Decimal-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$35.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$210

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$5

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	2	$607	305	305	+0	open	—	06-24 00:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	2	$600	304	304	+0	open	—	06-03 06:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	2	$596	301	301	+0	open	—	05-15 10:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	2	$593	299	299	+0	open	—	05-31 12:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	2	$585	297	297	+0	open	—	04-25 02:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$584	296	296	+0	open	—	04-28 13:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	6	$583	302	302	+0	open	—	05-30 05:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	2	$580	291	291	+0	open	—	05-30 01:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	2	$580	292	292	+0	open	—	05-29 00:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	2	$577	289	289	+0	open	—	05-28 00:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	3	$567	288	288	+0	open	—	05-27 00:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$562	282	282	+0	open	—	05-23 01:30
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	2	$562	281	281	+0	open	—	02-20 02:55
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	2	$557	282	282	+0	open	—	02-13 18:00
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	2	$548	277	277	+0	open	—	03-02 15:48
bitcoin above 56k on march 5	2	$544	273	273	+0	open	—	03-04 15:09
bitcoin above 74k on february 8	2	$538	272	272	+0	open	—	02-08 09:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 10	2	$538	269	269	+0	open	—	04-10 07:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 8	2	$538	270	270	+0	open	—	04-08 07:00
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	2	$531	269	269	+0	open	—	02-02 07:01
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	3	$523	263	263	+0	open	—	02-01 09:19
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$518	259	259	+0	open	—	01-31 09:55
bitcoin above 98k on january 30	2	$517	259	259	+0	open	—	01-30 04:48
bitcoin above 80k on january 28	2	$516	259	259	+0	open	—	01-28 06:42
bitcoin above 68k on march 13	3	$515	259	259	+0	open	—	03-13 13:05
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$514	258	258	+0	open	—	03-13 01:36
bitcoin above 80k on march 12	2	$514	257	257	+0	open	—	03-12 02:52
bitcoin above 96k on january 21	2	$508	256	256	+0	open	—	01-21 00:53
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	2	$503	253	253	+0	open	—	01-20 06:33
bitcoin above 96k on january 12	2	$492	248	248	+0	open	—	01-12 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 06:26:23	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x1eab7b…
06-24 00:49:50	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	No	BUY	306	99¢	$304	0xd49209…
06-24 00:46:14	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	305	100¢	$304	0xd23bdf…
06-19 03:53:46	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	305	99¢	$303	0x13484a…
06-15 10:04:25	bitcoin above 56k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	304	100¢	$302	0xb4ed50…
06-11 23:54:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5f82a9…
06-10 01:42:19	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0xe4812a…
06-07 02:41:01	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0x3b7d3f…
06-05 13:14:12	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xd35bb2…
06-03 13:58:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0xe39b8f…
06-03 06:36:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	No	SELL	304	98¢	$299	0xce3fd5…
06-03 04:10:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$301	0x2d3da9…
06-01 12:27:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x91bad8…
06-01 03:09:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfe109a…
06-01 03:08:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x8366af…
06-01 03:08:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x4f10ce…
05-31 12:08:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	299	100¢	$298	0x08da11…
05-31 01:19:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	299	99¢	$295	0xacb03e…
05-30 05:39:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	234	97¢	$228	0x738c45…
05-30 05:34:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8fd3b0…
05-30 05:33:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x7c07c0…
05-30 05:28:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0xa6b161…
05-30 05:27:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb5e764…
05-30 04:34:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	302	96¢	$289	0x0fab8d…
05-30 01:33:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	291	99¢	$290	0x39f620…
05-29 14:26:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	291	99¢	$290	0xe0619a…
05-29 00:35:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0x11cdc7…
05-28 04:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	292	99¢	$289	0x82098c…
05-28 00:58:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	289	100¢	$289	0x6646de…
05-27 14:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x3e2582…
05-27 00:21:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xedb6ad…
05-27 00:16:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x48eb5f…
05-26 10:50:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	288	97¢	$279	0xeaf510…
05-23 01:30:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0x1d699f…
05-20 10:29:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0xedaf81…
05-19 10:49:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0xc69684…
05-18 00:30:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x84f790…
05-16 02:36:23	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xe0de54…
05-16 01:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xe5b70f…
05-16 01:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	89	20¢	$18	0x374985…
05-15 10:23:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	301	99¢	$298	0xaa410c…
05-14 22:15:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	301	99¢	$298	0x6a7a8e…
05-08 00:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	298	99¢	$296	0x39de3d…
05-05 02:49:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	296	99¢	$293	0xb60127…
05-02 03:46:04	Bitcoin above 80,000 on May 2, 12AM ET?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe9b334…
05-02 03:45:50	Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 2, 12AM ET?	Yes	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x315a97…
05-02 03:44:58	Ethereum above 2,240 on May 2, 12AM ET?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x22adb1…
05-01 23:57:20	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 1, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x0d2f8a…
05-01 23:57:10	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 1, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x24da62…
05-01 08:50:16	Ethereum above 2,230 on May 1, 5AM ET?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd82288…
05-01 08:50:06	Ethereum above 2,200 on May 1, 5AM ET?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf1e4b…
05-01 08:49:22	Bitcoin above 76,600 on May 1, 5AM ET?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x29fd1c…
05-01 08:49:12	Bitcoin above 76,200 on May 1, 5AM ET?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xbe53a4…
05-01 01:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xd1aa02…
04-28 13:37:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	296	99¢	$292	0x0c7a7f…
04-27 02:01:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	296	98¢	$292	0x1abc5f…
04-25 02:32:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	SELL	297	98¢	$292	0x753d8f…
04-25 00:05:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	297	99¢	$293	0xcd1000…
04-24 00:00:34	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	293	99¢	$291	0x3768b4…
04-23 00:08:50	will ethereum reach 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0xe39e2a…
04-22 00:19:50	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 21	No	BUY	290	99¢	$288	0x4cef48…
04-20 01:08:56	bitcoin above 86k on april 21	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0xa0179c…
04-17 00:38:08	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 19	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x8e8bc9…
04-17 00:00:10	btc updown 15m 1776384000	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xa95b34…
04-15 00:08:06	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x9f4b36…
04-13 01:19:41	bitcoin above 58k on april 14	Yes	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0x8c1779…
04-10 09:03:03	lol dnf t1 2026 04 10	T1	BUY	282	92¢	$259	0x96ce5d…
04-10 07:23:23	lol dnf t1 2026 04 10	T1	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf779c5…
04-10 07:12:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 10	No	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0x961ec8…
04-08 23:57:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 10	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x0d53db…
04-08 07:00:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 8	No	SELL	270	100¢	$269	0x09883e…
04-07 02:01:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 8	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x22412b…
04-05 02:54:43	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x8334ea…
04-03 17:40:57	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x1dda9d…
04-03 17:22:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4e6178…
04-02 00:15:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 2	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0xf76c1b…
03-30 00:12:38	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x466b0d…
03-27 06:59:19	bitcoin above 78k on march 28	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0xa760c7…
03-25 00:03:07	bitcoin above 80k on march 26	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x73e74a…
03-24 00:26:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x3f922a…
03-18 14:41:59	will bitcoin reach 86k march 16 22	No	BUY	264	99¢	$262	0xc6b2fa…
03-16 13:49:15	bitcoin above 70k on march 16	Yes	BUY	262	99¢	$260	0x6381d2…
03-16 04:58:37	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0xb18268…
03-16 04:54:53	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 13c	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x61c416…
03-16 04:35:01	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x6cb882…
03-16 04:22:35	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 13c	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xefd67b…
03-16 04:14:27	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x984068…
03-15 07:05:23	highest temperature in shanghai on march 15 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd18543…
03-15 05:23:35	highest temperature in shanghai on march 15 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a0a56…
03-13 13:53:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 14	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x6d1fb5…
03-13 13:05:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	Yes	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0xcac6a0…
03-13 12:22:53	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	Yes	BUY	253	99¢	$251	0xca67c8…
03-13 07:12:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe28dcd…
03-13 01:36:05	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	258	99¢	$257	0x10d133…
03-12 02:53:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0xa7da89…
03-12 02:52:45	bitcoin above 80k on march 12	No	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0xe7ca1b…
03-11 00:06:55	bitcoin above 80k on march 12	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x0c3b9e…
03-09 00:29:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0x3614a0…
03-07 00:37:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 8	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x0b4d57…
03-07 00:33:37	will bitcoin dip to 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf622bf…