Trusting-Chord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.8%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-26 04:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

97% 50% +$16

Other

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	23	$5.3K	3,292	4,200	-908	open	—	05-26 04:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	12	$2.5K	1,436	2,028	-593	open	—	05-06 09:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	9	$2.3K	1,777	1,977	-200	open	—	04-25 20:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,198	1,268	-70	open	—	04-25 20:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	29	$920	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	04-25 20:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	13	$595	400	400	+0	open	—	04-25 20:29
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	12	$507	119,122	119,122	+0	open	—	04-30 03:38
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	5	$467	409	409	+0	open	—	04-25 20:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$392	377	377	+0	open	—	05-05 03:56
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$340	630	630	+0	open	—	05-02 05:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$264	519	519	+0	No	$-16	05-05 03:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	15	$234	965	0	+965	open	—	04-21 04:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$203	119	119	+0	open	—	04-24 12:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$198	527	527	+0	open	—	04-25 05:53
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$161	576	576	+0	open	—	05-02 05:24
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$138	79	79	+0	open	—	04-30 10:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$100	67	67	+0	open	—	04-25 20:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$92	100	100	+0	No	+$32	04-25 20:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	3	$60	43	43	+0	open	—	04-20 22:52
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	6	$48	483	468	+15	open	—	04-27 13:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$40	27	27	+0	open	—	04-24 02:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 23:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 23:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 23:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 23:42
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	1	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	04-29 05:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 03:39
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 03:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 01:14
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	38	38	+0	open	—	04-28 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 04:30:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x85d094…
05-24 20:35:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	89¢	$979	0x30330c…
05-24 20:19:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x226d63…
05-24 20:16:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	90¢	$540	0xde307c…
05-23 16:31:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	947	69¢	$653	0x553979…
05-23 16:20:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	69¢	$37	0xf6b8f6…
05-23 06:49:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0x1a1a64…
05-22 20:14:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0xc1d64f…
05-16 01:40:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	76¢	$836	0x256edb…
05-06 09:34:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,531	65¢	$1,000	0x1fa299…
05-06 05:08:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xe322d4…
05-06 04:58:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xa2eab1…
05-06 04:58:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x329067…
05-06 04:55:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x1bc84c…
05-06 04:53:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	59¢	$94	0xba4ebd…
05-06 04:41:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$4	0xae5929…
05-06 04:38:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x74fac8…
05-06 04:27:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0xd85cd2…
05-06 04:26:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x00fa37…
05-06 04:17:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xd00edf…
05-06 04:14:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0x349c73…
05-06 02:37:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x5457d9…
05-06 02:24:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x9de9ba…
05-05 05:22:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	69¢	$690	0xff9d9d…
05-05 05:22:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	497	88¢	$437	0xf1cb7e…
05-05 03:57:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	519	24¢	$124	0x7df386…
05-05 03:56:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	377	51¢	$192	0xda216b…
05-04 23:35:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0xa8e94c…
05-04 23:32:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x34bb7c…
05-04 23:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x150bc5…
05-03 22:33:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x4c73e4…
05-03 22:18:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x2bd5ad…
05-02 05:24:36	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	576	12¢	$69	0x42ad5e…
05-02 05:24:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	315	20¢	$63	0x8d41a1…
05-02 00:18:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6b4a56…
05-02 00:04:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x5e9194…
05-01 23:59:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xcae729…
05-01 23:40:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	103	68¢	$70	0x84b4a9…
05-01 23:39:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xd1e0f2…
05-01 07:50:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	576	16¢	$92	0xdfea43…
05-01 07:49:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	315	24¢	$76	0x51ede5…
04-30 18:00:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfd4b3a…
04-30 13:27:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0x069dc4…
04-30 12:20:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	593	32¢	$190	0x9db259…
04-30 11:59:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x0e20fc…
04-30 10:40:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	79	92¢	$72	0xa224d1…
04-30 10:34:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xd4cb68…
04-30 03:38:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	4,122	0¢	$8	0xeb04ec…
04-30 00:31:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	15,000	0¢	$45	0x8fc006…
04-29 15:51:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	100,000	0¢	$300	0x685453…
04-29 10:36:58	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xd76589…
04-29 10:36:40	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x551ded…
04-29 10:36:02	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x042d6a…
04-29 10:35:40	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x3d6ebf…
04-29 10:35:12	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xa3bbb2…
04-29 05:27:22	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xb26474…
04-29 00:21:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0xa67f27…
04-28 23:26:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0xbf1fea…
04-28 19:58:42	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x6d5e4e…
04-28 03:16:42	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcafcea…
04-28 03:16:30	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x587251…
04-28 03:16:08	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x58f459…
04-28 03:15:56	Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe2561b…
04-28 03:12:40	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b8c28…
04-28 03:12:28	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x45b9d3…
04-28 03:08:48	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xeefe40…
04-28 01:26:04	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x856a49…
04-27 13:23:12	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	SELL	468	5¢	$23	0xa6f0a9…
04-27 09:26:16	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xc85588…
04-26 17:51:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	18,000	0¢	$18	0xa065b5…
04-26 03:52:44	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x1f559f…
04-26 03:52:44	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x03f952…
04-26 03:46:10	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xf77206…
04-26 03:44:22	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	173	5¢	$9	0x0bc8a7…
04-26 03:43:50	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa05af3…
04-25 20:37:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xf9c73e…
04-25 20:31:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	487	72¢	$351	0x75d3f7…
04-25 20:30:36	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	409	76¢	$313	0x4e6630…
04-25 20:29:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	67	78¢	$52	0xdabe28…
04-25 20:29:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xad6d2e…
04-25 20:28:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1,268	92¢	$1,168	0x0fcd30…
04-25 20:26:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	440	86¢	$379	0x1b686e…
04-25 08:44:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x60a208…
04-25 07:07:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x45e5f3…
04-25 06:10:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	192	42¢	$80	0x2fd484…
04-25 06:09:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	300	74¢	$222	0x0730f9…
04-25 06:08:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xbf0efc…
04-25 05:53:58	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xf50c9b…
04-25 05:53:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	527	15¢	$79	0x29edd4…
04-25 03:47:22	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x657b9e…
04-25 01:45:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb3998c…
04-25 01:20:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x950634…
04-25 01:19:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x44e2c4…
04-25 01:00:10	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	131	36¢	$47	0xdf8393…
04-25 00:36:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x9da964…
04-25 00:29:30	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xbc5924…
04-24 23:42:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x52d72c…
04-24 23:41:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xdf9cb6…
04-24 23:40:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0xff9b75…
04-24 23:40:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x6ea16d…