Defiant-Stinger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$724

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-15 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

80% 0% $-3

Other

15% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$410	350	350	+0	Yes	$-3	04-28 04:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	04-28 12:34
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$36	38	0	+38	open	—	04-28 05:00
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	01-02 18:26
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 15:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-10 14:29
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 747 434	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-12 15:43
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 15:10
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-24 02:56
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 18c	2	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 15:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 08:59
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 03:18
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	02-13 02:00
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-04 16:27
gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-25 08:48
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-10 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaae724…
05-15 08:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x460632…
04-28 15:07:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x74803a…
04-28 12:34:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0xb49d33…
04-28 05:00:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x816374…
04-28 05:00:34	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xae3f97…
04-28 04:22:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	350	58¢	$203	0x9f863a…
04-28 04:22:24	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	350	59¢	$206	0x230ba8…
04-24 03:19:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd86dfb…
04-24 03:18:44	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x89ed56…
04-24 02:56:28	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x262ae3…
04-24 02:56:00	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc7ba12…
04-23 15:54:54	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x533f3b…
04-23 15:53:36	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 18c	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x620372…
04-23 15:42:04	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x362a89…
04-19 15:10:34	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x78700a…
04-19 10:23:54	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4b5424…
04-10 14:31:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4a4636…
04-10 14:29:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbc8f93…
04-10 14:21:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a0b4d…
03-12 15:43:37	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 747 434	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa41015…
03-12 15:38:37	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 747 434	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1dc3a1…
02-13 02:00:15	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x58ec4b…
02-04 16:27:55	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x08d11b…
01-25 08:48:14	gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf924e…
01-02 18:26:29	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xfcde75…
01-02 17:54:59	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd63309…