Calm-Clamp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-13 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 64% $-36

Other

10% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No		-1	$-1	100¢	$-1	$-0	05-29 17:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$81	81	47	+34	Up	+$14	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$80	110	34	+76	Down	$-20	05-12 05:59
btc updown 5m 1771199700	3	$63	63	39	+24	open	—	02-15 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$61	46	46	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 05:26
btc updown 5m 1771201800	3	$60	59	38	+21	open	—	02-16 00:34
btc updown 5m 1771145700	2	$60	58	57	+1	open	—	02-15 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$53	103	28	+74	Up	$-7	05-12 05:14
btc updown 5m 1771249800	2	$50	33	32	+0	open	—	02-16 13:54
btc updown 5m 1771144500	2	$46	38	38	+1	open	—	02-15 08:36
btc updown 5m 1771248600	2	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	02-16 13:34
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	4	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	06-13 04:29
btc updown 5m 1776835800	2	$30	22	21	+1	open	—	04-22 05:34
btc updown 5m 1771145100	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	02-15 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$29	23	22	+1	open	—	04-25 09:49
btc updown 5m 1773775500	3	$27	34	19	+15	open	—	03-17 19:27
btc updown 5m 1776836100	3	$27	29	15	+14	open	—	04-22 05:37
btc updown 5m 1771249500	2	$25	34	34	+1	open	—	02-16 13:48
btc updown 5m 1776828000	3	$25	34	20	+14	open	—	04-22 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	05-20 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$25	70	0	+70	Down	$-25	05-12 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	$-25	05-12 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-12 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-26 13:04
btc updown 5m 1775999400	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-12 13:13
btc updown 5m 1771200300	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	02-16 00:06
btc updown 5m 1771205100	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	02-16 01:27
btc updown 5m 1771204800	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	02-16 01:23
btc updown 5m 1771234500	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	02-16 09:37
btc updown 5m 1771202400	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	02-16 00:41
btc updown 5m 1771248900	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	02-16 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 04:32:13	btc updown 5m 1781325000	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xab8259…
06-13 04:31:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcb45d3…
06-13 04:29:31	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xd62de0…
06-03 11:54:29	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb71f29…
06-03 11:53:14	LoL: Uwinks vs New Meta (BO3) - LJL Regular Season	New Meta	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x718a4d…
06-03 11:52:39	Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group C	NAVI Junior	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x04ed98…
05-29 17:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x75ecd3…
05-29 17:27:38	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x244058…
05-29 17:26:26	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x34c818…
05-29 17:24:23	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x0d00bb…
05-29 17:22:58	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2fe43f…
05-29 17:22:44	Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x84d292…
05-29 17:22:31	Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xe13a14…
05-29 17:22:14	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x82d627…
05-29 17:21:58	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x51ca28…
05-21 19:58:06	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x862818…
05-21 11:49:49	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x183d51…
05-20 12:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe4c15e…
05-12 05:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x08f5fa…
05-12 05:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0xd34dc1…
05-12 05:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x435c1b…
05-12 05:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x88b55e…
05-12 05:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7e44dc…
05-12 05:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	46	78¢	$36	0xbcb913…
05-12 05:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xd78486…
05-12 05:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xbdfe11…
05-12 05:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	47	65¢	$31	0x1d102e…
05-12 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe83346…
05-12 05:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x94c7f3…
05-12 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0x6c7c84…
05-12 05:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xc326f0…
05-12 04:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xca56d2…
05-12 04:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc5ff14…
05-12 04:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x116e5e…
05-12 03:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e38a2…
05-11 04:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x616d55…
05-03 01:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1cf534…
04-29 05:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x92cb9d…
04-29 05:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5320cd…
04-28 13:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xc09ee5…
04-28 13:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf04a4a…
04-27 16:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x515949…
04-27 12:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1fdd0f…
04-26 17:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xfb5e23…
04-26 17:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6c881b…
04-26 13:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xa26d03…
04-26 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc80204…
04-26 13:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x7e7fb3…
04-26 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x812ca2…
04-26 12:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x96a0d3…
04-26 12:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd8f63c…
04-25 09:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0xf90f95…
04-25 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4f93f4…
04-25 09:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1df02f…
04-25 04:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe26a8b…
04-24 12:53:16	btc updown 5m 1777035000	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfe4769…
04-24 11:28:14	btc updown 5m 1777029900	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x165b0e…
04-24 05:03:34	btc updown 5m 1777006800	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x708a5e…
04-24 05:00:04	btc updown 5m 1777006500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d1f3d…
04-24 04:45:26	btc updown 5m 1777005900	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xed81c2…
04-23 02:32:16	btc updown 5m 1776911400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb0f885…
04-23 02:30:14	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb36710…
04-23 02:29:58	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf9e50a…
04-23 02:25:08	lol hle dkc 2026 04 23	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x23b85d…
04-23 02:07:26	cs2 keyd crash 2026 04 22	Keyd	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x87b177…
04-22 06:14:16	btc updown 5m 1776838200	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9bbbf4…
04-22 06:07:32	btc updown 5m 1776837900	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x61de17…
04-22 06:02:24	btc updown 5m 1776837600	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x45dcdf…
04-22 05:37:34	btc updown 5m 1776836100	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xfb8127…
04-22 05:37:06	btc updown 5m 1776836100	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x503f21…
04-22 05:36:00	btc updown 5m 1776836100	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x39d9df…
04-22 05:34:38	btc updown 5m 1776835800	Down	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xa008ab…
04-22 05:30:50	btc updown 5m 1776835800	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf76062…
04-22 03:22:18	btc updown 5m 1776828000	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc0d23b…
04-22 03:21:50	btc updown 5m 1776828000	Down	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xccb8fb…
04-22 03:21:06	btc updown 5m 1776828000	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x609361…
04-17 10:36:32	btc updown 5m 1776422100	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0e9f5f…
04-16 11:01:28	btc updown 5m 1776337200	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x49114e…
04-16 10:48:06	btc updown 5m 1776336300	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2b6b05…
04-16 10:17:04	btc updown 5m 1776334500	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1e4b7f…
04-16 10:14:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb402d7…
04-13 02:36:37	btc updown 5m 1776047700	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6c5e69…
04-12 13:16:25	btc updown 5m 1775999700	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5852c3…
04-12 13:13:49	btc updown 5m 1775999400	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x4e164a…
04-12 13:13:11	btc updown 5m 1775999400	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x61c688…
04-08 13:56:53	btc updown 5m 1775656500	Down	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x6490c5…
04-08 13:55:57	btc updown 5m 1775656500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8d5f99…
04-08 13:51:51	btc updown 5m 1775656200	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc3312f…
04-08 13:43:35	btc updown 5m 1775655600	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x29dbec…
04-08 13:42:03	btc updown 5m 1775655600	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcb30a2…
04-05 01:21:05	highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x94fe5e…
04-05 01:19:59	nhl utah van 2026 04 04	Utah	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x387684…
04-05 01:19:21	nhl buf wsh 2026 04 04	Capitals	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a88d7…
04-05 01:18:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4b9e4b…
03-26 16:33:51	btc updown 5m 1774542600	Down	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x3d587d…
03-26 16:32:49	btc updown 5m 1774542600	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7d65c5…
03-26 16:30:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xca62c3…
03-26 16:29:49	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x84b080…
03-24 08:34:35	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9864c7…
03-24 08:34:01	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcfcd12…