Chilly-Muskrat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$654

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 20% $-125

Politics

6% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$76	236	236	+0	Up	+$36	05-05 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	9	$60	43	43	+0	Up	+$24	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	8	$54	401	18	+383	Down	$-25	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$52	411	361	+50	Down	+$20	05-05 01:34
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$42	424	0	+424	open	—	05-07 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	15	$42	1,053	53	+1,000	Down	$-4	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$39	48	48	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$31	1,674	0	+1,674	Up	$-31	05-05 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	8	$29	912	0	+912	Down	$-29	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$28	178	178	+0	Down	$-6	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	10	$27	9,609	109	+9,500	Up	$-23	05-05 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$23	1,009	9	+1,000	Up	$-7	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$18	670	0	+670	Up	$-18	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$17	248	0	+248	Up	$-17	05-05 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	7	$17	209	9	+200	Down	$-3	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	12	$15	59	1	+58	Up	$-13	05-05 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$12	314	0	+314	Up	$-12	05-07 01:39
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	1	$11	37	0	+37	Sabres	$-11	05-07 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	11	$11	27	0	+27	Up	+$16	05-05 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	91	0	+91	Up	$-10	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$9	22	0	+22	Up	$-9	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$9	27	0	+27	Up	$-9	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	05-04 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$3	300	0	+300	Down	$-3	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-04 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$3	102	2	+100	Down	$-1	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-05 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-07 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-07 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 06:20:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	424	10¢	$42	0x760bf7…
05-07 01:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbf6c22…
05-07 01:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x492623…
05-07 01:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x9e7e80…
05-07 01:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x00b718…
05-07 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20bba1…
05-07 01:04:22	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xb951e4…
05-05 02:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x081e9c…
05-05 02:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xb628b7…
05-05 02:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc1a271…
05-05 02:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9b6137…
05-05 02:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	48	40¢	$19	0xd7bae4…
05-05 02:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x74593b…
05-05 02:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0f4300…
05-05 02:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb1bcf5…
05-05 02:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x520584…
05-05 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x91ae26…
05-05 02:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f9f75…
05-05 02:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02ece0…
05-05 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcdaa23…
05-05 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92235d…
05-05 02:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x430949…
05-05 02:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x773b0c…
05-05 02:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x32472b…
05-05 02:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	53	36¢	$19	0xa172a5…
05-05 02:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfa1974…
05-05 02:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb7c1f5…
05-05 02:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x561072…
05-05 02:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x01574a…
05-05 02:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf03c52…
05-05 02:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x951159…
05-05 02:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4a2888…
05-05 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe01422…
05-05 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa2be9e…
05-05 02:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8ad170…
05-05 02:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2a5a97…
05-05 02:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xec30ef…
05-05 02:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3a2b09…
05-05 02:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x142d38…
05-05 02:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa3de8e…
05-05 02:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x91c6f8…
05-05 02:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xfd0af8…
05-05 02:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb51d78…
05-05 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0d900d…
05-05 02:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3fb209…
05-05 02:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3d5518…
05-05 02:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x85821b…
05-05 02:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x451e47…
05-05 02:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xc6deff…
05-05 02:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x605aa6…
05-05 02:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8b9e09…
05-05 02:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd81695…
05-05 02:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5c3e2f…
05-05 02:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x06727d…
05-05 02:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9819db…
05-05 02:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbd27ea…
05-05 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x015217…
05-05 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xfeabd0…
05-05 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x83abef…
05-05 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x1a9817…
05-05 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x04baff…
05-05 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x69b956…
05-05 02:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x495df2…
05-05 02:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	82¢	$14	0x2fd4c2…
05-05 02:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x2b43bb…
05-05 02:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x1f4df1…
05-05 02:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x523f75…
05-05 02:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	9¢	$6	0xa66e0c…
05-05 02:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x536b91…
05-05 02:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x25e827…
05-05 01:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x372f40…
05-05 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x61cee5…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	182	26¢	$47	0x245098…
05-05 01:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0x560605…
05-05 01:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xe32d2f…
05-05 01:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xdafc22…
05-05 01:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd8a169…
05-05 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc11fe…
05-05 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa615e4…
05-05 01:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0082fe…
05-05 01:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	220	5¢	$11	0x89ee37…
05-05 01:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xcb68c7…
05-05 01:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x81c066…
05-05 01:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	361	10¢	$36	0x46ae71…
05-05 01:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf51df1…
05-05 01:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6a085d…
05-05 01:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaf6678…
05-05 01:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x721523…
05-05 01:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdb1370…
05-05 01:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd65746…
05-05 01:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd47c1b…
05-05 01:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x75df0c…
05-05 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x464ef3…
05-05 01:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x7caef2…
05-05 01:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x36529d…
05-05 01:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd9b4d3…
05-05 01:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc6b578…
05-05 01:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x73b7c8…
05-05 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb52f62…
05-05 01:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x214296…