Vigilant-Dugout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$8.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-09 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% — —

Crypto

23% 50% $-6

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	195	$2.9K	53,294	36,877	+16,417	open	—	02-08 13:20
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$881	9,382	9,382	-0	open	—	01-19 02:08
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	5	$653	541	541	+0	open	—	03-04 02:31
will pheu thai party pt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	19	$551	2,215	1,965	+251	open	—	02-08 13:13
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	2	$203	153	153	+0	open	—	03-01 04:11
will bhumjaithai party bjt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	3	$174	937	937	+0	open	—	01-31 04:51
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	24	$120	659	543	+116	open	—	02-12 15:57
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	2	$120	200	200	+0	open	—	04-01 00:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$117	94	94	+0	open	—	04-01 03:47
bitcoin up or down january 30 4am et	2	$112	81	81	+0	open	—	01-30 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$93	85	55	+31	open	—	04-28 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$81	74	74	+0	open	—	05-03 16:57
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	2	$79	175	175	+0	open	—	03-01 08:16
makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	4	$76	227	109	+118	open	—	06-19 01:34
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	4	$74	231	230	+0	open	—	03-24 09:57
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$74	69	69	+0	open	—	03-22 01:25
will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	2	$70	93	93	+0	open	—	03-22 04:48
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$68	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	01-24 09:28
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$67	71	71	+0	open	—	04-26 16:25
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$65	52	52	+0	open	—	03-22 07:49
bitcoin up or down on january 8	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	01-08 15:48
btc updown 5m 1775016300	2	$58	95	0	+95	open	—	04-01 04:07
btc updown 5m 1775019000	1	$58	85	0	+85	open	—	04-01 04:50
will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	2	$55	46	46	+0	open	—	03-25 00:54
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	3	$54	67	67	+0	open	—	03-20 17:01
btc updown 5m 1775021400	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	04-01 05:30
btc updown 5m 1783521600	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	07-08 14:46
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$47	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	04-13 09:23
bitcoin up or down january 8 7am et	2	$47	31	31	+0	open	—	01-08 13:00
btc updown 5m 1775018400	1	$41	59	0	+59	open	—	04-01 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 14:22:01	btc updown 5m 1783606800	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xce368d…
07-09 14:20:52	btc updown 5m 1783606800	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x4ca4e7…
07-09 14:10:16	btc updown 5m 1783606200	Down	BUY	26	60¢	$15	0xcb84b4…
07-09 14:06:32	btc updown 5m 1783605900	Up	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x1321df…
07-09 14:00:46	btc updown 5m 1783605600	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xf48747…
07-09 13:55:07	btc updown 5m 1783605300	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1d85d0…
07-09 13:53:40	btc updown 5m 1783605300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x33e2cb…
07-09 13:51:28	btc updown 5m 1783605000	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4b5524…
07-09 13:47:04	btc updown 5m 1783604700	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xe43cae…
07-09 13:39:52	btc updown 5m 1783604400	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2c784b…
07-09 13:38:52	btc updown 5m 1783604400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9306b3…
07-08 16:36:22	btc updown 5m 1783528200	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4d8dfa…
07-08 16:29:38	btc updown 5m 1783528200	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x359541…
07-08 16:15:40	btc updown 5m 1783527300	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb756a5…
07-08 16:00:17	btc updown 5m 1783526400	Down	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x114444…
07-08 15:58:16	btc updown 5m 1783526100	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcb4838…
07-08 15:53:20	btc updown 5m 1783525800	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x409903…
07-08 15:45:02	btc updown 5m 1783525500	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x0de4d4…
07-08 15:40:47	btc updown 5m 1783525200	Up	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xac9d06…
07-08 15:31:52	btc updown 5m 1783524600	Up	BUY	37	36¢	$13	0xd55fd8…
07-08 15:23:43	btc updown 5m 1783524300	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x966318…
07-08 15:21:41	btc updown 5m 1783524000	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x990798…
07-08 15:12:17	btc updown 5m 1783523700	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xdbff80…
07-08 15:10:32	btc updown 5m 1783523400	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x1b1b41…
07-08 15:07:34	btc updown 5m 1783523100	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xea720a…
07-08 15:06:53	btc updown 5m 1783523100	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x44095c…
07-08 15:06:41	btc updown 5m 1783523100	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9a80c6…
07-08 14:50:10	btc updown 5m 1783522200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb86e6d…
07-08 14:47:58	btc updown 5m 1783522200	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xe3d85b…
07-08 14:46:19	btc updown 5m 1783521600	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x2a4ac4…
07-08 14:43:40	btc updown 5m 1783521600	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe31c9f…
07-08 14:36:16	btc updown 5m 1783521300	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0a3155…
07-08 14:33:14	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x7f64e3…
07-08 14:29:16	btc updown 5m 1783520700	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x0235db…
07-08 14:23:43	btc updown 5m 1783520700	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xfce34f…
07-08 14:21:05	btc updown 5m 1783520400	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x1a3a2a…
07-08 13:30:43	btc updown 5m 1783517100	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf08723…
07-08 13:27:55	btc updown 5m 1783517100	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x11d749…
07-08 13:27:20	btc updown 5m 1783517100	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc8979a…
07-08 13:23:41	btc updown 5m 1783516800	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xca5536…
07-08 13:21:01	btc updown 5m 1783516500	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5ce9ca…
07-08 13:16:32	btc updown 5m 1783516500	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4b65ca…
07-07 17:43:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0xe57c56…
07-07 17:38:28	btc updown 5m 1783445700	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc69c06…
07-07 17:15:56	btc updown 5m 1783444500	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe00a48…
07-07 17:14:01	btc updown 5m 1783444200	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x4faf0a…
07-07 17:05:56	btc updown 5m 1783443900	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x171716…
06-29 05:02:35	btc updown 5m 1782709500	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4417e5…
06-29 04:54:43	btc updown 5m 1782708900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa8f2db…
06-29 04:44:26	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa7aa08…
06-29 04:43:55	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc90482…
06-29 04:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7d6d1c…
06-24 01:17:46	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	59	15¢	$9	0x68a1af…
06-23 13:07:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xcfee2d…
06-19 01:34:35	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x4eb476…
06-19 01:07:19	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xe80f6e…
06-18 14:30:35	btc updown 5m 1781793000	Down	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0x1f23fc…
06-18 13:44:46	btc updown 5m 1781790300	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x78c31f…
06-18 13:38:01	btc updown 5m 1781789700	Up	BUY	58	28¢	$16	0x006268…
06-18 13:35:55	btc updown 5m 1781789700	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb08b23…
06-18 13:29:31	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	SELL	109	25¢	$27	0x0c6606…
06-18 09:38:41	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0x372b27…
06-17 15:06:37	btc updown 5m 1781708700	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x54fa70…
06-17 15:02:49	btc updown 5m 1781708400	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xad3aeb…
05-09 02:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x22fd2b…
05-09 02:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xf91053…
05-09 02:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6c3a10…
05-09 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xca96da…
05-09 00:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x767791…
05-09 00:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x61c5fe…
05-08 23:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x16bf9d…
05-03 16:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	74	55¢	$41	0xb8669d…
05-03 16:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xa62747…
05-03 16:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x802ee8…
05-03 16:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x0759a2…
05-03 16:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb6ce67…
05-03 16:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x7338be…
05-03 16:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x349649…
05-03 16:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0xdbac32…
05-03 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x6c7122…
05-03 16:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc8d02f…
05-02 14:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x5c9d40…
05-02 14:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9d4693…
04-28 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0xb259ca…
04-28 19:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe758d1…
04-28 19:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	55	61¢	$33	0x912f0e…
04-28 19:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x8d8b25…
04-28 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x3ef92f…
04-28 19:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x18b534…
04-28 19:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2f33c6…
04-28 19:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x5eace3…
04-28 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xf0afef…
04-28 19:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x08a0c0…
04-28 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xe9105b…
04-28 18:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0xbfa1dc…
04-28 18:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbeb544…
04-28 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x10123f…
04-28 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x518d08…
04-28 18:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x76d6de…
04-26 16:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0xb1d53b…