(anonymous) 0x1691c5…8116a1
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$14.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$210
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved (24h)
104
Trades (24h)
942
2,450 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$127.0K
$324.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$76.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-27 03:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
55% 46% +$15,440
Sports
25% 45% -$17,317
Politics
18% 17% -$16,720
Crypto
2% 13% -$206
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 1073 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +39,285 $36,980 94¢ $36.9K -$52 10-26 17:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +16,390 $15,335 94¢ $15.3K -$10 10-26 17:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +7,915 $5,848 74¢ $5.8K -$31 10-26 19:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,550 $2,960 66¢ $3.0K +$20 10-25 23:52
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,806 $2,102 70¢ $1.9K -$152 10-27 04:54
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +5,669 $1,737 30¢ $1.7K -$8 10-27 00:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,062 $1,485 74¢ $1.5K +$31 10-26 19:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2,195 $1,429 66¢ $1.4K +$9 10-25 22:45
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,948 $1,440 72¢ $1.4K -$47 10-27 01:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +15,923 $942 6¢ $955 +$13 10-27 01:07
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +733 $505 68¢ $502 -$4 10-26 10:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,362 $470 34¢ $456 -$14 10-27 04:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +491 $457 92¢ $454 -$2 10-26 15:15
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,141 $472 40¢ $451 -$21 10-26 21:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6,518 $326 6¢ $424 +$98 10-26 06:03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +505 $412 76¢ $384 -$29 10-26 03:06
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +426 $371 90¢ $381 +$11 10-26 20:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? No +371 $361 98¢ $362 +$1 10-24 14:16
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +464 $301 66¢ $308 +$7 10-26 03:27
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +312 $302 97¢ $302 +$0 10-26 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +337 $232 86¢ $291 +$59 10-24 23:37
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +295 $258 90¢ $267 +$9 10-26 20:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +292 $270 91¢ $266 -$4 10-27 00:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +464 $222 56¢ $262 +$40 10-26 13:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +589 $266 44¢ $256 -$10 10-26 14:11
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +829 $252 29¢ $236 -$16 10-26 23:55
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +296 $182 64¢ $188 +$5 10-24 14:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +1,086 $215 15¢ $158 -$58 10-26 04:17
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +196 $154 79¢ $155 +$1 10-26 14:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,763 $213 9¢ $154 -$58 10-26 14:56