Free-Condition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$9.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-11 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

62% 0% $-1

Other

21% — —

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	20	$635	332	332	+0	open	—	02-23 15:39
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	18	$566	297	297	+0	open	—	02-23 15:35
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	11	$384	203	203	+0	open	—	02-23 15:26
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	8	$333	173	173	+0	No	$-0	02-22 02:09
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$253	130	130	+0	open	—	02-20 18:42
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$249	128	128	-0	open	—	02-09 23:04
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$244	125	125	+0	open	—	02-23 15:22
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$237	123	123	+0	open	—	02-15 08:21
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$236	121	121	+0	open	—	02-07 17:16
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$230	118	118	+0	open	—	02-22 02:23
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$229	124	124	+0	open	—	02-22 02:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$225	116	116	+0	open	—	02-23 15:20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$220	114	114	+0	open	—	02-23 15:33
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	02-07 17:17
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$210	108	108	+0	open	—	02-23 15:20
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$196	104	104	+0	No	$-0	02-20 18:30
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$176	91	91	+0	open	—	02-15 08:21
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$171	88	88	+0	open	—	02-21 05:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$168	88	88	+0	open	—	02-23 15:34
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	5	$164	86	86	+0	open	—	02-14 13:44
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$160	83	83	+0	open	—	02-21 05:43
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	4	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	02-21 05:32
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$152	77	77	+0	open	—	01-12 18:28
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	4	$148	77	77	+0	open	—	02-21 05:37
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$146	76	76	+0	open	—	02-22 02:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$140	74	74	+0	open	—	02-23 15:38
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$139	74	74	+0	open	—	02-07 17:08
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	02-01 12:37
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$122	63	63	+0	open	—	01-31 01:34
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$120	64	64	+0	open	—	02-09 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:14:51	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xe05ecb…
08-11 06:12:31	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xe017c1…
02-23 15:39:56	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xafbfbe…
02-23 15:39:38	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbc92f4…
02-23 15:38:28	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xac0221…
02-23 15:38:08	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xd5cdae…
02-23 15:36:50	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0x9799ff…
02-23 15:36:28	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0xf1e71c…
02-23 15:35:22	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x5ddd0e…
02-23 15:34:58	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xc255af…
02-23 15:34:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	32	94¢	$31	0x2f8011…
02-23 15:34:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$31	0x63b031…
02-23 15:33:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x6b0652…
02-23 15:33:14	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x3767d9…
02-23 15:31:40	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x097963…
02-23 15:31:20	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x04399c…
02-23 15:27:36	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0xabdb54…
02-23 15:27:16	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xd2cc21…
02-23 15:26:48	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xa4689e…
02-23 15:26:28	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x5cc15e…
02-23 15:25:06	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x8df609…
02-23 15:24:34	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x97616c…
02-23 15:23:42	will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x75962e…
02-23 15:23:20	will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x3c6392…
02-23 15:22:34	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xe5bfbe…
02-23 15:22:18	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xa23418…
02-23 15:20:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x764cec…
02-23 15:20:28	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xea4563…
02-23 15:20:12	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0xc476a1…
02-23 15:19:54	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$32	0x4bad94…
02-22 02:23:20	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x9e8775…
02-22 02:22:58	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xfdc0e9…
02-22 02:22:00	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0xcda1fa…
02-22 02:21:44	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x12635e…
02-22 02:21:14	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0x6a27ab…
02-22 02:20:56	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xe0a117…
02-22 02:19:56	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x413ef2…
02-22 02:19:34	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xa8f3ab…
02-22 02:19:14	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x4f241d…
02-22 02:18:52	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xebeb79…
02-22 02:18:28	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x5efcf1…
02-22 02:18:10	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x7fb870…
02-22 02:17:10	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xf94650…
02-22 02:16:50	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xbaedb5…
02-22 02:16:32	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x342533…
02-22 02:16:08	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xfa6d7b…
02-22 02:15:50	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xafd39b…
02-22 02:15:32	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xab95a8…
02-22 02:14:38	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xba2b82…
02-22 02:14:20	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xea0cc0…
02-22 02:13:12	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x3518e1…
02-22 02:12:56	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x568717…
02-22 02:09:58	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x47917e…
02-22 02:09:40	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x78ff6e…
02-22 02:09:18	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x628fb1…
02-22 02:08:58	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x03bd05…
02-22 02:07:42	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x8c066a…
02-22 02:07:24	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x1b4798…
02-21 05:43:38	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xedeae5…
02-21 05:43:18	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0e84cf…
02-21 05:43:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x83f61f…
02-21 05:42:38	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbc9899…
02-21 05:38:42	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x80daeb…
02-21 05:38:24	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x199339…
02-21 05:38:04	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x674b5f…
02-21 05:37:48	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x47b8a9…
02-21 05:37:26	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xb46c77…
02-21 05:37:10	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xb030b5…
02-21 05:36:52	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6683ec…
02-21 05:36:36	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xadcf88…
02-21 05:36:14	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa012e4…
02-21 05:35:06	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x90955d…
02-21 05:34:26	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x7d5d6b…
02-21 05:33:30	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x159559…
02-21 05:33:12	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xe85509…
02-21 05:32:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xbf017a…
02-21 05:31:44	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x51b78c…
02-21 05:29:18	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x7bb412…
02-21 05:28:58	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x6435a4…
02-20 18:44:42	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x65d5d2…
02-20 18:44:18	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xc2be7d…
02-20 18:43:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	41	97¢	$39	0x1fd056…
02-20 18:42:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0xbfa3de…
02-20 18:42:34	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x0b5a23…
02-20 18:42:14	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3684ae…
02-20 18:40:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xdc2cf9…
02-20 18:40:12	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbe5df1…
02-20 18:39:48	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x263d78…
02-20 18:39:30	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x9d3cde…
02-20 18:38:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x3cb21f…
02-20 18:38:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x13d314…
02-20 18:33:14	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x306f46…
02-20 18:32:54	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x9d5793…
02-20 18:31:44	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x779df4…
02-20 18:31:26	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x772133…
02-20 18:31:20	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x968b74…
02-20 18:30:48	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xeff84e…
02-20 18:30:00	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xa473ed…
02-20 18:29:40	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x8dd0d9…
02-20 18:27:08	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xf7f55a…