Fuzzy-Lighting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$931

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-08 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,380	$1,000	68¢	$931	$-68	07-08 11:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1000	1,380	0	+1,380	open	—	07-08 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-07 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$41	31	31	+0	Up	+$21	05-07 08:30
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	1	$36	42	0	+42	No	+$6	05-06 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$12	24	24	+0	Down	$-8	05-07 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$10	38	0	+38	Down	$-10	05-07 08:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 18	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	01-18 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	$-10	05-07 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-07 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	50	0	+50	Down	$-5	05-06 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	$-5	05-06 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Up	$-5	05-06 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 11:49:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	630	73¢	$460	0xd53747…
07-08 11:46:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	749	72¢	$539	0xbf134a…
07-08 11:43:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1fa2d8…
05-07 08:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6d2604…
05-07 08:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0xb76942…
05-07 08:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xc4b1db…
05-07 08:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa111c7…
05-07 08:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x595c08…
05-07 08:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x74d50b…
05-07 08:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x996d30…
05-07 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8586ae…
05-07 08:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2ebde6…
05-07 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x1c2b73…
05-07 01:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x71d032…
05-07 01:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x951388…
05-06 12:59:06	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0xf44637…
05-06 12:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa1944a…
05-06 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa6659e…
05-06 11:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xece69c…
05-06 11:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd16dbf…
01-18 02:34:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 18	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8fa926…