Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$315

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-05 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 33% +$16

Other

43% 50% $-1

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$39	36	36	+0	Yes	+$19	05-05 22:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	02-28 15:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$20	50	43	+7	open	—	02-28 22:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$19	57	57	+0	open	—	02-28 15:15
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	3	$15	313	313	+0	open	—	04-20 16:47
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	04-30 03:47
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 15:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$8	13	13	+0	Yes	$-2	04-15 05:09
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$7	34	0	+34	open	—	03-07 15:24
will mrbeasts latest video get 2224 million views on day 1 568 395	2	$6	110	0	+110	open	—	02-22 05:28
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$6	353	0	+353	open	—	02-22 01:25
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	2	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 05:12
btc updown 5m 1772388900	2	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	03-01 18:19
btc updown 5m 1771739400	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-22 05:52
will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-12 18:23
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$4	25	10	+15	open	—	03-24 12:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$4	14	14	+0	Yes	$-2	04-15 05:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$4	31	0	+31	open	—	03-22 21:10
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	2	$4	30	30	+0	open	—	02-28 15:16
will mrbeasts latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1 993 797	5	$3	200	0	+200	open	—	02-22 05:28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$3	45	0	+45	open	—	03-08 21:16
north korea missile test by march 31 472	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-11 11:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	03-14 00:01
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	3	$3	49	0	+49	open	—	03-07 15:05
iran leadership change by march 31	3	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	03-21 04:15
Iran leadership change by March 13?	3	$3	27	0	+27	open	—	03-09 21:09
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-04 12:22
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-04 12:22
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-04 12:22
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	2	$2	62	62	+0	open	—	02-28 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:42:54	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	36	81¢	$29	0x96c1ec…
04-30 03:52:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x369a96…
04-30 03:47:58	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x88964e…
04-20 16:47:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	3¢	$8	0x08933d…
04-15 05:12:32	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xce341c…
04-15 05:11:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xa0805d…
04-15 05:09:28	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x048a0a…
04-15 05:09:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x0f4dac…
03-27 15:25:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4c5bd1…
03-27 04:13:51	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2bd42d…
03-24 12:56:31	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x4f60a6…
03-24 12:55:47	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x964d3e…
03-22 21:10:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb4c196…
03-22 21:08:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x8be5be…
03-21 04:15:15	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfff0fc…
03-21 00:38:47	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaa4632…
03-17 04:14:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xd00c9f…
03-16 03:23:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfcd3de…
03-15 22:14:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$2	0x68e6c6…
03-14 00:01:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xc20b7a…
03-13 14:16:21	will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xccc7f7…
03-12 18:24:37	will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfb6145…
03-12 18:23:59	will powell say refund during march press conference	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe853f3…
03-12 18:23:01	will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0ee665…
03-12 18:21:53	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x22d91c…
03-11 11:59:49	north korea missile test by march 31 472	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3d7cc4…
03-09 21:09:55	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x98cd17…
03-09 21:09:35	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc589d8…
03-09 13:20:53	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x895ac9…
03-09 11:19:47	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6c46fb…
03-09 11:19:11	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcae2ae…
03-09 03:35:05	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9ee58e…
03-08 23:59:37	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x325349…
03-08 21:16:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x5090ca…
03-07 15:25:13	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xe16b01…
03-07 15:24:41	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf787e6…
03-07 15:05:17	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x4ec976…
03-07 15:04:09	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x356b9a…
03-05 00:23:27	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5045d0…
03-04 21:44:55	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xab1dc6…
03-04 20:52:25	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7e79fa…
03-04 20:51:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5d859b…
03-04 12:48:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeeb349…
03-04 12:48:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0c60ce…
03-04 12:22:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xa4f184…
03-04 12:22:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x416a93…
03-04 12:22:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x9715c3…
03-04 12:22:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xcf1a70…
03-03 23:27:33	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x64e3f9…
03-03 18:50:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5524f8…
03-03 18:50:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb4772c…
03-03 18:50:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x21dc06…
03-03 18:50:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb9c3d…
03-01 18:19:37	btc updown 5m 1772388900	Down	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xec27ee…
03-01 18:18:27	btc updown 5m 1772388900	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2f864d…
03-01 15:12:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xaaff31…
03-01 15:11:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0cc63f…
02-28 23:47:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x6ccae8…
02-28 23:44:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbf2ec4…
02-28 22:59:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7df35c…
02-28 22:50:43	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x141d5a…
02-28 22:47:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfa7755…
02-28 19:27:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x95d48d…
02-28 19:00:47	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x2cba8c…
02-28 19:00:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7f1e82…
02-28 19:00:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0ae4ab…
02-28 19:00:07	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb5c4ce…
02-28 15:45:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x070d95…
02-28 15:16:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x0c4f07…
02-28 15:16:21	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xa38e8b…
02-28 15:16:13	nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x0f3815…
02-28 15:16:09	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x146ebc…
02-28 15:16:05	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x4ced2a…
02-28 15:15:53	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x32e3c7…
02-28 15:15:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	43	29¢	$12	0x118b84…
02-28 15:15:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	57	30¢	$17	0xa80f69…
02-28 15:15:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0xed7a45…
02-24 03:26:28	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x23b7d5…
02-24 03:26:08	will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfbff58…
02-24 03:25:54	will wintermute be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa74892…
02-22 23:47:44	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0e33c1…
02-22 23:35:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	86	0¢	$0	0x806aba…
02-22 23:35:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x796902…
02-22 22:08:12	will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9a5090…
02-22 22:08:04	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb6ca9f…
02-22 22:06:20	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x904625…
02-22 22:05:40	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x764fbb…
02-22 19:29:58	nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc51836…
02-22 19:16:56	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5c1506…
02-22 19:11:16	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xac825d…
02-22 19:09:34	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8f2764…
02-22 19:04:30	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6552ae…
02-22 19:03:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1d90fe…
02-22 19:01:38	prince andrew mugshot released by february 28	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x98523c…
02-22 18:55:24	the bondi parlay feb 27	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x71ff55…
02-22 18:48:50	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e97c4…
02-22 18:45:08	will aoc be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 1	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x140a2c…
02-22 18:44:46	will amen be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 1	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd4718d…
02-22 17:58:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0x7505ec…
02-22 17:55:34	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8d280f…