Calm-Feel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$395

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-20 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 50% +$1

Other

17% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-12	$-11	94¢	$-11	$-0	07-20 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773168000	5	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	03-10 18:44
btc updown 5m 1773657600	5	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-16 10:45
btc updown 5m 1773332400	2	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	03-12 16:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	07-20 10:59
btc updown 5m 1773332100	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 16:19
btc updown 5m 1773056400	5	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	03-09 11:44
btc updown 5m 1773168300	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-10 18:49
btc updown 5m 1773738300	5	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	03-17 09:08
btc updown 5m 1773658200	3	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	03-16 10:53
btc updown 5m 1784565000	7	$7	10	6	+3	open	—	07-20 16:35
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 16:17
btc updown 5m 1773832500	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-18 11:19
btc updown 5m 1773665700	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	03-16 12:59
btc updown 5m 1773665100	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 12:49
btc updown 5m 1784553600	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	07-20 13:24
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-12 16:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-18 10:57
dota2 aur1 ty 2026 03 12	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-12 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$5	5	3	+2	open	—	05-19 14:53
btc updown 5m 1780668000	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	06-05 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 13:43
btc updown 5m 1773058500	4	$4	8	3	+4	open	—	03-09 12:17
btc updown 5m 1773057000	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	03-09 11:53
btc updown 5m 1774471200	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773060000	4	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	03-09 12:42
btc updown 5m 1773055200	3	$4	6	3	+3	open	—	03-09 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 18:46
btc updown 5m 1773664800	4	$4	7	2	+6	open	—	03-16 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-26 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$4	6	3	+2	Down	$-0	05-11 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 18:04:09	btc updown 5m 1784570400	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1e837b…
07-20 16:43:00	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x55f509…
07-20 16:41:54	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x44da68…
07-20 16:41:45	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x71f768…
07-20 16:37:27	btc updown 5m 1784565300	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x77eb12…
07-20 16:35:19	btc updown 5m 1784565300	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x60e045…
07-20 16:35:01	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7333b3…
07-20 16:34:49	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8db15d…
07-20 16:33:39	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x11f96a…
07-20 16:33:31	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xab35b8…
07-20 16:31:55	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0780cc…
07-20 16:31:37	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xd06a10…
07-20 16:31:15	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5c12b9…
07-20 16:24:36	btc updown 5m 1784564400	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa3446…
07-20 16:24:19	btc updown 5m 1784564400	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x53c9aa…
07-20 16:24:13	btc updown 5m 1784564400	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x868507…
07-20 16:23:34	btc updown 5m 1784564400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x732e4f…
07-20 16:02:28	btc updown 5m 1784563200	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x19caaf…
07-20 13:33:39	btc updown 5m 1784554200	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa31b02…
07-20 13:30:25	btc updown 5m 1784554200	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x80941f…
07-20 13:29:21	btc updown 5m 1784553900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcef3ac…
07-20 13:25:19	btc updown 5m 1784553900	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x65b194…
07-20 13:24:31	btc updown 5m 1784553600	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x88c279…
07-20 13:23:19	btc updown 5m 1784553600	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x850e7e…
07-20 13:21:55	btc updown 5m 1784553600	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe91b03…
07-20 13:20:34	btc updown 5m 1784553600	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe363e8…
07-20 13:17:21	btc updown 5m 1784553300	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbfb8b1…
07-20 13:15:54	btc updown 5m 1784553300	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf4bd7c…
07-20 13:13:19	btc updown 5m 1784553000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf6c5ef…
07-20 13:11:27	btc updown 5m 1784553000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcc5e40…
07-20 12:53:39	btc updown 5m 1784551800	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x89a304…
07-20 11:25:51	btc updown 5m 1784546700	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xad2013…
07-20 11:25:33	btc updown 5m 1784546700	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x515249…
07-20 11:10:46	btc updown 5m 1784545800	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0266c6…
07-20 11:06:13	btc updown 5m 1784545500	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe0b81b…
07-20 11:04:00	btc updown 5m 1784545200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5aa7f3…
07-20 11:00:54	btc updown 5m 1784545200	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x404e9b…
07-20 10:59:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x4b7d8c…
06-05 14:03:39	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x73c345…
06-05 14:03:33	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x51c6c4…
06-05 14:01:28	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8f3272…
06-05 14:00:45	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x23da4a…
06-05 13:57:30	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xda8cff…
06-05 13:56:31	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x91a385…
06-05 13:55:51	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x553fc5…
06-05 13:52:01	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcde916…
06-05 13:51:12	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6dfe68…
05-26 20:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9aca56…
05-26 20:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x42d2fd…
05-26 20:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8b6ddb…
05-26 19:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x4d0fa8…
05-26 19:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7620b1…
05-26 19:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x79f2fa…
05-26 19:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbbcfcc…
05-26 19:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7d148e…
05-26 19:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5f0dff…
05-26 19:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x802c92…
05-26 19:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6f5298…
05-26 19:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xdc8198…
05-26 19:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe5e2c8…
05-19 14:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xae73c5…
05-19 14:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x38bde0…
05-19 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x271857…
05-19 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1ce379…
05-19 14:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc3625b…
05-19 14:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x34cc95…
05-19 14:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x89f8b2…
05-19 14:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x95a715…
05-19 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x017c70…
05-19 14:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xed6168…
05-11 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf7ce19…
05-11 14:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9e0d0c…
05-11 14:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x913811…
05-11 12:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3ab718…
05-11 12:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7bdd04…
05-11 12:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5da55e…
05-11 12:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb88b9a…
05-11 12:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x64cbc6…
05-11 12:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa85cd9…
05-11 12:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0xf2958f…
05-11 12:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbc9e91…
05-11 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa670f3…
05-11 12:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xec18b7…
05-11 12:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0d69c9…
05-11 12:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa3108b…
05-06 19:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfbcf92…
05-06 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x74160f…
05-06 13:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x15c3f3…
05-06 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x71d000…
05-06 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xab3491…
05-06 13:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7a52a6…
05-03 18:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea1b30…
05-03 18:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2fd03d…
05-03 18:50:40	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb7e664…
04-01 11:18:05	btc updown 5m 1775042100	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x09415a…
04-01 11:16:27	btc updown 5m 1775042100	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf4b0e4…
03-25 20:44:07	btc updown 5m 1774471200	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x87c3c8…
03-25 20:43:41	btc updown 5m 1774471200	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x29efde…
03-25 19:08:17	btc updown 5m 1774465500	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7aa322…
03-19 14:22:11	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x227993…