Light-Donation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-14 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

47% 0% $-2

Other

31% — —

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$1.2K	643	643	+0	No	$-1	04-12 13:22
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1.2K	628	628	+0	open	—	03-28 10:37
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$905	464	464	+0	open	—	04-13 14:29
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$848	438	438	+0	open	—	04-11 20:10
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	5	$839	442	442	+0	open	—	03-13 20:10
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$818	429	429	+0	open	—	03-18 02:14
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$544	281	281	+0	open	—	04-12 07:30
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	6	$506	259	259	+0	open	—	03-16 23:19
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$423	216	216	+0	open	—	03-10 12:03
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$421	216	216	+0	open	—	03-10 17:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$417	214	214	+0	open	—	03-12 14:41
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$416	223	223	+0	open	—	03-15 01:41
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$409	212	212	+0	open	—	03-12 07:46
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$407	211	211	-0	open	—	03-13 02:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$383	195	195	+0	open	—	03-29 05:26
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$376	198	198	+0	open	—	03-25 07:19
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$376	200	200	-0	open	—	03-22 19:58
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$376	194	194	+0	open	—	03-24 14:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$376	197	197	+0	open	—	03-20 14:53
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$373	190	190	+0	open	—	03-24 20:58
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$371	192	192	+0	open	—	03-28 03:26
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$368	189	189	+0	open	—	03-29 15:32
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$367	192	192	+0	No	$-1	03-23 10:25
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$363	186	186	+0	open	—	03-27 19:11
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$351	185	185	+0	open	—	03-29 22:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$218	117	117	-0	open	—	06-04 07:49
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	04-13 00:21
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	4	$190	104	104	+0	open	—	06-14 08:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$181	97	97	+0	open	—	05-20 09:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$172	92	92	+0	open	—	06-09 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 08:15:01	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x92d1ce…
06-14 04:06:33	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0x6effa3…
06-12 23:13:55	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$21	0xf3dde3…
06-12 15:05:24	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0xc9e3c7…
06-12 08:54:12	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	57	90¢	$51	0x4a6994…
06-12 02:46:40	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	57	90¢	$51	0x3b7265…
06-11 18:34:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x03fa47…
06-11 11:27:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xd9cb74…
06-11 10:53:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xb93a54…
06-11 05:48:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xc93842…
06-11 05:48:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x496aaa…
06-10 01:34:48	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0x46c7c2…
06-09 17:26:04	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xa569a4…
06-09 16:44:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0xa81ef9…
06-09 10:35:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xafcd19…
06-07 01:45:48	mlb laa lad 2026 06 06 spread away 3pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x0842ba…
06-07 01:13:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	48	93¢	$44	0x50fefd…
06-06 17:10:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x207f9d…
06-06 16:38:48	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	SELL	24	93¢	$23	0xc51b42…
06-06 10:34:48	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x42840f…
06-04 07:49:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x1c3e4c…
06-04 00:44:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x9eeb75…
06-03 08:02:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xc0004b…
06-03 02:59:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xc604e6…
06-02 12:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x36d9e2…
06-02 07:46:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xcfc1e9…
05-28 18:43:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0xfd9cad…
05-28 12:41:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xed0142…
05-22 13:19:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x15dd54…
05-20 09:44:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x4964d0…
05-20 05:39:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x675f9a…
05-20 05:05:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xc3b129…
05-20 00:56:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xb5badf…
05-19 16:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x6e005f…
05-19 11:42:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xd3d9aa…
04-28 02:47:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0x8fb48b…
04-27 19:41:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x4f657f…
04-27 19:25:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xc8415f…
04-21 22:21:38	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x47633c…
04-21 13:24:56	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xe87eb0…
04-20 07:30:28	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x6ec059…
04-20 01:40:48	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x82f2c9…
04-13 14:29:01	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x9e0b7f…
04-13 08:15:55	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x1c5b7c…
04-13 00:21:21	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0xe474bf…
04-12 20:20:27	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x019d8d…
04-12 13:22:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xd5d10d…
04-12 08:06:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x4f0be1…
04-12 07:30:39	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0x39222d…
04-12 03:30:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x5d7306…
04-12 02:18:17	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x1ea602…
04-11 20:13:39	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x3cd4f7…
04-11 20:10:47	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	58	89¢	$52	0x3d57e6…
04-11 12:08:55	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xa49503…
04-11 08:27:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x522e62…
04-11 01:31:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0xee62a2…
04-09 18:47:27	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	94¢	$62	0x1d2ca3…
04-09 08:18:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x93885e…
04-09 07:56:53	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0x64469e…
04-09 02:52:03	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xab3a75…
03-31 03:24:11	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x2d6597…
03-30 20:56:55	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xbb4e34…
03-30 18:37:11	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	62	92¢	$57	0xd90d16…
03-30 10:11:18	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0x1041d3…
03-29 22:07:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	185	94¢	$174	0x7f5487…
03-29 15:53:22	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	185	96¢	$178	0x16f6ea…
03-29 15:32:12	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	189	97¢	$184	0x99427a…
03-29 05:54:10	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0x93acde…
03-29 05:26:10	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	195	98¢	$191	0xab209e…
03-28 22:52:12	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0x38e826…
03-28 10:37:53	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	189	95¢	$179	0x066016…
03-28 04:50:41	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	189	95¢	$180	0x77e229…
03-28 03:26:29	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	192	96¢	$185	0x9769b0…
03-27 19:50:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	192	97¢	$186	0xdabb1b…
03-27 19:11:39	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	186	97¢	$181	0x60a826…
03-27 11:52:03	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x2277a9…
03-27 11:46:39	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa86fd9…
03-27 11:39:39	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x3531cb…
03-27 11:07:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	195	97¢	$188	0x4e1747…
03-27 05:29:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	195	97¢	$188	0x2dde2a…
03-26 13:40:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	202	97¢	$195	0x81104d…
03-26 07:39:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	202	97¢	$196	0xc47adc…
03-25 07:19:25	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	95¢	$188	0xbc814b…
03-24 22:59:53	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0x3bec80…
03-24 22:59:27	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0xaaa6b5…
03-24 20:58:41	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	190	98¢	$187	0xcb50c4…
03-24 14:32:09	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	190	98¢	$187	0xc3c826…
03-24 14:02:09	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	194	97¢	$188	0x715264…
03-24 08:42:13	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	194	97¢	$188	0xb233e9…
03-23 20:53:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	193	97¢	$186	0xbea80d…
03-23 11:52:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	193	97¢	$186	0xc4ba8a…
03-23 10:25:59	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	192	95¢	$183	0x1ac611…
03-23 05:32:55	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xa06baf…
03-23 05:15:21	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x1a38c5…
03-23 05:11:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	152	96¢	$145	0x067157…
03-22 19:58:31	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xecb414…
03-22 10:15:31	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xdfd897…
03-22 10:07:11	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	108	94¢	$101	0x666737…
03-22 09:47:57	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd0cb55…
03-22 09:46:41	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x3c0a09…