Vast-Impairment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$471

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-28 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% — —

Other

38% 0% $-1

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		-37	$-10	22¢	$-8	+$2	05-28 00:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	05-04 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$46	61	61	+0	open	—	05-04 02:04
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$35	43	0	+43	open	—	05-03 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	05-04 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$24	88	88	+0	open	—	05-04 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$23	26	12	+14	open	—	05-04 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$18	46	46	+0	open	—	05-03 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$18	79	79	+0	open	—	05-04 03:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$13	0	28	-28	open	—	05-28 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$13	21	0	+21	open	—	05-27 14:11
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	3	$12	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 12:12
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-29 08:55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	04-29 23:23
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-02 16:53
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-02 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-04 02:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$10	0	37	-37	open	—	05-28 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	6	$7	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 04:08
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$7	167	167	+0	open	—	05-04 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$6	120	120	+0	open	—	04-29 23:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	05-27 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$6	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 13:48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-01 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 08:41
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 02:06
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-29 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 00:24:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0x1a414d…
05-28 00:24:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0xad576b…
05-27 14:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x0f0d4a…
05-27 14:10:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x5faecc…
05-27 14:10:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc84e36…
05-27 14:10:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x13140a…
05-27 14:10:05	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xcddecb…
05-27 14:09:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xc59d4f…
05-23 05:35:25	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xe5df69…
05-04 12:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5d63ea…
05-04 12:40:38	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0x1ed059…
05-04 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xfc6fbb…
05-04 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x4e9895…
05-04 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x449e4c…
05-04 04:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd8ba16…
05-04 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x93cd7e…
05-04 04:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xef9d82…
05-04 03:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x170e6c…
05-04 03:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xe2e348…
05-04 03:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x94530e…
05-04 03:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x9ebf0c…
05-04 03:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xd08a8f…
05-04 03:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xb7bac2…
05-04 03:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x728d30…
05-04 03:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaeb451…
05-04 03:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0d7b34…
05-04 03:23:22	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xdf3171…
05-04 03:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	79	14¢	$11	0xd01b57…
05-04 03:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb0b415…
05-04 03:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd76007…
05-04 03:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf05099…
05-04 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0021bc…
05-04 03:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6937d6…
05-04 02:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe059d7…
05-04 02:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0d2916…
05-04 02:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc85c03…
05-04 02:26:50	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa5650…
05-04 02:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7fcdea…
05-04 02:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	61	54¢	$33	0xfc8c67…
05-04 02:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x64c2fb…
05-04 02:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1f1411…
05-04 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7ad481…
05-04 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeeb683…
05-04 02:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa81380…
05-04 00:36:58	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x47d7be…
05-04 00:36:16	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xba0062…
05-04 00:29:38	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5ecfdf…
05-04 00:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a60bf…
05-04 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x119337…
05-04 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	88	16¢	$14	0x256306…
05-04 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x8a1100…
05-04 00:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfdb1a1…
05-03 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x4b0148…
05-03 23:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x270149…
05-03 23:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x60704a…
05-03 23:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x176f46…
05-03 23:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xea6cbf…
05-03 23:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x416eb5…
05-03 09:03:50	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd06d91…
05-02 16:53:44	LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa95cae…
05-02 16:53:14	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xf6f49e…
05-02 03:22:46	LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x92b7a2…
05-01 06:37:44	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x71f81c…
04-30 12:13:16	KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears	Samsung Lions	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x21306c…
04-30 12:12:04	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xa28c71…
04-30 08:50:04	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x53d6e3…
04-30 08:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x81c656…
04-30 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xed062f…
04-29 23:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x14ed42…
04-29 23:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb386d6…
04-29 23:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc29ea0…
04-29 23:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9ba01f…
04-29 23:23:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd1684d…
04-29 23:20:34	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8d0ff4…
04-29 23:08:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xd184c3…
04-29 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xadba06…
04-29 13:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x83f88c…
04-29 13:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3532cc…
04-29 13:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x4d426b…
04-29 13:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa28525…
04-29 09:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd2470a…
04-29 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x317f8c…
04-29 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf2a41…
04-29 08:55:56	LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x77c1ad…
04-29 08:55:38	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xeec30a…
04-29 08:54:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x3b239e…
04-29 08:53:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc9c5e1…
04-29 08:51:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5cdeb1…
04-28 02:44:28	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x135754…
04-27 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbfde74…
04-27 22:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xa2b32c…
04-27 22:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x608457…
04-27 01:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfc7caf…
04-26 22:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc5f91c…
04-24 08:18:20	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24	KT Rolster	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x3d1f57…
04-23 09:27:10	btc updown 5m 1776936300	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x963624…
04-23 09:10:24	btc updown 5m 1776935400	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe512eb…
04-23 09:09:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd8d1ef…
04-23 09:09:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x958257…
04-23 09:09:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb2bbbd…