002b…
02-08 17:24:51	btc updown 15m 1770570900	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8a3a45…
02-08 17:22:11	btc updown 15m 1770570900	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2ba6dc…
02-04 15:15:58	eth updown 15m 1770218100	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x1631a9…
02-04 15:13:58	xrp updown 15m 1770217200	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf043b7…
02-04 15:12:46	xrp updown 15m 1770217200	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0faf2d…
02-04 14:55:58	btc updown 15m 1770216300	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfc1cbd…
02-04 14:32:40	btc updown 15m 1770215400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa0050d…
02-04 14:30:58	btc updown 15m 1770215400	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeb2272…
02-04 14:30:30	btc updown 15m 1770214500	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x6b8adf…
02-04 14:22:22	btc updown 15m 1770214500	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb9db36…
02-04 14:21:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xeba521…
02-04 14:16:54	btc updown 15m 1770214500	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x7b0e90…
02-04 13:39:10	btc updown 15m 1770211800	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd38277…
02-04 12:31:36	btc updown 15m 1770208200	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x360b68…
02-04 12:30:42	btc updown 15m 1770207300	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa526fe…
02-04 12:26:22	btc updown 15m 1770207300	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x236eb2…
02-04 12:25:14	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x66ec67…
02-03 09:31:50	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbae8b0…
02-02 14:34:32	will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xc4dda6…
02-02 12:54:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x556b58…
02-02 12:36:24	will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1a5635…
02-02 12:36:08	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5282d0…
02-02 12:21:32	Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbd0d2a…
02-02 11:49:10	Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe52b8d…
02-02 11:47:46	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x30d307…
02-02 11:47:26	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa4b5a9…
02-02 10:58:58	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0x18dc1b…
01-31 18:13:50	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	133	77¢	$102	0xceddfb…
01-31 18:13:06	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	SELL	483	21¢	$102	0xea9b26…
01-30 01:01:52	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	422	54¢	$230	0x8baeef…
01-29 21:42:00	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0x6271b7…
01-29 16:30:30	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xf340cb…
01-29 13:38:34	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x3849fe…
01-28 23:36:10	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	621	3¢	$20	0x1a4153…
01-28 16:17:40	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xd6ae28…
01-28 15:57:54	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5bf04d…
01-28 15:57:18	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xc688a6…
01-28 15:56:32	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	SELL	581	1¢	$6	0xf291aa…
01-28 15:55:18	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	268	2¢	$5	0xa671d6…
01-28 15:53:20	will kanye release bully by january 30	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x590b2a…
01-28 13:55:09	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	270	23¢	$62	0x6d4973…