Realized P&L
+$8.51K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
125
Trades
1,281
lifetime
Volume
$32.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 03-11 14:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Politics
78%
22%
+$10,226
Other
17%
11%
-$651
Crypto
5%
0%
-$1,049
Tech
0%
0%
-$12
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 114 | $16.2K | 39,881 | 39,881 | +0 | Yes | +$13,769 | 03-02 21:42 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 98 | $4.3K | 12,936 | 12,936 | +0 | No | -$661 | 03-08 16:44 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 148 | $4.3K | 39,761 | 39,761 | +0 | No | -$1,308 | 03-08 23:42 |
| ethereum all time high by march 31 2026 | 74 | $1.0K | 26,481 | 26,481 | +0 | No | -$768 | 03-07 22:08 |
| odds of khamenei out by february over 30 in january | 28 | $621 | 3,078 | 2,468 | +610 | No | +$161 | 01-29 22:49 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 35 | $548 | 2,836 | 2,430 | +406 | No | -$126 | 01-29 22:09 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 22 | $346 | 1,509 | 1,509 | +0 | No | +$6 | 03-04 08:40 |
| us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991 | 45 | $326 | 15,430 | 0 | +15,430 | No | -$326 | 01-19 02:05 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 29 | $311 | 4,426 | 187 | +4,239 | No | -$83 | 01-16 08:47 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 40 | $301 | 9,917 | 9,917 | +0 | No | -$183 | 03-11 14:17 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 25 | $284 | 2,580 | 2,580 | +0 | No | +$26 | 03-04 08:40 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 | 32 | $273 | 7,239 | 2,374 | +4,865 | No | -$209 | 02-28 18:20 |
| us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625 | 51 | $231 | 18,076 | 0 | +18,076 | No | -$231 | 01-18 03:54 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 35 | $225 | 9,737 | 604 | +9,133 | No | -$177 | 01-24 03:38 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 12 | $216 | 382 | 382 | +0 | No | +$6 | 03-03 03:33 |
| will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497 | 23 | $207 | 2,525 | 2,525 | +0 | No | -$31 | 03-07 22:08 |
| will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998 | 11 | $204 | 7,000 | 0 | +7,000 | No | -$204 | 02-28 22:24 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31 | 29 | $196 | 4,175 | 3,517 | +658 | No | -$30 | 01-29 22:08 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 17 | $173 | 2,641 | 314 | +2,327 | No | +$17 | 01-15 02:28 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 10 | $125 | 257 | 256 | +1 | No | +$7 | 01-22 22:57 |
| will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026 | 8 | $111 | 1,627 | 1,627 | +0 | No | -$1 | 01-15 02:23 |
| israel strikes iran by january 23 2026 | 7 | $100 | 1,299 | 831 | +468 | No | -$64 | 01-23 04:41 |
| will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31 | 11 | $91 | 875 | 623 | +252 | No | -$23 | 01-28 07:06 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 3 | $90 | 64 | 65 | -2 | Yes | +$4 | 01-14 06:53 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 11 | $82 | 468 | 129 | +339 | No | -$34 | 01-24 12:21 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 5 | $80 | 161 | 161 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-06 09:17 |
| odds of khamenei out by february over 50 in january 172 | 16 | $75 | 1,420 | 104 | +1,316 | No | -$59 | 01-29 22:48 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 8 | $72 | 1,529 | 203 | +1,326 | No | -$54 | 02-28 06:42 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 13 | $69 | 2,627 | 17 | +2,610 | No | -$51 | 01-15 23:28 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 3 | $67 | 130 | 130 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 01-16 08:31 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||