Meaty-Reveal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$128

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-15 07:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 0% $-6

Sports

23% — —

Crypto

20% — —

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+31	$3	3¢	$1	$-2	06-15 07:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773886200	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	03-18 04:50
bitcoin above 72k on march 26	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-26 08:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$7	18	+18	open	—	03-23 04:19
nhl stl ana 2026 04 03	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	04-03 05:15
nba tor den 2026 03 20	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	03-20 10:12
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-12 05:48
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	04-20 07:56
nba hou nop 2026 03 29	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	03-29 04:20
btc updown 5m 1775124300	1	$6	12	+12	open	—	04-01 11:15
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	03-31 09:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	06-08 07:08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-25 07:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-16 06:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$5	16	+16	open	—	03-23 06:48
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$5	15	+15	open	—	03-25 08:34
btc updown 5m 1773552300	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-14 07:28
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	1	$5	15	+15	open	—	04-06 06:59
nhl tor min 2026 03 15	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-15 10:39
nhl nj det 2026 04 11	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	04-10 06:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$3	32	+32	No	$-3	04-29 08:38
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$3	29	+29	No	$-3	05-05 09:14
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	31	+31	open	—	06-15 07:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$2	29	+29	open	—	04-13 03:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$2	31	+31	open	—	06-01 07:51
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$2	30	+30	open	—	04-24 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:13:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x294568…
06-08 07:08:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x1062e4…
06-01 07:51:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x627d7b…
05-25 07:21:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x932db4…
05-12 05:48:42	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xce1b68…
05-05 09:14:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x9b9fe4…
04-29 08:38:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x94a6d3…
04-24 06:59:08	Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x169f86…
04-20 07:56:58	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4c4831…
04-16 06:50:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x481871…
04-13 03:50:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0xa55c77…
04-10 06:04:13	nhl nj det 2026 04 11	Devils	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf07488…
04-06 06:59:47	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfb523e…
04-03 05:15:59	nhl stl ana 2026 04 03	Ducks	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xc1c012…
04-01 11:15:31	btc updown 5m 1775124300	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xcdc75b…
03-31 09:49:59	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xbf3bdc…
03-29 04:20:40	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xf124bc…
03-26 08:45:53	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x500a56…
03-25 08:34:51	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xdccd43…
03-23 06:48:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc93026…
03-23 04:19:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xdb0678…
03-20 10:12:39	nba tor den 2026 03 20	Nuggets	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x0021f4…
03-18 04:50:49	btc updown 5m 1773886200	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8584bb…
03-15 10:39:19	nhl tor min 2026 03 15	Wild	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9a949a…
03-14 07:28:39	btc updown 5m 1773552300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x48dcec…