Selfish-Operator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$34

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-08 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$3

Other

21% — —

Tech

19% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		+43	$20	69¢	$29	+$9	06-22 07:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+28	$5	16¢	$5	$-0	07-05 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$289	188	188	+0	open	—	05-21 03:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	9	$232	138	138	+0	open	—	03-19 04:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$168	92	92	+0	open	—	05-30 16:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$109	114	39	+75	open	—	06-21 09:38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$108	66	66	+0	open	—	04-07 16:32
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	3	$106	79	79	+0	open	—	06-15 08:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$104	60	60	+0	open	—	06-08 09:13
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$103	105	105	+0	open	—	06-16 06:07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$102	104	76	+28	open	—	04-08 16:02
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	4	$100	149	57	+92	open	—	07-01 07:48
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$91	56	56	+0	open	—	06-15 03:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$84	66	48	+17	open	—	04-08 16:02
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	5	$83	73	73	+0	open	—	06-29 16:53
will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	1	$81	82	0	+82	open	—	06-30 06:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$69	45	45	+0	open	—	04-07 16:31
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	2	$68	39	39	+0	open	—	07-08 15:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$66	67	0	+67	No	+$1	05-08 16:28
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	2	$61	45	45	+0	open	—	06-28 13:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	1	$54	80	0	+80	open	—	04-24 14:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	05-21 04:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	04-26 03:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	05-12 03:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$44	54	0	+54	open	—	04-16 10:14
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	06-19 04:33
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	06-23 15:54
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	06-20 07:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	1	$38	42	0	+42	open	—	06-16 15:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$38	41	0	+41	open	—	04-26 16:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$34	109	0	+109	open	—	03-24 10:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	06-21 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 14:50:41	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x06c0ac…
07-08 15:52:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xf63fcc…
07-08 11:09:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf9f8f9…
07-08 08:30:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x46caf8…
07-07 05:42:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x8e5344…
07-06 15:11:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xf31bc7…
07-06 09:24:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x508207…
07-05 14:43:55	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0c7f64…
07-03 15:22:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x193535…
07-01 07:48:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	57	28¢	$16	0x1ca8a3…
06-30 17:55:11	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4e44a5…
06-30 17:04:35	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0eb226…
06-30 16:49:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0xc7147c…
06-30 16:49:32	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x9d08e7…
06-30 06:48:07	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x106277…
06-30 04:51:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x68e297…
06-29 16:53:25	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x76abc5…
06-28 13:05:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0x7f323d…
06-26 15:22:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	18	77¢	$13	0x2cd269…
06-26 15:21:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xb1248f…
06-25 15:19:02	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x7050bc…
06-25 09:27:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3176f2…
06-25 09:17:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xab77d5…
06-25 09:16:47	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x26b821…
06-25 06:37:49	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	32	27¢	$9	0xe7d15b…
06-24 17:27:46	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x416de1…
06-24 10:51:13	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xc8521e…
06-23 17:28:50	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa3cc84…
06-23 16:08:50	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x30dce8…
06-23 15:54:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x652adb…
06-22 07:07:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x0e5a24…
06-22 03:42:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x8b5594…
06-21 09:38:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x680369…
06-21 09:38:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xfdffa5…
06-20 07:32:59	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0x96f4aa…
06-20 04:45:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xb4aca2…
06-20 04:45:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x877714…
06-19 08:54:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x019448…
06-19 08:05:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0xf1ec27…
06-19 06:04:26	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd01956…
06-19 04:33:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3ee5bc…
06-18 16:23:04	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x3c49a0…
06-18 09:10:22	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xb88801…
06-18 04:18:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x85f763…
06-17 08:01:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x35c6c7…
06-16 15:52:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0xb266c1…
06-16 06:07:39	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	105	37¢	$39	0xa0cfb5…
06-15 16:33:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	BUY	105	61¢	$64	0xebe219…
06-15 08:32:12	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	79	65¢	$51	0x061faf…
06-15 07:11:58	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xb32ab8…
06-15 07:11:52	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa30622…
06-15 03:58:27	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	74¢	$41	0xb67ace…
06-12 09:05:37	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x5fa9be…
06-12 03:13:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x476fc9…
06-11 09:44:16	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x393c19…
06-11 06:47:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x21a9a0…
06-09 12:27:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x510827…
06-09 07:08:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa3ee46…
06-08 09:13:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0xa503a1…
06-05 03:46:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x05dc72…
06-01 16:49:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x6cd3a1…
06-01 16:47:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x127fac…
05-30 16:25:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x136b15…
05-29 03:06:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x93cbd1…
05-29 03:06:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x530602…
05-29 03:06:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xdeb1e5…
05-28 14:45:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xf55b40…
05-28 10:13:19	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe8c84e…
05-28 09:16:55	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfceb16…
05-23 08:07:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb9c72a…
05-23 08:07:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x38925e…
05-23 08:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x401144…
05-23 08:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x492540…
05-21 04:49:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x6af2b2…
05-21 03:54:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	55	92¢	$50	0xb393b5…
05-20 10:49:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xeeee75…
05-20 07:08:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x29255f…
05-12 03:42:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xf37937…
05-12 03:41:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8c543f…
05-12 03:41:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2d0ac1…
05-11 08:38:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xb18456…
05-11 08:35:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xe82f77…
05-08 16:28:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x0408f2…
05-08 16:27:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x1ca312…
05-07 15:54:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xae7fde…
05-07 15:53:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x186beb…
05-06 04:35:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	133	74¢	$99	0x908e2c…
05-04 15:07:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x368531…
05-04 15:06:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x534b7c…
05-04 15:05:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1c1155…
04-26 16:07:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xfa793a…
04-26 03:04:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xc901d5…
04-26 03:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2b24c4…
04-24 14:39:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0xb5bab8…
04-16 10:14:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	28	83¢	$24	0x625c7c…
04-16 10:14:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x89f4ab…
04-15 02:19:46	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x83e1d8…
04-14 15:40:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x813d4f…
04-14 07:52:33	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x07988c…
04-11 18:25:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6caaac…