Measly-Median — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$9.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

47% 0% $-0

Other

34% 50% +$0

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$366	190	190	+0	open	—	04-02 18:06
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	10	$361	185	185	+0	open	—	02-05 15:13
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$346	178	178	+0	open	—	03-18 03:07
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$335	173	173	+0	No	$-0	04-01 12:33
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$259	136	136	+0	open	—	04-02 00:05
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	4	$248	129	129	+0	open	—	03-04 15:41
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$232	119	119	+0	open	—	03-26 00:39
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$227	117	117	+0	open	—	04-04 18:42
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	5	$224	116	116	+0	open	—	03-05 23:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$222	115	115	+0	open	—	03-22 22:01
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$217	114	114	+0	open	—	04-06 23:57
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$215	112	112	+0	open	—	02-10 02:29
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$214	112	112	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 08:28
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$210	108	108	+0	open	—	03-18 17:56
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$198	103	103	+0	open	—	04-05 17:26
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 kob1	3	$190	133	66	+67	open	—	01-28 17:19
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$181	93	93	+0	open	—	02-10 02:45
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	5	$174	93	93	+0	open	—	02-10 02:43
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$127	65	65	+0	open	—	03-27 20:18
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	5	$126	66	66	+0	open	—	02-05 15:07
will czech republic win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	3	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	02-10 02:36
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$124	64	64	+0	open	—	03-19 16:04
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	4	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	02-05 15:34
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	02-09 02:48
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	03-29 04:30
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$123	65	65	+0	open	—	02-10 02:47
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	02-10 03:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	03-19 07:34
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$120	64	64	+0	open	—	03-17 19:51
will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$120	62	62	+0	open	—	02-10 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:49:17	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x74a35c…
06-30 21:40:58	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xbfc157…
04-06 23:57:47	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0x13e469…
04-06 16:56:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x15b3a6…
04-06 01:35:17	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x4de669…
04-05 17:34:15	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0xfcee8e…
04-05 17:26:03	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xa1399f…
04-05 09:17:01	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xd8bcbe…
04-04 18:42:55	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$57	0xf210c0…
04-04 11:19:11	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x21ab4c…
04-04 10:40:25	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x9f116c…
04-04 10:32:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x83c5f6…
04-04 05:27:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xb2429e…
04-03 06:24:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x5541e2…
04-03 02:23:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x92f5d6…
04-03 02:14:57	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x2acbbf…
04-02 18:12:59	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x2c1a1e…
04-02 18:06:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xc05267…
04-02 10:03:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xedc1e4…
04-02 08:28:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x3e9854…
04-02 06:59:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x98e355…
04-02 00:05:01	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$54	0x3bdbf8…
04-01 18:41:37	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x096a03…
04-01 18:39:39	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x151157…
04-01 12:33:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x8547ef…
04-01 04:21:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xa101fa…
03-31 22:54:15	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x4d4af8…
03-31 18:53:27	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xe43a70…
03-31 07:23:01	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x8c9502…
03-30 23:19:27	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xae056e…
03-30 23:15:51	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x9e1ac1…
03-30 18:13:33	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0xf023b6…
03-29 09:45:16	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$61	0x412251…
03-29 04:44:50	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$61	0xf2b34f…
03-29 04:30:42	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x187bc6…
03-28 22:27:48	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	63	97¢	$62	0xaa66b0…
03-28 09:39:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x3089a6…
03-28 04:38:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xeee649…
03-27 20:18:51	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xbc2848…
03-27 13:15:01	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xaf45df…
03-27 00:48:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0xb52647…
03-26 16:43:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	96¢	$61	0xbf1114…
03-26 12:08:31	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x612816…
03-26 06:01:39	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x36b8af…
03-26 05:50:51	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x56c227…
03-26 00:44:09	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$51	0xe3ab26…
03-26 00:39:09	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x389794…
03-25 17:35:51	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x0f1ef4…
03-25 17:22:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x68a8db…
03-25 09:21:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x362794…
03-25 09:19:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x47e21b…
03-25 09:17:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xea9bb6…
03-25 09:17:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfa3ce4…
03-25 09:14:37	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x1219bf…
03-25 05:10:39	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xb48d89…
03-25 05:00:57	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x0ca7a6…
03-24 22:58:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x97ff4c…
03-24 09:10:47	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x417e8d…
03-24 02:06:55	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x7fe238…
03-23 06:19:57	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$60	0xa4e08f…
03-22 22:13:27	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xf470cf…
03-22 22:01:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x4ab458…
03-22 13:53:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xf9111c…
03-22 13:46:35	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xb96798…
03-22 06:31:23	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x8825a3…
03-22 06:14:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0xcd988f…
03-22 00:08:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0xc96817…
03-21 01:06:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xf874f5…
03-20 20:00:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x8cca3c…
03-20 20:00:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xf693ee…
03-19 22:15:05	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x5c8279…
03-19 16:12:27	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x78d873…
03-19 16:04:33	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	64	98¢	$62	0x3d47c2…
03-19 07:51:57	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x184e13…
03-19 07:34:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	62	97¢	$61	0xf016b2…
03-19 01:21:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	62	97¢	$61	0x6a0c01…
03-18 17:56:37	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x271f6a…
03-18 11:33:03	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8d9b61…
03-18 03:07:33	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$53	0xa60548…
03-17 20:49:49	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x4495f6…
03-17 19:51:53	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xacb4ea…
03-17 13:21:37	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x6419eb…
03-17 03:40:11	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xe08fda…
03-16 22:27:05	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	58	97¢	$57	0xfd23f7…
03-13 04:15:25	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x512a54…
03-12 19:44:31	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x865be5…
03-12 17:58:17	will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0xe1aaed…
03-12 11:33:37	will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xee647f…
03-11 10:07:23	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	97¢	$59	0x899d02…
03-11 01:50:11	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9dff22…
03-11 01:45:13	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0x1e0552…
03-10 20:27:59	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0x7fc6d5…
03-10 01:14:01	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x760639…
03-09 19:39:51	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xa29052…
03-09 19:31:11	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0xe91e0f…
03-07 23:02:21	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$54	0x3633b0…
03-07 18:38:59	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xb24453…
03-07 05:58:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x525682…
03-07 00:42:37	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xf65c8a…
03-07 00:35:03	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xea38f9…