Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 03-30 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% 100% +$1

Other

24% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$100	88	88	+0	open	—	03-09 22:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	20	$86	94	94	+0	open	—	02-28 22:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$77	60	60	+0	open	—	03-26 23:22
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	6	$74	53	53	+0	open	—	02-28 08:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$67	64	59	+6	open	—	02-28 08:51
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	5	$59	87	87	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	5	$57	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 08:53
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	16	$47	78	70	+8	open	—	03-26 23:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$46	37	37	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	5	$44	53	53	+0	open	—	02-03 13:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$43	35	35	+0	open	—	01-31 16:10
will uae strike iran by march 31	5	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	7	$40	34	34	+0	open	—	03-26 23:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$36	38	38	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	02-28 06:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$34	20	30	-10	open	—	03-10 09:28
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	9	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	03-01 07:44
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	03-17 21:40
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-18 21:21
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	11	$30	24	22	+2	open	—	01-15 08:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$29	31	31	+0	open	—	03-30 19:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$27	29	29	+0	open	—	03-09 22:44
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	03-17 20:37
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 12:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-09 22:33
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	4	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	03-08 03:41
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	03-07 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-30 22:09:01	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x185d76…
03-30 19:04:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xc01ca5…
03-30 19:04:13	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x9cf5e6…
03-30 19:04:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x9d571c…
03-30 19:04:01	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x0b0c8a…
03-28 05:16:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x6504e2…
03-28 05:15:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe6776e…
03-28 05:14:29	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x460231…
03-27 15:38:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xc25001…
03-27 12:29:27	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x598936…
03-27 12:29:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x413faa…
03-27 12:29:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xcf8ef3…
03-27 12:29:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x9fb016…
03-27 12:29:09	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x0d799c…
03-27 12:28:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf4bcb6…
03-27 12:28:59	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x827581…
03-27 12:28:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8afcae…
03-27 12:28:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	32	33¢	$11	0x7187e2…
03-27 12:28:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xa114b2…
03-27 12:28:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xd373c9…
03-27 12:28:43	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xa5fc49…
03-27 12:28:41	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x08f281…
03-27 12:28:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x9bd1b5…
03-27 12:28:35	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x2c8882…
03-27 12:28:33	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x92cbb2…
03-27 12:28:21	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	87	34¢	$29	0xa40aff…
03-26 23:28:15	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x89e952…
03-26 23:22:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x0770df…
03-26 23:22:23	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x0cbda1…
03-26 23:22:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xc49d4b…
03-26 20:06:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0c9b75…
03-26 00:38:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x94939c…
03-25 07:51:19	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7e397b…
03-23 18:32:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xbdf18c…
03-23 14:36:51	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3919e3…
03-23 14:36:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x207d6d…
03-23 14:36:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xf458bd…
03-23 14:35:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x12b206…
03-23 11:24:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x420479…
03-23 11:12:45	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x05e0b3…
03-23 11:07:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xe7434c…
03-23 02:21:31	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x64cab6…
03-23 02:18:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xd8ba29…
03-23 02:14:03	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x388f95…
03-23 02:08:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1e52ba…
03-23 00:52:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xfa2474…
03-20 07:35:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf6d3b0…
03-19 22:31:31	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x461803…
03-19 16:43:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x54b261…
03-19 10:23:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc9b397…
03-18 21:21:17	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x521bd2…
03-18 21:19:47	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xbc1adb…
03-18 21:11:23	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xe859b7…
03-18 14:43:57	will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x981ef6…
03-18 06:20:37	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4a9580…
03-18 05:37:19	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x495ee2…
03-18 01:26:49	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x2bdd2f…
03-18 00:46:01	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xd2a4e4…
03-17 23:59:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8444f5…
03-17 23:38:17	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x7aa97f…
03-17 21:40:49	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xbf460f…
03-17 21:40:09	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x087c24…
03-17 21:04:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa735bd…
03-17 21:03:45	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xee5865…
03-17 20:37:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x3f0d52…
03-17 17:11:49	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xc3276c…
03-17 12:47:49	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xf4bc71…
03-17 00:30:39	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1e7484…
03-16 17:42:21	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x40cf13…
03-16 16:43:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x402843…
03-16 16:43:43	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x86f76f…
03-16 16:43:21	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x98c2b3…
03-16 16:36:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xac4eb5…
03-16 08:49:29	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x42b754…
03-15 22:49:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x70b1f1…
03-15 01:16:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2029d2…
03-14 23:02:19	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x9a0394…
03-14 22:06:49	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xcc99be…
03-14 19:49:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9f5e6d…
03-14 15:19:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x29570f…
03-14 15:17:13	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x9b816c…
03-14 15:15:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x8c3b51…
03-14 13:03:59	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7ac9c4…
03-14 13:03:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbb1794…
03-14 13:03:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x0dbf28…
03-14 13:03:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc4e276…
03-14 13:02:41	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x49e463…
03-14 13:02:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x7b0e4a…
03-14 13:02:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x427b12…
03-14 09:23:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x268b73…
03-14 08:31:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0xa9c2e1…
03-14 07:39:59	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x3de590…
03-14 07:34:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xace80c…
03-14 07:07:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6c22f5…
03-14 06:46:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf2035d…
03-14 01:52:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xe88a3e…
03-12 04:34:17	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfb35c0…
03-11 00:22:09	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3772d7…
03-11 00:19:19	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf446f5…
03-11 00:18:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa61af1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	142	$350.6K	31,377	03-28 07:39
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	137	$1.89M	33,046	05-13 18:03
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	137	$259.0K	2,206	05-12 20:48
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	135	$34.0M	52,665	05-12 18:55
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	133	$662.1K	53,866	05-04 11:13
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	131	$612.9K	70,816	04-18 09:15
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	127	$78.7K	4,072	04-21 17:53
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	122	$73.5K	23,100	04-16 23:32