Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$105.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$372

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-07 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$0

Politics

20% 100% +$4

Other

17% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$14.0K	7,202	7,012	+190	open	—	02-10 12:16
bitcoin above 84k on january 27	80	$13.8K	6,960	6,901	+59	open	—	01-27 14:28
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	15	$13.2K	6,600	6,600	+0	open	—	01-29 13:43
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	34	$8.9K	4,617	4,617	+0	open	—	01-29 15:44
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	15	$8.1K	4,053	4,053	+0	open	—	01-28 04:36
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	11	$6.1K	3,113	3,112	+1	open	—	01-30 05:20
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$5.6K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	01-27 04:21
bitcoin above 94k on january 28	4	$5.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	01-28 13:27
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	13	$5.1K	3,006	2,058	+948	open	—	01-26 16:18
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	16	$4.7K	2,418	2,341	+78	open	—	01-28 15:43
bitcoin above 82k on january 28	3	$4.4K	2,214	2,214	-0	open	—	01-28 07:08
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$2.8K	2,836	0	+2,836	open	—	01-26 16:25
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$2.8K	2,814	0	+2,814	open	—	01-28 15:47
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	1	$2.7K	2,751	0	+2,751	open	—	01-27 16:52
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	1	$2.6K	2,597	0	+2,597	open	—	01-29 16:40
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	02-27 13:09
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	02-19 13:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$257	260	0	+260	open	—	04-04 09:11
hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 neg1pt06	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	02-10 12:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	03-06 07:38
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$201	202	0	+202	open	—	01-30 05:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	03-02 12:39
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-02 04:10
ethereum above 2600 on february 4	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-04 13:37
ethereum above 1500 on february 23	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-23 08:12
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	02-15 11:51
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	03-23 12:44
will switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	02-19 20:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$140	141	0	+141	open	—	03-17 06:25
Elsa FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$135	136	0	+136	open	—	01-21 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:11:49	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe7c918…
06-07 13:11:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x24b6b8…
05-14 05:34:53	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa0801d…
05-14 05:34:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xd5c531…
05-10 03:13:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x37dbfb…
05-10 02:58:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	93	96¢	$90	0xe9b5c7…
05-07 05:55:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb2170a…
05-07 05:55:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x27ea53…
04-29 10:10:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x41bc00…
04-22 07:45:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x77c25b…
04-14 05:09:43	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfcf1fd…
04-04 09:11:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	260	99¢	$257	0xbbd05a…
03-23 12:44:29	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x204795…
03-17 06:25:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x6a7dad…
03-17 06:24:51	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x86bad3…
03-12 08:51:07	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	118	95¢	$112	0x833e79…
03-10 18:58:57	ethereum above 1700 on march 10	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x5aa2c3…
03-06 07:38:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xeab599…
03-02 12:39:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x2e30d2…
02-27 13:09:53	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xb3dd28…
02-26 07:34:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x837cb8…
02-26 07:31:50	will wintermute be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb2d446…
02-26 07:31:42	will company k be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeaf9a9…
02-23 08:12:52	bitcoin above 58k on february 23	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa60f0…
02-23 08:12:04	ethereum above 1500 on february 23	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9a8884…
02-19 20:27:44	will switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3c9211…
02-19 20:27:42	will switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x205a74…
02-19 20:27:40	will switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x6ba811…
02-19 13:53:48	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x06cf1e…
02-19 03:39:34	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50b581…
02-19 03:39:20	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb00d52…
02-19 03:38:44	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x37c4a9…
02-15 11:52:07	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x95b822…
02-15 11:51:37	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4ff1e2…
02-15 11:51:21	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x0be70d…
02-10 12:16:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfd1471…
02-10 12:15:41	hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 neg1pt06	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x39b76b…
02-04 13:37:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5be676…
02-04 13:37:16	ethereum above 2600 on february 4	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa04fac…
02-02 04:10:56	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42384a…
02-02 04:10:32	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x15bb24…
01-30 05:39:06	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca4358…
01-30 05:38:16	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x087bfa…
01-30 05:20:56	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0x9d57dc…
01-30 04:40:28	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	312	100¢	$311	0x1f1b41…
01-29 16:40:04	bitcoin above 82k on january 29	Yes	BUY	2,597	100¢	$2,594	0xb5aa29…
01-29 15:51:32	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	1,109	97¢	$1,078	0x527e59…
01-29 15:44:24	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	1,126	76¢	$855	0x9a1e08…
01-29 15:44:18	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	83	76¢	$63	0xaf736e…
01-29 15:44:12	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x38602e…
01-29 15:33:18	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	1,109	98¢	$1,089	0xf34c66…
01-29 15:18:02	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf10e0b…
01-29 15:18:02	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe529d8…
01-29 15:10:58	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0xe53cd7…
01-29 15:09:30	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4bfac4…
01-29 15:09:26	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x05767a…
01-29 15:09:24	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xcd9a92…
01-29 14:59:56	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x550f28…
01-29 14:58:32	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x1dd92b…
01-29 14:53:14	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x0d6b27…
01-29 14:47:10	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	776	99¢	$765	0x47bfa1…
01-29 14:45:28	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	901	99¢	$888	0x631402…
01-29 14:43:36	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x53b096…
01-29 14:41:18	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x300a3d…
01-29 14:40:54	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d5ad2…
01-29 14:38:36	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	1,691	98¢	$1,661	0x8ce4db…
01-29 14:16:38	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	1,015	100¢	$1,013	0x8a8987…
01-29 14:11:34	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	582	100¢	$580	0x9be60f…
01-29 14:10:42	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x99e8a9…
01-29 14:07:16	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	433	100¢	$432	0x85bc13…
01-29 14:06:10	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0ab6b4…
01-29 14:05:54	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xad5ae5…
01-29 14:05:36	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	556	100¢	$555	0x674b64…
01-29 14:01:02	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0a6c11…
01-29 14:00:58	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	733	100¢	$731	0xf46b50…
01-29 13:59:26	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	182	100¢	$181	0x9a88c3…
01-29 13:51:14	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x445c3e…
01-29 13:43:44	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x2f16c7…
01-29 13:32:32	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	895	100¢	$894	0x7f56ee…
01-29 13:32:16	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0xa93917…
01-29 13:30:14	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2ac1ab…
01-29 13:27:24	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf6c752…
01-29 13:27:14	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x761b8d…
01-29 13:24:56	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x188273…
01-29 13:21:50	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x46b529…
01-29 13:16:16	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	396	100¢	$395	0x6d4f54…
01-29 13:15:26	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0ce405…
01-29 13:10:38	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x9f6949…
01-29 13:10:16	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2c2174…
01-29 13:09:06	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	SELL	1,390	100¢	$1,388	0xf9f193…
01-29 13:04:58	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	359	100¢	$358	0xaa5df0…
01-29 13:04:54	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x81761a…
01-29 13:04:42	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xb4eba9…
01-29 13:04:42	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	457	100¢	$456	0xa01737…
01-29 13:02:24	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x50e82e…
01-29 12:58:30	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0xecdd2a…
01-29 12:55:26	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	397	100¢	$396	0x954b58…
01-29 12:38:14	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x1cec48…
01-29 12:38:04	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x6055b8…
01-29 12:30:16	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x48b4b0…