Vigilant-Dugout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$8.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-29 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% — —

Crypto

18% 50% $-6

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	195	$2.9K	53,294	36,877	+16,417	open	—	02-08 13:20
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$881	9,382	9,382	-0	open	—	01-19 02:08
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	5	$653	541	541	+0	open	—	03-04 02:31
will pheu thai party pt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	19	$551	2,215	1,965	+251	open	—	02-08 13:13
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	2	$203	153	153	+0	open	—	03-01 04:11
will bhumjaithai party bjt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	3	$174	937	937	+0	open	—	01-31 04:51
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	24	$120	659	543	+116	open	—	02-12 15:57
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	2	$120	200	200	+0	open	—	04-01 00:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$117	94	94	+0	open	—	04-01 03:47
bitcoin up or down january 30 4am et	2	$112	81	81	+0	open	—	01-30 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$93	85	55	+31	open	—	04-28 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$81	74	74	+0	open	—	05-03 16:57
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	2	$79	175	175	+0	open	—	03-01 08:16
makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	4	$76	227	109	+118	open	—	06-19 01:34
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	4	$74	231	230	+0	open	—	03-24 09:57
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$74	69	69	+0	open	—	03-22 01:25
will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	2	$70	93	93	+0	open	—	03-22 04:48
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$68	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	01-24 09:28
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$67	71	71	+0	open	—	04-26 16:25
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$65	52	52	+0	open	—	03-22 07:49
bitcoin up or down on january 8	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	01-08 15:48
btc updown 5m 1775016300	2	$58	95	0	+95	open	—	04-01 04:07
btc updown 5m 1775019000	1	$58	85	0	+85	open	—	04-01 04:50
will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	2	$55	46	46	+0	open	—	03-25 00:54
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	3	$54	67	67	+0	open	—	03-20 17:01
btc updown 5m 1775021400	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	04-01 05:30
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$47	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	04-13 09:23
bitcoin up or down january 8 7am et	2	$47	31	31	+0	open	—	01-08 13:00
btc updown 5m 1775018400	1	$41	59	0	+59	open	—	04-01 04:40
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	5	$40	1,248	1,248	+0	open	—	03-20 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 05:02:35	btc updown 5m 1782709500	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4417e5…
06-29 04:54:43	btc updown 5m 1782708900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa8f2db…
06-29 04:44:26	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa7aa08…
06-29 04:43:55	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc90482…
06-29 04:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782708000	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7d6d1c…
06-24 01:17:46	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	59	15¢	$9	0x68a1af…
06-23 13:07:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xcfee2d…
06-19 01:34:35	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x4eb476…
06-19 01:07:19	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xe80f6e…
06-18 14:30:35	btc updown 5m 1781793000	Down	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0x1f23fc…
06-18 13:44:46	btc updown 5m 1781790300	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x78c31f…
06-18 13:38:01	btc updown 5m 1781789700	Up	BUY	58	28¢	$16	0x006268…
06-18 13:35:55	btc updown 5m 1781789700	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb08b23…
06-18 13:29:31	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	SELL	109	25¢	$27	0x0c6606…
06-18 09:38:41	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0x372b27…
06-17 15:06:37	btc updown 5m 1781708700	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x54fa70…
06-17 15:02:49	btc updown 5m 1781708400	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xad3aeb…
05-09 02:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x22fd2b…
05-09 02:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xf91053…
05-09 02:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6c3a10…
05-09 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xca96da…
05-09 00:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x767791…
05-09 00:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x61c5fe…
05-08 23:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x16bf9d…
05-03 16:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	74	55¢	$41	0xb8669d…
05-03 16:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xa62747…
05-03 16:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x802ee8…
05-03 16:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x0759a2…
05-03 16:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb6ce67…
05-03 16:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x7338be…
05-03 16:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x349649…
05-03 16:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0xdbac32…
05-03 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x6c7122…
05-03 16:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc8d02f…
05-02 14:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x5c9d40…
05-02 14:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9d4693…
04-28 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0xb259ca…
04-28 19:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe758d1…
04-28 19:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	55	61¢	$33	0x912f0e…
04-28 19:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x8d8b25…
04-28 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x3ef92f…
04-28 19:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x18b534…
04-28 19:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2f33c6…
04-28 19:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x5eace3…
04-28 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xf0afef…
04-28 19:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x08a0c0…
04-28 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xe9105b…
04-28 18:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0xbfa1dc…
04-28 18:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbeb544…
04-28 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x10123f…
04-28 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x518d08…
04-28 18:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x76d6de…
04-26 16:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0xb1d53b…
04-26 16:25:52	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x179c98…
04-26 16:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xcaea86…
04-26 16:20:16	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8bf1cb…
04-24 14:14:32	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0x73846c…
04-14 01:33:41	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x95c1a5…
04-14 01:32:37	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xea2f75…
04-14 00:58:21	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x9dbe0e…
04-14 00:54:55	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc01d0b…
04-14 00:53:43	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xdd44e5…
04-13 10:40:39	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xba7750…
04-13 10:04:41	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0x12ff4a…
04-13 09:28:29	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x2900d3…
04-13 09:23:15	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	801	0¢	$1	0xe66ee3…
04-13 02:24:23	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x3246f8…
04-11 15:12:07	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0xe11ba8…
04-09 00:42:15	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	355	1¢	$5	0x7a11d9…
04-09 00:41:27	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	270	2¢	$5	0x2febb4…
04-08 17:06:59	Will César Acuña finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$4	0xa92665…
04-08 17:03:59	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$4	0xe8fc7d…
04-08 15:42:55	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	270	3¢	$7	0x22e92d…
04-08 15:33:19	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	501	1¢	$7	0xd68658…
04-06 13:08:01	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,001	3¢	$29	0xc5cdf4…
04-01 05:30:21	btc updown 5m 1775021400	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x660c13…
04-01 05:20:51	btc updown 5m 1775020800	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x909f16…
04-01 05:16:51	btc updown 5m 1775020500	Down	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x81398f…
04-01 05:05:31	btc updown 5m 1775019900	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x5c1df8…
04-01 04:59:43	btc updown 5m 1775019300	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x338f62…
04-01 04:50:49	btc updown 5m 1775019000	Up	BUY	85	68¢	$58	0x71a104…
04-01 04:40:53	btc updown 5m 1775018400	Up	BUY	59	69¢	$41	0x49cd4a…
04-01 04:36:15	btc updown 5m 1775018100	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xbd82fa…
04-01 04:34:03	btc updown 5m 1775017800	Down	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x4814d8…
04-01 04:33:17	btc updown 5m 1775017800	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x15083c…
04-01 04:29:41	btc updown 5m 1775017500	Down	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x73a7b3…
04-01 04:07:27	btc updown 5m 1775016300	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x8ac154…
04-01 04:06:35	btc updown 5m 1775016300	Down	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0x9e86d5…
04-01 03:47:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	94	62¢	$58	0x3364af…
04-01 00:59:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	94	63¢	$59	0x51003d…
04-01 00:45:19	will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$59	0x869b04…
03-30 15:50:27	will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$61	0xe63e19…
03-27 08:38:57	btc updown 5m 1774600800	Down	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x806d49…
03-27 08:32:25	btc updown 5m 1774600200	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xb9ab44…
03-25 00:54:13	will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x8ce0a4…
03-24 16:07:03	will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0xa8c743…
03-24 16:05:35	will venstre win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x70f817…
03-24 16:01:57	will venstre win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcf3e84…
03-24 09:57:27	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x59b663…
03-24 01:02:13	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x0b7417…