Webbed-Stool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 50% $-8

Other

22% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on april 2	1	$123	123	+123	open	—	04-02 02:42
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 16	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-14 06:44
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	02-27 06:23
ethereum above 2700 on january 7	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	01-06 02:12
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	04-06 07:10
bitcoin above 74k on march 29	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-28 09:28
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-18 09:24
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-09 02:30
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-24 07:31
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$119	119	+119	open	—	02-11 08:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$119	119	+119	open	—	01-31 03:29
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 440 459	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	01-19 02:02
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	02-04 07:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	1	$117	117	+117	open	—	01-22 05:50
bitcoin above 94k on january 27	1	$117	117	+117	open	—	01-27 01:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 21	1	$116	116	+116	open	—	04-21 02:38
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	04-11 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	04-25 10:44
bitcoin above 100k on january 10	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	01-09 11:18
ethereum above 2900 on january 13	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	01-13 10:56
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	04-15 09:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-04 01:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	05-13 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	05-15 07:22
bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	06-06 01:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	05-29 09:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	05-26 06:27
bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	06-08 08:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	1	$4	2,050	+2,050	Yes	$-4	05-07 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$4	2,045	+2,045	No	$-4	05-10 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:28:40	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa70738…
06-06 01:34:31	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f2564…
05-29 09:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x3f42a3…
05-26 06:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x88ba84…
05-19 08:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,885	0¢	$4	0xe10ef4…
05-15 07:22:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4f27f6…
05-15 07:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,885	0¢	$4	0x4f6cc9…
05-13 02:48:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x6cce6b…
05-13 02:48:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a26fc…
05-10 07:03:32	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18ac8b…
05-10 07:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2,045	0¢	$4	0x68567f…
05-07 02:11:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	2,050	0¢	$4	0x3bf43e…
04-25 10:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x260100…
04-25 10:44:16	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb25edf…
04-25 10:44:04	Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47921d…
04-25 10:43:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cc702…
04-21 02:38:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 21	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xa28db2…
04-21 02:38:28	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2eeac3…
04-21 02:38:22	ethereum above 2600 on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9860d…
04-21 02:38:02	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	No	BUY	1,620	0¢	$3	0xc7956d…
04-15 09:23:06	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb7033b…
04-15 09:22:54	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x633287…
04-15 09:22:38	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a9893…
04-15 09:22:24	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60e8a1…
04-11 03:39:57	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1552b0…
04-11 03:38:45	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62c2ff…
04-11 03:38:33	will bitcoin dip to 58k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64e4f1…
04-11 03:38:19	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb598c6…
04-06 07:10:33	bitcoin above 56k on april 7	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe1534f…
04-06 07:10:19	will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbc8cc…
04-06 07:10:07	ethereum above 1900 on april 6	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb550ec…
04-02 02:42:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 2	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x646581…
03-28 09:28:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 29	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xbaa5b8…
03-24 07:31:23	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xae8883…
03-24 07:31:05	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e24f1…
03-24 07:30:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb4ff9…
03-18 09:24:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb4c6f7…
03-14 06:44:59	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90530a…
03-14 06:44:49	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 16	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe52bbb…
03-09 02:30:33	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xdfe27d…
03-04 01:56:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6edf71…
03-04 01:56:17	highest temperature in nyc on march 4 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x457116…
03-04 01:56:01	will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6 127	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x910bf9…
02-27 06:23:10	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x145ed9…
02-11 08:52:19	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7c0af4…
02-11 08:52:09	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x300a15…
02-11 08:51:59	will grok be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48e5cd…
02-04 07:28:16	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x28bd90…
02-04 07:28:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7326fb…
02-04 07:27:56	cru19wc ind19 afg19 2026 02 04	India Under-19s	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0bc5a9…
01-31 03:29:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xbfaee2…
01-27 01:57:53	bitcoin above 94k on january 27	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x23b798…
01-27 01:57:41	will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24ef74…
01-22 05:50:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x4a9d0d…
01-22 05:50:10	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x208d56…
01-22 05:50:00	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6bea4b…
01-19 02:02:16	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 440 459	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x5a0eba…
01-19 01:58:28	bitcoin up or down on january 19	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0db555…
01-13 10:56:49	ethereum above 2900 on january 13	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x70f90c…
01-13 10:56:37	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 320 339	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfef524…
01-13 10:56:25	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x500534…
01-13 10:56:17	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cc8e8…
01-09 11:18:14	bitcoin above 100k on january 10	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd63ed8…
01-06 02:12:35	ethereum above 2700 on january 7	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x5d1ef6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	40	$8.39K	5,751	04-18 01:00
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	37	$72.9K	1,476	06-01 12:11
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	37	$3.09K	1,343	06-07 20:14
Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6	30	$669	2,316	06-05 23:48
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	28	$616	1,440	06-07 02:41
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	27	$648	794	05-15 08:41
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	22	$49.2K	1,300	05-26 14:33
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	21	$66.2K	532	06-07 22:25