Verifiable-Grit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$195

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-19 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 98% +$2

Other

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 54forhigher	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-16 19:37
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 18 2026 28corbelow	3	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	04-17 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 16:54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 12:56
highest temperature in jakarta on april 18 2026 29c	1	$1	116	0	+116	open	—	04-17 13:07
highest temperature in manila on april 18 2026 32c	5	$1	80	0	+80	open	—	04-17 14:01
highest temperature in manila on april 18 2026 31c	6	$1	139	0	+139	open	—	04-17 18:32
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 30c	2	$1	55	0	+55	open	—	04-17 13:40
highest temperature in helsinki on april 18 2026 14corhigher	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-17 14:50
highest temperature in jakarta on april 18 2026 30c	2	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	04-17 14:16
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 18 2026 30c	6	$1	42	0	+42	open	—	04-17 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-19 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-19 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6b45cb…
05-19 14:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1953f0…
05-19 13:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x441a8f…
05-19 11:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8adf82…
05-19 11:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3db040…
05-19 09:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x97c4ed…
05-19 08:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6f0b4b…
05-19 06:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb321ef…
05-19 06:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdebd0d…
05-19 05:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3e949e…
05-19 01:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9e877d…
05-19 01:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x436c4e…
05-19 00:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd5da50…
05-18 23:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xddd448…
05-18 19:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x282ee3…
05-18 19:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x863b67…
05-18 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8a11e4…
05-18 18:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb79904…
05-18 18:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x528acf…
05-18 16:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4754aa…
05-18 15:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8a4cb7…
05-18 14:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x179def…
05-18 12:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x76ed8b…
05-18 12:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3f2d42…
05-18 08:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5839dd…
05-18 07:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x042e54…
05-18 02:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x17ca6e…
05-18 01:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x40500b…
05-18 00:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e132e…
05-17 23:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5b8427…
05-17 23:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5cb0ce…
05-17 22:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2025de…
05-17 19:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe777a1…
05-17 18:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcdc179…
05-17 18:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2c655f…
05-17 18:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf2bcdf…
05-17 17:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd13a08…
05-17 15:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7b700b…
05-17 15:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9034dd…
05-17 15:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2e540d…
05-17 15:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2b7cc0…
05-17 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0615fa…
05-17 14:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf525a3…
05-17 13:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa7e7d4…
05-17 13:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb4ef8c…
05-17 12:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd0a474…
05-17 12:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd8b7c1…
05-17 12:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x73dd0a…
05-17 12:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3ea09b…
05-15 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9e8c3…
05-15 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34beec…
05-15 14:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9ef402…
05-15 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ef583…
05-15 13:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x311472…
05-15 13:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa12d4b…
05-15 12:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50896e…
05-15 11:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x678410…
05-15 11:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4c779…
05-15 10:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9902bb…
05-15 09:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x079c31…
05-15 09:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfe1802…
05-15 09:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e4cd5…
05-15 08:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x573203…
05-15 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97f99c…
05-15 08:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x668e3e…
05-15 08:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb9a1f8…
05-15 07:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36c047…
05-15 05:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc924c0…
05-15 05:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91b0f3…
05-15 04:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefeb86…
05-15 04:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80aaf3…
05-15 03:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x35c886…
05-15 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6cebe7…
05-15 02:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81e416…
05-15 01:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe40d64…
05-15 01:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa6ab39…
05-15 01:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x246417…
05-15 00:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc5e4e…
05-15 00:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81613c…
05-14 23:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c67e3…
05-14 21:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65faed…
05-14 21:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc57ed8…
05-14 21:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb402b9…
05-14 20:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc61ea2…
05-14 19:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18740b…
05-14 19:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ad0a6…
05-14 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x15cb55…
05-14 18:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0330a…
05-14 18:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x578ad8…
05-14 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc649a…
05-14 18:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xacf855…
05-14 17:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b62b7…
05-14 17:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5558a8…
05-14 17:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3d6c21…
05-14 17:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x21ef2b…
05-14 16:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc6af8e…
05-14 16:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd28126…
05-14 16:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe7aaca…
05-14 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd18219…
05-14 15:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87eb41…