Wide-Eyed-Headache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-11 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

84% — —

Crypto

8% 33% $-4

Sports

7% 0% $-3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+14	$1	6¢	$1	$-0	06-09 06:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	5	$36	53	52	+1	open	—	04-04 12:52
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	3	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	03-23 14:27
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	7	$19	46	41	+5	open	—	03-09 10:44
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	3	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	03-21 14:45
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	7	$14	43	43	+0	open	—	03-25 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	05-10 01:29
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	5	$11	24	13	+12	open	—	06-09 03:21
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	3	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	03-31 06:25
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	3	$10	10	6	+4	open	—	03-30 06:56
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	7	$8	34	34	+0	open	—	03-24 12:45
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	03-20 11:09
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	3	$7	19	0	+19	open	—	03-24 06:12
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	3	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	03-21 11:01
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	4	$6	62	59	+3	open	—	04-04 12:50
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	2	$5	11	11	+0	open	—	03-22 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	5	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-10 01:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-20 11:09
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	3	$5	14	6	+8	open	—	03-21 02:13
btc updown 5m 1780985100	4	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	06-09 06:09
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	2	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	04-08 00:43
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	3	$3	17	17	+0	open	—	03-23 14:27
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 02:20
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 0 39	3	$3	35	0	+35	open	—	03-06 10:43
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-11 01:27
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-25 02:34
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	2	$3	9	7	+2	open	—	03-07 10:28
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	4	$3	5	1	+4	open	—	03-09 04:11
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	03-26 01:15
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 10:48
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	03-14 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 01:27:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x042e7f…
06-09 06:11:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9153e1…
06-09 06:09:33	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x742824…
06-09 06:08:24	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5f9c11…
06-09 06:07:27	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfd9ad0…
06-09 06:06:34	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb64c11…
06-09 06:01:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ee8e7…
06-09 03:21:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xe906e0…
06-09 03:19:10	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6fd7be…
06-09 03:18:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc08ab7…
06-09 03:06:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6515ff…
06-09 02:55:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf0cf7d…
05-12 02:53:46	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x244253…
05-10 02:10:56	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xfa35be…
05-10 01:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaee9fc…
05-10 01:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x167368…
05-10 01:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x67049e…
05-10 01:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x64040c…
05-10 01:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7fd340…
05-10 01:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x417e93…
05-10 01:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe87d90…
05-10 01:29:49	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb1ee39…
05-10 01:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83c95c…
05-10 01:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x634964…
05-10 01:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbbc96f…
05-10 01:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x74b672…
05-10 01:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x790c26…
05-08 02:46:42	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfe15ff…
04-25 02:34:54	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d8450…
04-25 02:17:34	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x84ee2c…
04-25 01:59:22	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x89f14d…
04-22 04:58:26	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x55d3c7…
04-08 00:43:09	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x689570…
04-08 00:43:03	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4336e7…
04-08 00:42:57	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6d15d8…
04-08 00:42:19	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcfa234…
04-08 00:42:09	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaad4c4…
04-07 02:20:37	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x441d7e…
04-07 02:20:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x282016…
04-04 12:52:35	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x684ce2…
04-04 12:51:23	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xb37cbb…
04-04 12:50:21	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0x1633c4…
04-04 01:39:01	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe0dab8…
04-04 01:38:45	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	Yes	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0xa06772…
04-04 01:38:39	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	Yes	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x73886e…
04-04 01:12:01	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x4830e0…
04-03 12:45:01	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x375cc9…
04-03 12:44:45	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe74d53…
04-03 12:44:39	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x1f4c67…
04-03 12:42:47	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x02a072…
04-03 12:38:43	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x748a5f…
04-03 12:37:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x41d622…
04-03 12:35:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf34cfd…
04-03 12:34:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeb8c45…
04-01 12:02:29	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf01fcb…
04-01 12:01:53	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xcf49bf…
03-31 06:25:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd0b5b5…
03-31 06:25:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbf7402…
03-31 06:23:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb3f8e7…
03-31 06:23:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x19a658…
03-31 06:20:47	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x24a1e9…
03-31 06:20:27	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa3cff0…
03-30 07:36:38	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9436f7…
03-30 07:36:34	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x35f908…
03-30 06:56:50	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xa7749e…
03-30 06:54:50	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xba49d4…
03-29 10:41:46	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa6bf62…
03-29 10:41:42	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x5494e0…
03-29 04:30:02	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd3d982…
03-29 04:29:50	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe2a1be…
03-28 10:20:01	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x185cb0…
03-28 10:19:37	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x6b79e8…
03-26 01:15:35	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7f6d42…
03-26 01:15:27	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x4a9688…
03-26 01:15:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xf424ec…
03-26 01:07:11	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf962d6…
03-26 01:07:07	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb5b973…
03-26 01:07:03	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe08be3…
03-25 08:47:21	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x277ba5…
03-24 12:45:39	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x259e74…
03-24 10:00:25	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x87e875…
03-24 06:12:09	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x35abe1…
03-24 06:12:07	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb9981b…
03-23 14:31:11	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x904303…
03-23 14:31:03	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x5f91a6…
03-23 14:27:49	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb0b319…
03-23 14:27:07	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x3d463a…
03-23 13:28:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf332ae…
03-23 13:26:35	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb6029b…
03-23 13:26:29	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb2829b…
03-23 13:26:25	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x35e504…
03-22 16:35:43	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x06113d…
03-22 01:20:03	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc6d1e2…
03-22 01:19:59	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x22e30e…
03-22 01:19:49	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x7a11b6…
03-22 01:18:35	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc2c8bb…
03-22 01:18:19	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5cd638…
03-22 01:18:09	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x408955…
03-21 14:45:45	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x66451d…
03-21 11:01:39	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe16a0e…